Upside, Downside, Most likely - Dolphins Offense
By now, we Fin Fans have probably read about every new free agent acquisition, every draft pick, every coaching change, and every talking head’s opinion on what these changes will mean to the Miami Dolphins this coming season – MULTIPLE TIMES!
So rather than discuss the merit of these individual changes, or the perceived failure to address certain apparent areas of need, I thought I might try and take a look at the bigger picture. Where is each overall unit at today? What do these units look like heading into the season if everything goes right? And what are the biggest risks if things don’t go as planned?
For this post, we will focus on the Offense as a whole.
In taking a "systems theory" approach (systems theory just states that you can't evaluate a part of a system without taking into account the entire system), we must realize that the entire unit, offense or defense, can be either better or worse than the sum of its parts. The effectiveness of a unit depends at least as much upon how the different parts work together, as it does upon the ability of the individual parts.
An Offensive Line unit needs raw talent at each position, surely. But even a line with talent at each position will only be effective when they can work together as a unit. We like to call this "chemistry". Chemistry among the members of an Offensive Line creates a force that can open run lanes, and help make the Running Backs effective. Effective Running Backs can take pressure off the Quarterback and help make the passing game effective. Chemistry between a QB and his receivers will help to create positive yards in the passing game, and help the O-line be more effective by keeping them from becoming predictable to the opposing D. And this, in turn, will open more space for the Running Backs. The substitution of one player on the line can raise or lower the play of the entire Offense as a unit.
So let's start with upside!
What is the best case scenario if all of the injured players return to full strength; the newly acquired veterans mesh in the new system; the first or second year players (and we will include Henne in this group) develop to meet or exceed expectations; and the coaches (especially newly acquired Defensive Coordination Mike Nolan, we'll talk about him when we get to Defense) put the available talent best use?
Well, the Offensive starting lineup would probably look something like this:
O-Line – (LT) Jake Long, (LG) John Jerry, (C) Jake Grove, (RG) Richie Incognito, (RT) Vernon Carey
QB – Chad Henne; RB – Ronnie Brown; FB – Lousaka Polite; TE – Anthony Fasano; WR1 – Brandon Marshall; WR2 – Julius Pruitt
There are a few different ways you can rearrange the upside scenario, but a couple of things are given:
- There is very good depth at most positions on the O-Line, so if Jerry develops fast enough to beat out the other options for LG, it must mean he is pretty darn good. Same applies to the competition for the right guard spot (hopefully Incognito will win it!).
- Regardless of who starts at RB, with a healthy Ronnie Brown in the mix, the stable of backs is talented.
So if things go well, we can expect Henne to naturally improve from last season to this season, but even over that natural progression, a better line (the line was great last season, but can be expected to be better this season if we avoid injuries and substitutions), better WRs, and a stronger running game should add to Henne’s improvement at QB. Also, if we are to assume that this is a best case scenario, we must go ahead and assume that the Defense is able to get some stops. This will allow Henne to avoid the mistakes that we saw from him last season, when we got behind and he started pressing, and taking more chances with the ball.
We can also hope to see Fasano return to his 2008 form, or even to have Nalbone or Sperry step up at TE. I am not sold on Fasano, but with the rest of the offensive improvement, he can be expected to get the job done.
Finally, many of you are probably asking, "Why Pruitt?". Well, it doesn’t have to be Pruitt, but as the #2 wide receiver, it would ideally be someone who can stretch the field. That means that, right off the bat, Camarillo and Bess are out. They are more reasonably #3 type slot receivers anyhow. So if we are hoping that a developmental guy will step up as a speed guy, Pruitt has the best combination of size and speed. He is 6’2", 206 lbs, with 4.42 speed. Of course Roberto Wallace has better size at 6’4", 223 lbs, but reports of his speed come in around the 4.53 range. And Ryan Grice-Mullen, running a 4.44 40 is about as fast as Pruitt, but smaller.
With most of the major holes filled on Offense, the one thing yet missing is the speed WR to stretch the field deep. With Marshall as the #1 WR, if one of these guys steps up to fill the #2 WR role, and the quality of depth for the #3 and 4 WR spots, this receiving actually looks very strong.
And since we are asking Santa to bring us our new toys five months early, let’s go ahead and ask for a Kory Sheets to make the team as our scatback. Rumors are that the guy has 4.39 speed and can test a defense side to side. I love Cobbs, but he doesn’t have this kind of speed. If Sheets turns out to be good on returns, we just might get a chance to see him lighting up the opposing defense out of our offensive backfield.
