FanPost

Andrew Luck: The Stats

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via cdn2.sbnation.com

Welcome.

If you missed part 1 of my series on Stanford's Andrew Luck please go check it out here. If you already read it, I hope you enjoyed it because more posts will be coming. And like I stated there, I need to be a good Captain and tell all of you about our number 1 objective: drafting Andrew Luck.

As I've seen across this site all week I think there are some misconceptions about Luck. Like maybe hes overrated. Or maybe he's not actually that good. Or maybe even that he only looks good because his team is.

Hogwash. Yes that's right. HOGWASH.

Hogwash = Total nonsense. You know what's total nonsense besides the the word hogwash? ANY OF THOSE MAYBES. Its utterly ridiculous that some of you continue to think that he's not the real deal. We can debate all day long about wether we should actually be dropping a pick on him or trading up, but I just won't accept this notion from a solid group of you that he's not as good as advertised.

Lets get to the stats.

SeasonPassingRushingTotal Offense
CompAttYdsPctTDIntRatingAttYdsAvgLngTDYards
2009 162 288 2,575 56.3% 13 4 143.5 61 354 5.8 31 2 2,929
2010 263 372 3,338 70.7% 32 8 170.2 55 453 8.2 58 3 3,791
2011 (Thru 4) 80 112 1,013 71.4% 11 1 178.0 11 58 5.3 15 1 1,071
Total5057726,92665.4%5613161.31278656.85867,791

I'd like to take a second to also go ahead and rip apart the theory that Luck has  onlylooked good because of his head coach (Harbaugh). Well he lost his HC (who was also the guy responsible for reaching out as much as he could to sign him and then molded him) and isn't missing a beat. If anything his stats this year are EVEN better than what he put up through '09 and '10. That right there is one of the biggest clues about wether a prospect is good or not: growth (especially growth that happens despite losing teammates and coaches).

Luck is on pace this year to break 3,000 passing yards AGAIN which is just absurd for a college QB. Especially one playing on a team that still believes alot in the "ground and pound" mentality. 

Still not convinced? Alright lets look at this handy chart via cfbstats.com (Here's the link if you wanna see the whole page; they have a tone of cool stats on their site)

SplitGAttCompPct.YardsYards/AttTDIntRatingAtt/GYards/G
All Games 13 372 263 70.7 3332 9.0 32 8 170.03 28.6 256.3
at Home 6 160 118 73.8 1596 10.0 20 1 197.54 26.7 266.0
on Road/Neutral Site 7 212 145 68.4 1736 8.2 12 7 149.27 30.3 248.0
in Wins 12 326 234 71.8 2991 9.2 30 6 175.54 27.2 249.3
in Losses 1 46 29 63.0 341 7.4 2 2 130.96 46.0 341.0
vs. Conference 9 271 192 70.8 2284 8.4 19 5 161.10 30.1 253.8
vs. Non-Conference 4 101 71 70.3 1048 10.4 13 3 193.99 25.3 262.0
vs. Ranked (AP) 2 69 47 68.1 628 9.1 6 3 164.57 34.5 314.0
vs. Unranked (AP) 11 303 216 71.3 2704 8.9 26 5 171.27 27.5 245.8
vs. FBS (I-A) 12 349 246 70.5 3016 8.6 28 8 164.98 29.1 251.3
vs. FCS (I-AA) 1 23 17 73.9 316 13.7 4 0 246.71 23.0 316.0
vs. FBS Winning 6 183 128 69.9 1636 8.9 13 6 161.93 30.5 272.7
vs. FBS Non-Winning 6 166 118 71.1 1380 8.3 15 2 168.32 27.7 230.0
vs. BCS AQ 12 349 246 70.5 3016 8.6 28 8 164.98 29.1 251.3
vs. BCS non-AQ 0 0 0 - 0 - 0 0 - - -
in August/September 4 102 64 62.7 912 8.9 11 2 169.52 25.5 228.0
in October 4 124 88 71.0 1008 8.1 9 4 156.75 31.0 252.0
in November 4 123 93 75.6 1125 9.1 8 1 172.27 30.8 281.3
in December/January 1 23 18 78.3 287 12.5 4 1 231.77 23.0 287.0

 

(P.S. If you can't see the whole chart just enlarged the page format or just go the link I gave)

Damn impressive huh? These are Luck's 2010 stats (Im going off of this year because so far he's having a better statistical season than his 2010 campaign and its only been 4 games) Tons of things jump out at me; one, he has just ONE single category where his QB rating is lower than 160 and it's STILL 130.96. And it's on a loss (they only had one) which of course makes sense that it's a tad lower. 

Second, look at his stats against ranked and winning opponents. He has a plus 160 QB rating in both categories and is still throwing as accurately as ever. And Third look Look how his stats got better and better from August to January. And that's as the competition got better and the pressure was much higher.

