This is my Mock Draft. The first sentence of each description until Miami will be why I think that particular team will pass on a QB. I am not going to project trades, but will indicate teams that I think are likely to trade down. Below is what I think the FO should do with the rest of the offseason. Please, feel free to comment. I have a feeling there will be many of you who disagree with me.
Gabbert is not worth the 1st pick. They will take Green, Fairley, or Bowers. When you think about 1st overall picks, they are usually QB’s, guy to protect the QB, or guys who can get to the QB. Carolina will draft an athletic freak somewhat similar to the one they drafted years ago (Peppers)
Have last year’s 1st round pick at QB (Tim Tebow). Fairley is a beast who is scheme diverse. He can play tackle in a 4- 3 or end in a 3- 4. This is a benefit because although Denver ran a 3- 4 last year, new coach, John Fox may move back to a 4- 3. Either way, I can’t see the Broncos passing on Fairley
The Bills are too cheap to go QB in the top 3 and I think they believe that Fitzpatrick is better than he is and will stick with him for at least another season. They will go with Peterson because they have a huge hole in the secondary. Peterson is a potential lock- down CB and one of the best CB prospects in recent memory.
Have a lot of money invested in Carson Palmer. TO is a free agent and will not return, while Ochocinco is clearly not the player he once was. The Bengals need to bring in a weapon for Palmer and they get an elite WR in AJ Green.
I do not see Whisenhunt wasting a year (thus putting his job at risk) by starting a rookie QB, they will sign a vet. Amukamara is not the top CB in the draft, but is an elite prospect in his own right. Arizona will draft him and play him across from Cromartie.
Have their QB in Colt McCoy. They could use some help on that D- line and since they run a 3- 4, Dareus is a very good fit at DE. I believe that this is a team very likely to trade back if AJ Green does not fall to them. They need to get a #1 receiver for McCoy and I think they will trade back and target Julio Jones.
Harbaugh will look for a QB to run his offense. Gabbert is not nearly the QB that Harbaugh had last year at Stanford, but can be a very good player in this league. Everything I have heard about Harbaugh tells me that he is very good with developing QBs, he will get his guy here.
This could go either way. They need a franchise QB, but Fisher may want to sign a vet because he has been on a bit of a hot seat lately. I think they will go the veteran route and bring in a much needed pass rusher. Despite missing this past season, Quinn is an elite prospect who will go in the top 10 (perhaps earlier to Arizona)
Although Romo cannot win a big game, he is the Cowboys franchise QB. The Cowboys really need help in the secondary, but there is not CB worthy of this pick. So, they solidify their D-Line. If Gabbert slips past San Francisco, I could see teams giving Dallas a call to try to move up. Is Miami willing to give up the assets it would take to move up?I don't think so because it would most likely cost us that 3rd round pick. Meaning we have a 1st and then a 4th.
Biggest need is a QB, McNabb will not be back. I can really see them taking Locker. I think he is similar to Cutler in college (Athletic, big arm, not a winner, a ton of potential) and we know that Shanahan loved Cutler. Although Locker is a project, Shanahan is very confident in his ability to develop QB’s.
Has a Pro Bowl caliber QB in Matt Schaub. Houston has needed a pass rush across from Mario Williams for years. They will finally get it with this pick. With the hiring of Wade Phillips, they will shift to a 3-4. Aldon Smith can play OLB in that scheme.
Frasier will look for a young QB to run his offense in the future. For some reason, Frasier strikes me as someone who will play it safe. Ryan Mallett is much closer to the prototype QB than Cam Newton, he will be the pick.
Have the oft- injured Stafford at QB. Maybe if Stafford had some protection he wouldn’t be injured all the time. So, with this pick the Lions take a Left Tackle. This also allows them to move Jeff Backus to RT and Gosder Cherilus inside to RG, effectively solidifying the line. Detroit may be a team willing to move back as there really is no clear top tackle in the draft and they can get a similar player later in the 1st.
Have a soon to be elite (assuming they can get him some weapons) QB in Sam Bradford. Julio Jones will be the first new weapon given to Bradford. Despite his somewhat shaky hands, Jones is a much better receiver than anyone on St. Louis’ roster. With a solid line, a #1 receiver in Jones, a great back in Stephen Jackson, and a very good slot receiver in Amendola, the Rams are close to giving Bradford what he needs.
15. Miami- Cam Newton QB
Ok, I know a lot of you stopped reading after Cam Newton. However, I truly believe that he is going to be a very good Quarterback. He has size, a strong arm, and outstanding athleticism. Also we know he plays well through adversity. He had an enormous amount of pressure (from the fans, the team, the media, and the NCAA) on him all season and still had perhaps the best college football season ever. Give Newton a year to learn from Doball and Pennington (footwork, and reading a D). I know he is not ready to start right away and I am fine with that. Actually, it works out better. This way Henne gets a few more games to show what he has. Many of you have faith that Henne could still be a franchise QB (I do not share your faith), this would give him one last opportunity to show it. Having a young energetic OC will really benefit Newton (and Henne) if we do draft him. I would really like to see this happen. Bottom line is this guy is dynamic and a winner.