So our upside is scary good! But what about our downside?
Let me just list the things that can throw a monkey wrench into upside:
First, development of players is always unpredictable. John Jerry may not even get into the lineup this year. Or a #2 WR with speed might not emerge. In that case, we are probably dealing with Donald Thomas or Cory Proctor at Guard, and Hartline, Camarillo, or Bess as the number two wide out. A bigger concern than either of these two spots would be QB. If Henne does not develop over last season, or actually regresses, there is no guarantee that Pennington’s shoulder is going to be ready to go, or that Tyler Thigpen will prove a serviceable option.
Second, injured veterans not getting back to 100%. Ronnie Brown; Jake Grove; Patrick Cobbs; Greg Camarillo, all are still question marks coming into training camp. Of these, Grove and Brown are the two most important, and both have replacements that are adequate, but their talent would be missed. The bigger concern would be Brandon Marshall. While no one talks about it much lately, he IS coming off of hip surgery, and for him to have a setback would be devastating. With Marshall out, the offense could quite possibly regress from last season, depending on the status of other developing and recovering players.
Last, new injuries are always a possibility, but the two players whose loss would cause the biggest injury to the offense as a whole are Jake Long and Chad Henne. If either of these men went down, there are no proven replacements of similar talent on the roster.
So what is the prognosis for the Miami Offense? What is the likely scenario?
There is good depth across the line and with the exception of Jake Long, we demonstrated last season how well we can sustain injuries without a huge drop off in performance. And I think it is fair to expect actual improvement on the line over last year due to stability (last season was a fluke with the number of injuries), the return of Jake Grove, and competition among Incognito, Jerry, and Thomas. If they team wants to continue to run the Wildcat, they will need to find a replacement for Smiley as a pulling guard.
Chad Henne has demonstrated the ability to improve from game to game, and should be even better with a full offseason as the starter under his belt (don’t forget, last year in camp he was the #2). And he should have a better receiving corps this season to help him out.
Even if Ronnie Brown or Patrick Cobbs are not quite 100%, Ricky, and Hilliard should do well behind a better line, and with a better passing game. Chances are that at least one of the two will be ready to go.
The chances are slim that an actual undrafted or practice squad guy will step up and become a legitimate #2 speed WR. So we are probably looking at Hartline or Camarillo being the #2 WR, with Bess in the slot. Still, with Marshall as the #1 WR, this will create more opportunities in the passing game and the run game.
Bottom Line:
I expect to see Miami’s Offense this year be able to score quicker that last season, without deviating from a primary philosophy of running the ball to control the clock. I would expect more overall points on the board, from less stalled drives, due to a stronger line, sharper QB, and better WRs.
The future of the Wildcat will largely depend on Ronnie Brown's health. I think this season, the Dolphins will be able to manage without it, if Ronnie is not back to full speed. Assuming that Ronnie Brown is 100%, I believe that the Wildcat will remain a part of the basic Offense.
This weekend, I will take a look at the Upside, Downside, and Most likely of the Miami Defense.
7 recs |
121 comments
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Comments
Nice Post Rec'd
Chillin in the Henne ERA!!!!
"I'm not afraid to hit an old man in Public" The Hangover
Who will win Terrance Cody or Rex Ryan?
Driver of the Brandon Graham Limousine!!!
Dam Rite, I'm Latino
wait it dont matter anyways so... good post anyways
Chillin in the Henne ERA!!!!
"I'm not afraid to hit an old man in Public" The Hangover
Who will win Terrance Cody or Rex Ryan?
Driver of the Brandon Graham Limousine!!!
Dam Rite, I'm Latino
LOL
Okay, to clarify slightly on the #2 WR option:
IMO, the biggest “hole” in the offense is the lack of speed at WR.
This can be considered a good thing, because we aren’t talking about deficiencies at O-line, QB, RB, OR like we have talked about for years, a true #1 WR.
But what one piece could we add that would elevate the play of the entire offense? A deep threat with hands! Period. End of story!
Nothing against Bess – Nothing against Camarillo – Nothing against Hartline – And certainly nothing against Marshall; BUT NONE OF THESE GUYS IS THAT GUY. =) None of these guys is going to stretch opposing defenses.
Ginn would have been awesome IF he were reliable – but he wasn’t and you can’t build an offense around player who might make the play.
