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Dolphins Red Zone Troubles - NFL Looks at Red Zone Efficiency Compared to Winning

Miami Dolphins running back Lex Hilliard scores the team's only red zone rushing touchdown of the year.  The team has to get better at putting up points in the red zone if they want to compete.

It doesn't come as much of a surprise, but if you are efficient in the red zone, you typically win - at least that's what a study by the NFL released today shows.  It really shouldn't surprise fans of the Miami Dolphins, given the team's 0-4 record, and inability to move the ball when it's inside the opponent's 20-yard line.

Bill Belichick, head coach of the fifth most efficient redzone team this season, the New England Patriots, states, "After turn overs, the red zone is probably the number one statistic that correlate with winning and losing."

Fellow AFC East head coach, and leader of the most efficient red zone team in football, Chan Gailey agrees with Coach Belichick.  " I can give you all the coaching clichés about that we work on it, we spend time on it, and all that, says Gailey, who will face the second most efficient red zone team, the New York Giants, this upcoming week.  "The bottom line is execution - being able to defeat the defenses that you play each week.  The guys have done a good job of understanding that we need to score touchdowns down there.  We've done it a variety of ways.  If you can score touchdowns instead of field goals, it helps you win games."

Miami Dolphins head coach Tony Sparano needs to learn something from his fellow AFC East coaches - especially that field goals part (although, to be fair, Dan Carpenter has not attempted a field goal from inside the opponent's 20 yard line yet this year).  

Star-divide

The top five teams in red zone efficiency so far this year:

TEAM

POSS

PTS

TDs

TD%

Buffalo Bills

20

120

15

75

New York Giants

14

76

10

71.4

Oakland Raiders

16

88

11

68.8

Atlanta Falcons

15

79

10

66.7

New England Patriots

26

135

17

65.4

The players with the most passing touchdowns insider the 20-yard line:

PLAYER

TEAM

MOST TD PASSES

Tom Brady

New England Patriots

12

Ryan Fitzpatrick

Buffalo Bills

9

Aaron Rodgers

Green Bay Packers

8

Drew Brees

New Orleans Saints

8

Matthew Stafford

Detroit Lions

8

And, the players with the most rushing touchdowns inside the 20-yard line:

PLAYER

TEAM

MOST RUSH TDs

Beanie Wells

Arizona Cardinals

6

Adrian Peterson

Minnesota Vikings

5

BenJarvus Green-Ellis

New England Patriots

5

Cam Newton

Carolina Panthers

5

Fred Jackson

Buffalo Bills

4

LeSean McCoy

Philadelphia Eagles

4

Inside the redzone so far this year, quarterback Chad Henne was 8-for-21, with 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception.  New starter Matt Moore has gone 1-for-1 inside the red zone, for 8 yards.  In the rushing attack. Henne added one run for nine yards and a touchdown, while Reggie Bush has run the ball twice, for no yards, Lex Hilliard has 4 runs for 7 yards and a touchdown, and rookie Daniel Thomas has 4 carries for 11 yards.

As Hall of Fame running back Marshall Faulk says, "Red zone efficiency is imperative and determines outcomes of games.  It's so important when you get into the red zone to put touchdowns on the board. The struggle is the field gets smaller, defenses get stout and they understand they only have to defend so much and the windows for opportunity are smaller. 

"When you are efficient in the red zone, teams understand that defending 80 yards of the field becomes extremely important," says Faulk. "Because they know once you get inside the 20-yard line that points will be put on the board especially if you are a team that is efficient in scoring touchdowns." 

Until the Dolphins solve the efficiency issue, they don't stand a chance this season.

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this is exactly the point of contention

between henne lovers and people that don’t think so much of him.. the henny lover see all the yard he has put up and say what a great qb, others like me see how few points he has points he put up and say he will never make it

by JImbo111 on Oct 11, 2011 5:44 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

I don't think anyone is saying Henne is a great QB

But, he has improved. That’s what people are seeing.

The Phinsider

Sept. 26, 2010 - 2012/2013 Draft Kyle Padron Bandwagon

by Kevin Nogle on Oct 11, 2011 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

That is like saying...

…the 22 NBA teams that are losing money are doing better on the bottom-line because they aren’t losing any money during the lockout. Does it meet the definition of better…yes. Is it good enough…no.

There are a lot of other problems on this team besides Henne. Henne being better still amounted to 0-4. better? Yes. Good enough? No.

by dab415217 on Oct 12, 2011 2:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

I thought the exact same thing.....

But it’s not listed in the stats. So far for the year, he is showing 0/0 from inside the 20.

The Phinsider

Sept. 26, 2010 - 2012/2013 Draft Kyle Padron Bandwagon

by Kevin Nogle on Oct 11, 2011 5:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

this is due to the fistpump!

wopper "the king" computer
We often look rite past the positive's cuz the negative's-r-so hard they dominate! Have you touched & preened your beaver-pelt yet! Captain beem me abord the luckmobil!

by wild zion beaver on Oct 11, 2011 8:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

It was a 22-yard FG

The ball was originally inside the 20, but the kick wasn’t. It’s still considered a Red Zone failure though.

- Attempting to debate with a person who has abandoned reason is like giving medicine to the dead.
- Defeat isn't bitter if you don't swallow it.

by Finhead83 on Oct 11, 2011 9:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Does the stat refer to field goals of less than 20 yards? or just inside the 20?