If that didn't convince you, this you will:

SituationGAttCompPct.YardsTDIntRatingLong1st15+25+
All Plays 13 372 263 70.7 3332 32 8 170.03 81 153 81 30
1st Half 13 226 162 71.7 2149 20 4 177.23 81 101 55 19
2nd Half/OT 13 146 101 69.2 1183 12 4 158.89 58 52 26 11
1st Quarter 13 108 79 73.1 1029 12 0 189.86 81 44 25 7
2nd Quarter 13 118 83 70.3 1120 8 4 165.66 47 57 30 12
3rd Quarter 13 92 62 67.4 682 5 2 143.25 41 32 15 6
4th Quarter 11 54 39 72.2 501 7 2 185.53 58 20 11 5
Overtime 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0
1st Down 13 140 99 70.7 1187 13 4 166.86 45 52 29 10
2nd Down 13 134 97 72.4 1257 11 2 175.29 81 53 24 13
3rd Down 13 94 66 70.2 882 8 1 174.99 52 47 28 7
3rd Down, 1-3 To Go 10 22 15 68.2 188 2 0 169.96 36 14 4 1
3rd Down, 4-6 To Go 12 28 20 71.4 218 2 0 160.40 52 13 5 2
3rd Down, 7-9 To Go 11 20 16 80.0 289 4 0 267.38 34 12 11 4
3rd Down, 10+ To Go 11 24 15 62.5 187 0 1 119.62 22 8 8 0
4th Down 3 4 1 25.0 6 0 1 -12.40 6 1 0 0
Own 1 To 20 Yd Ln 13 36 31 86.1 438 1 0 197.48 81 18 9 4
Own 21 To 39 Yd Ln 13 108 74 68.5 831 0 2 129.45 47 41 20 7
Own 40 To Opp 40 Yd Ln 13 111 75 67.6 1087 6 1 165.87 59 47 25 12
Opp 39 To 21 Yd Ln 13 55 44 80.0 656 6 4 201.64 38 31 19 7
Opp 20 To 1 Yd Ln (RZ) 13 62 39 62.9 320 19 1 204.15 19 16 8 0
Winning By 15+ Pts 9 96 69 71.9 825 13 1 186.68 52 35 20 8
Winning By 8-14 Pts 10 50 28 56.0 466 2 2 139.49 58 20 13 5
Winning By 1-7 Pts 13 86 59 68.6 799 6 2 165.02 81 36 17 6
Tied 12 90 68 75.6 832 7 0 178.88 45 39 22 8
Losing By 1-7 Pts 5 31 27 87.1 264 4 2 188.31 26 17 5 2
Losing By 8-14 Pts 1 15 10 66.7 120 0 1 120.54 41 5 3 1
Losing By 15+ Pts 1 4 2 50.0 26 0 0 104.60 17 1 1 0
1st: First Downs; 15+: Pass completions of 15 or more yards; 25+: Pass completions of 25 or more yards


(And again if you can't see the whole thing, here's the link).

I have hard time believing any of you could think he's not as good as advertised after seeing this. If it seems so Ill assume you're just messing with me and I'll laugh along. My favorite things: 3rd down, 10+ to go (a ridiculous 119 QB rating and over 60% completion rate), Own 1 to 20 (wheres he just money in the bank) and the opponents red zone (where he is beyond an accurate exclamation of his glory 39 of 62 with 19 TD's to 1 pick and a 204.15 rating. So that's how RZ possessions are supposed to go?), and lastly, every stat where he's tied or losing.

Please keep in mind with that last stat part that losing by 8+ only happened twice last year so small sample size (and he was still pretty good in both of them) so instead I look at being tied and losing by up to a touchdown where he has a just stupid 180+ QB rating, over 1100 yards,  11 tds, only 2 picks and somwhere in the the high 70's completion rating. And this situation happened 17 times so a much larger sample size and damn did he not disappoint.

I hope these stats will help the naysayers realize the kind of prospect he is. He's right up there with Manning, Aikman and Elway and is arguably better at this point in his career than they were at theirs.

I'm only going to put up one awesome highlight this time (it's a play from last week against UCLA). I had lots of non-believers get disgruntled and dismissing the video of his best moments (as in ALL OF THEM) So you know what?

Please go watch Luck play this week. Its well worth it to watch someone that good at football play the game. Now the highlight:


 

In case you were wondering, yes the play was reviewed and yes it was totally a completion.

NEXT: Colorado (1-4) vs #7 Stanford (4-0) 7:30 ET Saturday

Be sure to check him out this weekend if you can. He has a good shot at wearing some Aqua next year. Lastly if you're on board with Luck and would like to join up with me and my First Officer LittleNicky, please do so by adding "the Luckfleet" to your sig. 

 

-Captain Benjamin "Enhalen" Bacon, Commander of the "Andrew Luck", Flagship of the LuckFleet. 

 

Dismissed.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of The Phinsider's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of The Phinsider writers or editors.

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