Someone asked about why Bess isn’t considered for #2 (according to me). The use Welker as an example. The answer is simple. Welker lines up opposite Moss. Moss IS the deep threat. Bess would be fine lining up opposite a fast guy. But Marshall just isn’t a burner.
Someone else mentioned teams without a burner, like Arizona. Fitz and Boldin. Sure. If we have to go with Marshall and Hartline/Bess/Cammy that would work. And that is probably what will happen. But that wasn’t the purpose of the exercise. It was “What is the best case scenario for the entire Offense?”, and the best case would be to get a burner with reliable hands lining up opposite Marshall at the #2 WR spot. That’s all.
So would anyone really say that having a guy like Pruitt, with size and speed, step up in camp and win the #2 spot is NOT going to improve the offense? Is it likely? No. Would it be better? Of course!
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions
Please correct me if i'm wrong
But back in the days prior to injury, Carson Palmer’s best years (when he was considered one of the best in the league)
Were with Ochocinco and TJ Houshmenzadah (Spelling?) TJ was a great possesion reciever and he wasn’t blazing fast.
Brandon Marshall is better than Ochocinco and Our number 2’s are more than adequate i think speed is a bit overrated…
Hartline or Bess are more than adequate
Leader of the "Guys we are not getting Mark Ingram" bandwagon
just to be clear
you do NOT think a fast, reliable WR would improve the offense?
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions
I think that a speed guy most certainly helps the entire offense but most specifically
B. Marshall.
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by texascowpunk on Jul 22, 2010 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions
so do i. i think it is silly to say "i won't take an upgrade if it's available because i think we can get by with what we have"
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 2:50 PM EDT up reply actions
So true. Every training camp has a surprise player or two.
Be sure to visit Mosul's new blog at www.mosuldolfan.blogspot.com/
"Townes Van Zandt is the best songwriter in the whole world and I'll stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table in my cowboy boots and say that."-Steve Earle
"I'd rather be a dead Gram Parsons than a live Garth Brooks"-Kinky Friedman
by texascowpunk on Jul 22, 2010 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Ryan Grice Mullen
can run in the 4.3’s
i go to university of hawaii. he did it at his proday..
Perhaps, but
how are his hands? Is he Ted Ginn lite?
The thinking behind Pruitt (I believe) is that he has strong hands and good speed for his larger size. He would become an immediate threat on every down and in every range of the field, specifically the red zone.
Also:
Pruitt is smaller than Bess, is he not? I’m not entirely sure how effective he would be as a downfield threat, our current biggest need at the position.
Gonna take a fortnight at least to get this herd down to St. Louis on Mississippi. This glen's gonna be tough to traverse, and that river's got to be 50, 60 meters wide. And God knows how many fathoms. To hell with parliamentary procedure. We've got to wrangle up some cattles!
by Dave.Phuller on Jul 22, 2010 9:13 AM EDT up reply actions
you mean Grice is smaller than Bess?
and yes that is what i was thinking about Pruitt. =)
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 9:14 AM EDT up reply actions
Oh my bad, yes, that's what I meant.
Gonna take a fortnight at least to get this herd down to St. Louis on Mississippi. This glen's gonna be tough to traverse, and that river's got to be 50, 60 meters wide. And God knows how many fathoms. To hell with parliamentary procedure. We've got to wrangle up some cattles!
by Dave.Phuller on Jul 22, 2010 9:18 AM EDT up reply actions
good
super similar statistics in terms of receptions a year, but rgm was always the deeper threat. his yards per catch was i think always a bit higher.
hands were real good in college, connecting with colt brennan (who threw a perfect ball btw).
not sure how that translate into the nfl but looking at bess, he should do perfectly fine
you know
rgm was the #1 deep guy, bess was the #2 underneath guy at UH
with bess at #3 in the slot and marsh at #1, it would be amazing to see rgm at the #2. and see these two work again. as long as ryan hasn’t lost any speed i think he will stretch the field longer than marshall, honestly. not like a vincentjackson type guy but it should open things up
ahh wishful thinking from someone from hawaii haha
Ha, I don't know
lightning in a bottle came once in the form of Davone Bess. The odds are just not in our favor, as much as I’d love for RGM to produce the way DB has.
