Bills at Dolphins Position by Position Breakdown

Week 11 of the NFL season see the Miami Dolphins matched up against the Buffalo Bills in the first of their two annual meetings.  Today's meeting is in Miami, with the Dolphins looking to continue their winning streak of two-games, while the Bills look to snap out of a two-game losing streak.

Two teams heading in opposite directions. Two division rivals.

Let's take a look at each position and see who holds the advantage in today's game:

Pos Adv  Reason
QB

Ryan Fitzpatrick is a top 10 quarterback in the league this year.  Matt Moore is mid-pack.  Fitzpatrick got a contract extension and is the franchise quarterback for the Bills.  Moore is a placeholder until next season when the Dolphins will continue their search for a franchise guy.  Advantage Fitzpatrick.

RB

Reggie Bush is a threat every time he touches the ball suddenly, and Daniel Thomas should be healthy again.  However, the Bills have the NFL's leading rusher in Fred Jackson.
WR/TE

Brandon Marshall is a top 10 receiver this season, while the top Bills wide out, Steve Johnson, is sitting at 25.  Maybe more importantly, however, is that Johnson is injured, listed as questionable for the game, and fellow Bills wide out, David Nelson, has been sick all week, although he is probable for the game.  

OL

The Bills have a dominant offensive line. They grade out in the top 5 is both pass blocking and run blocking.  The Dolphins are 7th in run blocking, but 22nd in pass blocking.  Pretty big gap between the two teams.

DL   What the Bills have in their offensive line, they have the exact opposite on the defensive side.  Marcell Dareus has performed really, really well this season, but that's been about the highlight of the d-line.  Meanwhile, the Dolphins have suddenly discovered their own defensive tackle actually can play well, with Paul Soliai starting to show up on game day.  Randy Starks, meanwhile, is the top performing Dolphins lineman, and is a top ten 3-4 defensive end in the league.  
LB Karlos Dansby and Kevin Burnett have finally stepped up and started to play like the tandem everyone expected, and Cameron Wake is still a force on the outside.  Koa Misi/Jason Taylor need to start adding more pressure from the other side, but the Dolphins linebackers are looking like the defense we all expected.  
DB

Neither team has an overly impressive cornerback corps.  The Bills are graded slightly better than the Dolphins, but that's like saying they Bills are slightly less bad than the Dolphins.  They have a bigger lead on the Dolphins safeties.  Miami has been starting to play better - but the Bills are better at this moment.
ST Push

I want to give this to the Dolphins because of Brandon Fields, but Dan Carpenter's injury and the signing of Shayne Graham makes me bring this down to a push.

Prediction: Dolphins, 17-14

Record Predicting Dolphins Games: 4-5

Record Predicting All NFL Games: 93-53

 

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