The ball would have to be inside the 3 yard line then to be a 20 yard or less attempt. The line of scrimmage was the 5 yard line against the Texans..so it was a 22 yard attempt. So it must be on attempts of less than 20 yards right?

by MikeV7297 on Oct 12, 2011 2:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

yes he's improved

he’s gone from almost the worst, to just fairly bad. 34 games, 33 td’s, 37 int’s. those numbers speak for themselves, were never going to win any games with henne. it’s time for a new qb, and front office.

by JImbo111 on Oct 11, 2011 6:23 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Well if you are trying to point out that a guy is just as bad as he has always been would you not compare his more recent

numbers vs. his previous numbers? I am not saying that your wrong or that he is all that great but by taking his numbers as a total you can not measure any improvement unless of course you are trying to paint a biased picture.

Please learn the difference between a fan post and a fan shot before posting.

by texascowpunk on Oct 11, 2011 7:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

well if you don't like those numbers

show me some you like better. perhaps if you have to try that hard find improvement there wasn’t much.

by JImbo111 on Oct 11, 2011 8:08 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

yes his career stats for the phins suck

38.1 percent completion in the red zone,, I guess shows just how well he’s improved. Or perhaps you have some better numbers you’d like to put up.

by JImbo111 on Oct 11, 2011 9:50 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Talk about missing a point. I was not disagreeing with you on your base point and I am not going to go look them up. I was making

the point that your methodology was poor at best. If you are going to make a point at the very least use the proper stats to back it up. Showing a guys life time stats have no bearing on his current state if one person is claiming he has improved and your claiming he has not. Its not that hard to understand.

Please learn the difference between a fan post and a fan shot before posting.

by texascowpunk on Oct 11, 2011 10:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I didn't put up his lifetime stats

those were his stats as a starter with the phins. I also put his current completion percentage in the red zone, 38.1

if you have some other stats that show this improvement please put them up.

by JImbo111 on Oct 11, 2011 10:21 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

people say how much he has improved

0 and 4 just look like much to me. but if anyone has some stats showing this improvement that I keep hearing about, would you please put them up so I can see just how well he was doing.

by JImbo111 on Oct 11, 2011 10:05 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Well no of course not but why would it? I was NOT arguing that your point was wrong. In fact I fucking

agree with you. I was making the point that your methodology was shit. There are no stats to back that up.

Please learn the difference between a fan post and a fan shot before posting.

by texascowpunk on Oct 11, 2011 10:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Henne is out for the season

At least that’s what I’ve heard. His contract is up. He’s done.

by Zsnoop on Oct 11, 2011 6:35 PM EDT reply actions  

we'll resign him at the leauge minium retain his rights!

wopper "the king" computer
We often look rite past the positive's cuz the negative's-r-so hard they dominate! Have you touched & preened your beaver-pelt yet! Captain beem me abord the luckmobil!

by wild zion beaver on Oct 11, 2011 8:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think so.

Please learn the difference between a fan post and a fan shot before posting.

by texascowpunk on Oct 11, 2011 8:28 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

thx for the speedy reply!

wopper "the king" computer
We often look rite past the positive's cuz the negative's-r-so hard they dominate! Have you touched & preened your beaver-pelt yet! Captain beem me abord the luckmobil!

by wild zion beaver on Oct 11, 2011 8:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

yw

Please learn the difference between a fan post and a fan shot before posting.

by texascowpunk on Oct 11, 2011 8:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

they promised us competition for henne

they brought in matt moore, now we get to see what he can do, and I hope it doesn’t cost us luck as much as I’d like to see us win a couple of games, I don’t wanna see a loose luck.

by JImbo111 on Oct 11, 2011 7:40 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

the nfl has confirmed what should be common sense

Red zone scoring leads to winning.I wrote before the season on here that IMO the most important improvement that would lead to more wins is the td/fg ratio in the red zone.This is not a new problem for the dolphins, last year it was the same.The year before what helped them in the red zone was the use of the wildcat.

by broxtone on Oct 11, 2011 11:00 PM EDT reply actions  

a td is 4 more points than a fg

kick 3 fgs instead of score 3 tds you lose 4+4+4=12 pts even if you score on one of those trips in the red zone that is a 4 point difference which only a td will trump

by broxtone on Oct 11, 2011 11:05 PM EDT reply actions  

Almost every team in the NFL gets, on average, 4 possession in the scoring zone a game.

The Red Zone is considered the 20 yd line going in. The scoring zone (FG range) is the 30 yd line going in.

The teams that score more TD’s in that zone are the really good teams. The teams that kick FG’s are the average to bad teams. The good teams score 2 TD’s for every 1 FG. That 2/1 ratio is essential to scoring points in the NFL. The Dolphins last year were 0.86 TD’s to every 1 FG. That’s why they were 30th in the league in scoring. This year isn’t much better.

"It is a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing." MACBETH
"Walter, I love you, but sooner or later, you're going to have to face the fact you're a goddamn moron." THE DUDE (The Big Lebowski)

by ct1361 on Oct 11, 2011 11:20 PM EDT reply actions  

scoring in the endzone leas to wins?

who knew?

2010 The Jim Mandich NewsFlash Award Winner.

Miss the misery.
Need a reason for a change.
Need a reason to explain.
So turn it on again.
Don't change your mind.
You're wasting light.

by Patssuck456 on Oct 15, 2011 11:12 PM EDT reply actions  

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