Gonna take a fortnight at least to get this herd down to St. Louis on Mississippi. This glen's gonna be tough to traverse, and that river's got to be 50, 60 meters wide. And God knows how many fathoms. To hell with parliamentary procedure. We've got to wrangle up some cattles!
by Dave.Phuller on Jul 23, 2010 6:53 PM EDT up reply actions
Pruitt
Even under a best case scenario, I can not see Pruitt being a #2 WR. That would be great, but it’s too soon. He’ll need a few years.
I also don’t think Incognitio needs to develop as mentioned. Incognito has been in the league for a few years now and his talent is not questioned. His skill is developed, but his maturity hasn’t.
Like i said, it would be a best case scenario for us, but i don't think it's likely.
i didn’t mean to imply that Richie needs to develop. i mean that if he wins the position competition. i will re-word it, thanks. =)
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 9:03 AM EDT up reply actions
Ugh time just seem to go SLOWER the closer we get
Great post btw, I think the biggest downside is injuries, if we have another year like last year I don’t expect anything better then 7-9 again. Outside of our O-Line and maybe RBs we don’t have the skill/vet players to come in and take over for the injured player. I really think I’ll cry if Henne or Marshall go down for any time this season.
hang in there! TC is around the corner!
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 9:04 AM EDT up reply actions
this is actually gonna be my first rec'd, nice post !
but im a little dissapointed in the lack of confidence you have in Brian Hartline becoming a legitment # 2 WR . He did lead the team in yards per catch and touchdowns scored last year. plus i feel like people fprget that Henne and Hartline both started last season as number two guys, meaning they have the most practice time together, so the chemistry is there. Other than that we see eye to eye .
most people around here know me to be a big hartline proponent
(just ask finster)
=)
It isn’t a lack of confidence. It is just that in a “best case” we need a guy faster than hartline.
Since i didn’t want to make it another hartline argument, I just left the option open on the #2 spot. I personally think Hartline is the better option over cammy or bess.
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 9:06 AM EDT up reply actions
We also need to see what the fallout of the Hit and run accident are
If he gets into legal trouble severe enough to warrant league action, or worst case, jail time, and action, he won’t make much of a two. If the cause of the accident were that he had been drinking (which we will never know) then there may be deeper issues. I like the way he plays, but feel like I need to take a wait, and see attitude about him overall.
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P-E-T-S, PETS, PETS, PETS!
All that it means
is now teams can not stack the line of scrimage against us. Just weight and see now what the wildcat can really
do. Adding B. Marsh just made Henne Ronnie and Ricky
that much better. The sky is the limit for this Offense.
pruitt?
WE GOT BRANDON MARSHALL!!!!!
"Faster than a speeding walrus" -Me.
"Violence is not the answer, it's the question; the answer is YES!!!"
oh, wait, never mind
i read the explanation naw
WE GOT BRANDON MARSHALL!!!!!
"Faster than a speeding walrus" -Me.
"Violence is not the answer, it's the question; the answer is YES!!!"
as i recall....
i remember seeing Hartline, make big play after big play last season. i think B. marsh makes it easier for hartline to get open. he may not be a Y.A.C. kinda guy, but when he’s catching the ball 20-25 yards down the field, i dont think he needs to be. i see hartline winning the #2 spot early, and keeping for the rest of the season.
member of the bikini strap beach bandits
i also like hartline at the position.
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 9:07 AM EDT up reply actions
lefty deuce and i love Pruitt
he has the chance the make it.
But, I’m also a fan of Taurus Johnson and I hope he makes it
"Welcome to The Doghouse"
"The more people I meet the more I like my dog."
Winner of The Davone Bess Little Guy Award, 2010
Driver of the "Give Taurus Johnson a chance", golf kart
With all our talent elsewhere, do we really need a "speedster" on the outside?
Yea, it would be nice; but I would much rather have a Cam or Hartline that can catch than someone like Ginn who is a drive stopper. I think its actually a long shot for any WR to make the team outside the 4 locks unless they win the returner job; so my favorite there is Grice-Mullen.
And why no love for Garner? He’s my favorite to win the LG spot, although I must admit, if Jerry or Thomas steps up to almost the same level than Garner might be better served as a multi-positional backup.
Never underestimate the value of a wide receiver that can stretch the field
There’s a reason we had a relatively strong passing game, even given our dearth of talent at the position: and his name rhymes with Med Sin.
Sure, he didn’t catch the ball every time when he went deep and the ball came his way (and by every time, I mean ever), but he kept the secondary honest and made space underneath for the ilkes of Bess. I think trading him comes back to haunt us if we can’t find a viable replacement to run out there, at least on 3/4 receiver sets.
