As we all know the season will start for Miami with a daunting task of trying to upset the Houston Texans on the road. At least on paper, the Dolphins show little firepower offensively, and considering all the question marks to this team, it would be best to show a ‘wait and see’ approach until you start filling your fantasy roster with Miami players.
Miami’s offense goes against a difficult defense in Houston, and Ryan Tannehill may make some plays with his arm and legs, but it's too soon to bet on it. Miami receivers, most exclusively Davone Bess, are intriguing choices, but they come with too much risk; it would be wise to see Tannehill in action before we start to see which receivers get the most looks. I do like Davone Bess this year, especially in a points-per-reception (PPR) league, but unless you are in a deeper league none of the Dolphins receivers are a good bet week 1. Look elsewhere.
I’d expect the Dolphins defense to spend a good amount of time on the field so for leagues with individual defensive players (IDP), Cameron Wake could easily put up numbers similar to Demarcus Ware against the Giants. He is the Miami start of the week. Karlos Dansby, if healthy will also get his fair share of tackles, so he is a safe bet for linebacker, especially in his new 4-3 scheme.
Reggie Bush is an interesting pick, I think he will be fairly limited on the ground due to the stellar HOU linebackers and the emergence of Daniel Thomas. However, Bush may be extremely active in the passing game and we all know he can take any screen to the house. I wouldn’t start him as my number 1 RB, but he is a safe play for deeper leagues, PPR leagues, or to plug in at your flex (RB/WR/TE) position.
On the other side of the ball, the Texans look to get their QB and WR back to form after some injuries in 2011. They may start slow, but starting Schaub, Foster, Daniels, Johnson, and even Ben Tate in deeper leagues, may be a good bet for your fantasy lineup. Don’t feel bad about starting Texans this week against our squad, they have one of the most of the most potent offenses in the league and a handful of playmakers that you would likely start ANY week.
Cameron Wake (IDP)
Karlos Dansby (IDP)
Brian Cushing (IDP)
Reggie Bush (Flex)
As for the rest of the league…
NFL Starts of the Week:
Three stud quarterbacks are no brainers. Look for great matchups for guys like Forte, Smith and Lynch to keep up in fantasy numbers on par with the ELITE running backs. The stud WR’s (Johnson & Johnson, Julio, Fitz) all have favorable matchups as well and look poised for big games. How about Brandon Marshall’s first matchup of the year will most likely be working on former teammate and sparring partner, Vontae Davis!? I like his odds. The top tier TE's are looking to start Week 1 on fire- I have a feeling Hernandez might be the wildcard for New England.
RGIII might make some plays against the Saints and take advantage of the absence ofJonathan Vilma. Deangelo Williams will get plenty of opportunities against Tampa with Jonathan Stewart banged up. Look for Michael Bush to get goal line opportunities against Indianapolis and to split carries with Forte. Garcon, Young, and Floyd could be sleepers to make some big plays this week against weak secondaries. Dustin Keller might be the only offensive player in New York who can make a play.
NFL Sits of the Week:
TE- Jermaine Gresham (@ BAL), Brandon Pettigrew (vs STL), Cody Fleener (@ CHI)
If Tebow could torch Pittsburgh, surely Manning could!? Well, just like OUR quarterback, their remains PLENTY of questions on how Manning will hold on the field. Although there are lapses in Pittsburgh's secondary, they still provide plenty of pressure, and I would wait on starting Manning until he can prove his worth and health. Mojo is risky as he is still getting back to speed, and like Benson and Fred Jackson, is going up against a pretty tough DL. A few WR's have touch matchups, but none more than Stevie Johnson who will face Darrelle Revis. I like Gresham, Pettigrew & Fleener to contribute this year, but not this week.
Week 1 is always the most difficult to judge so make sure to have your lucky rabbit’s foot handy. Rub it again for a Miami win in Houston. Good luck this week and as always GO FINS!