Jacksonville needs players to get to the QB, especially in a division with Payton Manning. Kerrigan is a hardworking payer who will fit well in the NFL.
Doesn’t this seem like a Bill Belichick kind of player? Tough, hardnosed, blue collar, and smart. The Pats need to get some pass rush from their line. JJ Watt can help with that as we as being an asset in the run game. This is Bill Belichick we are talking about, so there is a very high chance that he trades back.
Akeem Ayers is known mostly as a sack artist. However, his overall game is very solid. The Chargers need someone to fill the void left by Shawn Merriman, Ayers is similarly skilled in getting to the QB.
19. New York Giants- Brandon Harris CB
Brandon Harris is a very, very good CB prospect out of The U. Many of you have watched him and are a bit disappointed he came out as a Junior. Harris has size and speed, is good in both man and zone, and is not afraid to come up in the run game. While CB is not a huge need for New York, you can never have too many good corners, especially in a division with Vick and his receivers.
Tampa is close to having a very good team. They have a few young studs particularly on the D- Line. Both Gerald McCoy and Brian Price were drafted to play inside last draft. Adding Clayborn to that mix gives Tampa a very good young D- Line.
Kansas City is a young team that surprised some people last season. In order to continue that, they need to add some pass rushing across from Tamba Hali. Von Miller is a perfect fit in the 3- 4 as a pass rushing OLB.
Protecting Payton Manning should be the Colts number one priority. They had a down year this past season mostly due to injuries. Next season will be better with better luck and better protection for Manning, Solder will be an upgrade over Charlie Johnson.
A big strong right tackle to the Eagles. Anytime you are able to acquire better protection for your franchise QB, it is a good pick. Philadelphia had some uncharacteristic problems on the line last season, Carimi will help solve those.
There is no doubt that the Saints have one of the best offenses in the league. However they still lack a consistent running game. Last season they lost a number of backs to injury. Adding a top back like Ingram to the mix will solve the last remaining offensive problem as well as make the Saints a more balanced team. This is a steal. If Mark Ingram had better speed, he would be a top 10 pick.
Adding a big, strong, run stuffing force like Paea to the D- Line will really benefit the Seahawks. Seattle is in an odd situation. They are a losing team that somehow made the playoffs. They now have a late draft pick, thus, making it difficult to add an elite talent through the draft. As their biggest need is at QB, I could see the Seahawks trading back for whichever QB has a good offseason and improves their stock. My money is on either Pat Devlin or Christian Ponder.
Heyward is a perfect fit for the Ravens. He is a great fit in the 3-4 and will fit well with the run-stuffing front of the Ravens. While I love this pick for the Ravens, I can see them taking the top inside linebacker, Martez Williams. I mean Ray Lewis has to lose a step sometime. Right?
To be honest, I don’t really know much about Liuget. However scouts seem to be very high on him so I will give him to the Falcons here.
As mentioned earlier, New England really needs player who can impact QB’s. Justin Houston is a pass rushing OLB who can do that.
30. New York Jets- Allen Bailey DT/DE
Bailey, another player out of The U, is a perfect fit in the 3- 4 of the Jets. He a very good run stopper and is athletic enough to get to the QB. The Jets really need a pass rushing OLB, but there are none available at this pick
Green Bay has some aging O- Lineman. Adding Castonzo to that group will help in the future. The number 1 priority should be ensuring Aaron Rodger’s safety.
Sorry guys, couldn’t resist this one. Pairing the Pouncey twins back up would solve a problem for the Steelers and finally solidify their line.
Now, to other moves I would like to see this team make.
1. Sign Brad Smith
For the Jets, Receivers Holmes, Edwards, and Smith are all free agents. While they would like to bring them all back, that is a lot of money to contribute to one position in one offseason. For us, Smith would be a good fit opposite of Marshall (much better than Hartline). Brad Smith also helps in the return game and runs the wildcat, something we will need if we do not bring Ronnie Brown back. Best of all, Smith shouldn't be that expensive.
Signing this powerful mauling guard would fill two holes on the line. Joseph would be inserted at LG and Richie Incognito would be moved over to center. This should help restore our run game to one of the best in the league. And now since the O- Line is solidified, we can spend that 3rd round pick on a power running back to pair with my next request (hopefully Daniel Thomas, however DeMarco Murray, Evan Royster, and Brandon Saine are other options though I am not 100% sold on any of the 3). Other options include Logan Mankins (way too much money), Ryan Kalil (again a lot of money), and Carl Nicks.
Williams was injured and had a bad season this past year. His asking price may be lower than in the past. Signing him along with the improvements to out O- Line and drafting a complementary power back will restore our once powerful run game. If the asking price is too high, we shoudl try to sign Darren Sproles.
4. Acquire a receiveing TE
Whether that means drafting DJ Williams or signing a free agent. There are a number of free agents who I would like to have. Zach Miller, Marcedes Lewis, and Owen Daniels would all be great additions. Another option would be trading for Martellus Bennett.
This solves two problems. It gives Wake some help rushing the passer and enables Misi to move inside. We can then attempt to trade Crowder (maybe a 5th?)
No obviously I do not work in the Front Office, so I do not know exactly how much money we have to spend nor exactly what the cap situation is. However, I really think with these moves, we can be a very good football team