Gonna take a fortnight at least to get this herd down to St. Louis on Mississippi. This glen's gonna be tough to traverse, and that river's got to be 50, 60 meters wide. And God knows how many fathoms. To hell with parliamentary procedure. We've got to wrangle up some cattles!
by Dave.Phuller on Jul 22, 2010 9:17 AM EDT up reply actions
Pruitt will not be the number 2
I agree speed is something you want in the offense. But it is something you rotate in. Plus big WR who can out jump any one are very good and scary deep threats. Where was the speed threat in the Cardinals offense the last few years????
Founder of the unofficial Draft Dexter McCluster band wagon!
The Patriots Suck
Pruitt is one of the bigger WRs we have, besides Turner, who could fill the role
If Pruitt develops, he is more than just a speed guy.
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 9:08 AM EDT up reply actions
I just don't seeing him making the team
Founder of the unofficial Draft Dexter McCluster band wagon!
The Patriots Suck
Not just Arizona what about one of the most underated Duo in all of football in Green Bay
They get it done every year and they never get any love. Not to mention thaty stay out of trouble
by D0lphins4Life on Jul 22, 2010 10:18 AM EDT up reply actions
Great post Lefty...
Obviously I’m on the Pruitt bandwagon, but he’s got a tough hill to climb. The 5th WR spot is a TC battle I’m going to be following. IMO, its between Pruitt, RGM, and Taurus Johnson. Turner is rumored to have work ethic issues and he’ll be gone unless he steps up.
Our O-Line should be great this year and I think that will help other areas also. Thigpen played relatively well in KC with less talent than we have. Our line should give him plenty of time to play well if he has to come in. Our line will also make our RBs better. If Jerry and Incognito win the starting spots, then they should open gaping holes for any RB. If Brown and/or Williams go down, Hilliard and Sheets will be functional behind our line.
So to me, our O-Line is the key. They should be good enough to give any of our QBs plenty of protection and open plenty of holes in the rushing attack.
Proponent of I-AA Football
Riding shotgun on the Julius Pruitt Bandwagon
Unofficial Phinsider DJ
Pruitt???
Sorry, I can’t go with that pick….and also doubt the JJ will sart on the OL…maybe rotated in the mix when the score permits but the starter…
name a better option. =)
Jerry and Pruitt are just in upside, not “likely”.
like i said, you don’t need to expect Pruitt to make it. The point of upside is to look at best case, and we need a speed WR.
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 9:24 AM EDT up reply actions
I forgot to the Wildcat
i just added it. Ronnie needs to be healthy and the team needs a replacement for Smiley as a pulling guard. They won’t need to run it this year, but will keep it as part of the base offense if they have the personnel for it.
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 9:22 AM EDT reply actions
They will use the wildcat.
It forces defenses to prepare for something else. And we’ve seen what happens when they aren’t prepared.
by christiandolfan on Jul 22, 2010 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions
Another good one from Lefty
Listen to me here….the most important offensive player last year that went down with an injury was Patrick Cobbs. He is the unsung and special ingredient in the Wildcat. After his ACL tear in the Jets game, our yards per attempt when running the Wildcat went directly down, and our Wildcat formation attempts per game plummeted as well. He is the key that people constantly overlook.
Ricky took the snaps that Ronnie normally would take and performed well. Sheets coming in motion to stretch the field is acceptable due to his speed. Cobbs is the key.
i agree he was sorely missed
he was lost way too early in the season and it hurt us. Key loss in my opinion. I thinking we are used to losing Ronnie and Ricky picked up the slack for awhile. No one person replaces everything Cobbs can do.
"I likem me some UDFAs"
Hopefully Hilliard will progress this season, as it is likey that
Cobbs’s play will still be effected by the ACL tear.
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I'm enjoying your writing...
The injury to veterans will play more than anything else in the line up. It creates opportunity, a crack in the door, for other players to move in and up.
With that, to me the most considered position is RB. P Cobbs is nursing and this has created (in my thinking) an “opportunity” for Kory Sheets to step in and up… adding his versatility and speed to offensive plans, such as the wildcat.
We know the team will only keep four active backs, including the full back position. They are: Polite, Brown, Ricky and the opportunity of Kory over Patrick.
