Do QB ratings really matter?

People often use QB ratings as a barometer as to whether a QB is good or not, but do they really matter? You can have the highest QB rating, but if you don't win the Big dance, so what? I wanted to see if there was a direct correlation between QB ratings and whether that meant you won the Super Bowl and I was surprised by the results.

Rather than list every Super Bowl, I went back the last 11 starting in 2000, which QB's played, who won or lost, and where those QB's ranked in the regular season for QB ratings in the league.

SB YEAR Winning QB Reg Season
QB Rating
Season Rank
Losing QB Reg Season
QB Rating
Season Rank
XLV 2010 Aaron Rodgers 101.2 3 Ben Roethlisberger 97.0 5
XLIV 2009 Drew Brees 109.6 1 Peyton Manning 99.9 6
XLIII 2008 Ben Roethlisberger 80.1 24 Kurt Warner 96.9 3
XLII 2007 Eli Manning 73.9 25 Tom Brady 117.2 1
XLI 2006 Peyton Manning 101.0 1 Rex Grossman 73.9 24
XL 2005 Ben Roethlisberger 98.6 3 Matt Hasselbeck 98.2 4
XXXIX 2004 Tom Brady 92.6 9 Donovan McNabb 104.7 4
XXXVIII 2003 Tom Brady 85.9 10 Jake Delhomme 80.6 14
XXXVII 2002 Brad Johnson 92.9 3 Rich Gannon 97.3 2
XXXVI 2001 Tom Brady 86.5 6 Kurt Warner 101.4 1
XXXV 2000 Trent Dilfer 76.6 20 Kerry Collins 83.1 12
90.81 average
9.5 average 95.47 average
5.5 average

Some interesting stats:

On average, in the past 11 years, Super Bowl winning QB's had lower QB ratings (90.81) in the regular season than losing Super Bowl QB's (95.47).

In 2007, Eli Manning had a regular season QB rating of only 73.9 and won the Super Bowl, yet Tom Brady had the best regular season QB rating of 117.2 and lost.

All QB's combined average QB rating rank averaged 8.22 so if I was going to pull a stat out of a hat, this is the one would be the one I look for. Consistently Rank in the Top 8 for QB ratings and you're in the elite.

These stats show that just because you have a high QB rating, it doesn't always translate into winning the Super Bowl. Sure, you would like to have a QB with the best QB rating year in and year out, but while higher usually means better, it doesn't always mean winner.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of The Phinsider's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of The Phinsider writers or editors.

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