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Its hard for me to see Cobbs back this year
He’s not an athletic freak like Ronnie. I’m rooting for him, but that injury for a RB takes time…
Unofficial driver of "All W's before the Bye" Bandwagon
he's the Jim Jensen of the current Dolphins
Hopefully they’ll put him on the PUP and let him come back slowly. We might quite a few players on the PUP
"I likem me some UDFAs"
Dave you crack me up.... Nice Post LCFF
“Sure, he didn’t catch the ball every time when he went deep and the ball came his way (and by every time, I mean ever) " If it wasnt so freakin true I would laugh….. I’m still angry at that idiot CAM for drfting GINN…
I would really like to see Hartline win the #2 job because there is more upside with him over BESS & Camirillo – but I am a big fan of CAM !
Alpha 6 is right too about SHEETS… I am very curious to see what he could bring to the ‘Cat running game… We need some more speed from the RB’s and not just power – ALA Chris Johnson type speed…. And we still need to draft another speed guy at WR (IN THE LOWER ROUNDS) I wanted JACOBY FORD ….
40 Year FIN FAN
DRAFT a #1 WR now.........
Why isn't Bess getting any love for our #2?
He’s been our most productive receiver the past two seasons. It seems like he knows how to get open, which should be a factor. I personally think that all 3 will end up with similar playing time and would be surprised if any one of them got 60% or more of the snaps as the #2 guy. (unless of course one of them dominates during TC)
by christiandolfan on Jul 22, 2010 11:09 AM EDT reply actions
i dunno? wes welker is the number 2 in new england.......and he's 5'9" and runs a 4.5/4.6 40yd
don’t rule bess out automatically just because he’s “short and slow”………..we have a deep threat, brandon marshall, he’s a threat anywhere on the field……….
i agree that speed is important to stretch the defense but we have the luxury (as some have pointed out, i.e., cards and packers) of not needing speed to get 1 on 1 matchups……..
hartline can make the big play downfield, camarillo can make the uncatchable reception, pruitt with hands would be awesome……but right now our most dependable and productive receiver aside from brandon marshall is davone bess……….and no one is considering him……
i’ve thought that hartline will probably get that spot……but the more i think about it………it wouldn’t be prudent to rule out davone bess…………..bess does rhyme with wes after all…………
Just one man's opinion...
"mark my words...we will draft 2 corners within the first 4 picks" - 2009
"mark my words...we will draft 4 new linebackers this off-season" - 2010
i love bess also
but keep him in his natural position , the slot , he dominates at the slot postion .
There seems to be a consensus that just because Bess will dominate in the slot he shouldn't be the number two.
So, move him to the slot in all the receiver sets that call for one. Doesn’t mean he can’t be number 2 too.
by christiandolfan on Jul 22, 2010 6:07 PM EDT up reply actions
Also, it seems like we would do fine in 4 wide sets.
Note to self: Read the fanshots!
-Pulse of the Maggots- P.o.t.M.
Driving the Evan Royster and Allen Bradford Rock 'N Roll Train!
Mosul, check it out! http://www.mosuldolfan.blogspot.com/
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I was going to post another comment including more comparisons of bess to wes and the pro day results of the rest of our wideouts but........ VERY GOOD READ
i came across this post by ckparrothead over at finheaven on 6/25……..he reads my mind……
People forget that Bess is only just now entering his 3rd year as a pro.
Here are some reality checks.
1. At this point in his career Wes Welker had 29 catches for 431 yards and 0 TDs to his name. Davone Bess has 130 catches for 1312 yards and 3 TDs. And don’t give me any sob stories about Welker’s humble beginnings, because let’s face it Bess’ beginnings were just as humble. They both were UDFAs after being really productive college players.
2. They have basically the same athleticism, except Davone’s is probably a little bit better. Go check their Combine/Pro Day numbers if you like. Welker ran a 4.65 at his Pro Day, had a 30" vertical, 9’5" broad jump, 4.01 shuttle and 7.09 cone. Davone Bess ran a 4.64/2.61/1.53 at the Combine, and a 4.60/2.66/1.59 at his Pro Day. He jumped 31.5" and 32.5". He jumps 9’7" and 9’10". His shuttles were 4.27 and 4.28. His cones were 6.97 and 7.15. Bess was 5’10" and 194 lbs. Welker was 5’9" and 195 lbs.
You have to think back, it’s easy to compare Welker NOW with what he’s accomplished, to Bess now when he’s only a 2nd year player. But to be fair you have to think back to what Welker had shown us after his 2nd year in the pros. I think that if you knew nothing about Wes Welker’s future and you were to rip him out of the past and put him next to Davone Bess right now, everyone here would hands down rate Bess the better football player
.
The one difference I’ve seen between the two so far is that in his 2nd year Welker didn’t have a period where he kept dropping the ball and/or fumbling it. I wasn’t sure if that was something in Bess that indicates he’ll keep dropping passes, or if it was just some kind of weird sophomore thing that happens to even the best. But Welker didn’t really have the opportunity to have that kind of phase because he only caught 29 passes his 2nd year.
I could see a similar thing happening in 2010 with the Dolphins as happened in 2007 with the Patriots. Not necessarily the record-breaking passing offense but in terms of Bess being a go-to player for catches, Marshall being a go-to player for catches, but also Hartline being a guy that like Donte Stallworth, plays an important and productive role.
I just thought this was a really interesting revelation. Marshall had talked about Bess a lot, how much he was impressed with him. He’s talked unbidden about how when he got here he told Bess that he really appreciated his game because he likes how he’s able to catch that short ball, make a guy miss and gain 10 yards or so, he’s real physical after the catch and Brandon likes that. Some time later he talked about how hard Bess works and how hard he studies and how nobody outworks him. I initially mistook this as praise he was heaping on Bess because of the potential awkwardness of the number situation, and I thought the only reason he was even talking about Davone was because he keeps fielding questions about him due to the number thing. But now, you don’t tell someone that you think they’re going to the Pro Bowl this year just to be polite. He talked in this interview with Evan Cohen about his experience with Eddie Royal and how close they were and how it was their goal to get each of them 100 catches, that whenever he was on the sidelines he kept lobbying for them to throw the ball at Eddie so they could accomplish that goal. Eddie ended up with 91 catches so they didn’t quite make it, but it was a revealing story in connection with his admission that he told Davone that he expects him in the Pro Bowl…because people tend to see the present through the lens of the past and to me it means he’s already framing his relationship with Davone Bess like he thought of his relationship with Eddie Royal, and probably Mike Sims-Walker.
Just one man's opinion...
"mark my words...we will draft 2 corners within the first 4 picks" - 2009
"mark my words...we will draft 4 new linebackers this off-season" - 2010
i won't debate Bess' potential
i love the guy! But he is NEVER going to be a deep threat unless on a particular play the D breaks down and Bess gets lucky enough to get behind the DBs.
I wrote a post last year that had a comparison of Bess to Welker also. But like I said above, the ONE ELEMENT MISSING FROM OUR WR CORPS TODAY IS DEEP SPEED. Can we get through the season without it? Sure. And successfully. But what would improve the play of the entire Offense? A reliable WR with deep speed.
Welker plays with Moss, who can stretch the field. Marshall is a great talent, but he just doesn’t have that kind of speed. Adding speed to the other WR would help Marshall out, help the run game out, and help Henne out by keeping the defense more loose.
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 11:55 AM EDT up reply actions
oh believe me......i'm on the "i hope pruitt can bring it" bandwagon all the way........
just sayin’………….
Just one man's opinion...
"mark my words...we will draft 2 corners within the first 4 picks" - 2009
"mark my words...we will draft 4 new linebackers this off-season" - 2010
lol I must say the numbers don’t mean anything. Different QB’s, different scenarios, etc.
Shuttle is the most important measurement for a slot receiver, 4.01 of Welkers compared to Bess 4.27 should tell you something.
Bess proved he fumbles the ball. Now he will have the much harder task proving that it was a fluke.
No, Marshall isn’t a deep threat like Randy Moss so the field will be tighter than NE’s.
Finally Bess is a hard worker but he’s no Welker. At least not yet number wise. He just happens to play a position that very few excel at.
Can't remember the last time Miami had so much talent.
Rusty Smith! (Titans future qb)
The shuttle is just a drill, and I think that both Welker and Bess are terrific route runners.
Note to self: Read the fanshots!
-Pulse of the Maggots- P.o.t.M.
Driving the Evan Royster and Allen Bradford Rock 'N Roll Train!
Mosul, check it out! http://www.mosuldolfan.blogspot.com/
The "pm striker king"- WZB
I know what it is and what it test. Like i said its the most important measurement for a Slot WR. Yes both are great route runners. They wont be on the playing if they weren’t.
Can't remember the last time Miami had so much talent.
Rusty Smith! (Titans future qb)
by 54 on Jul 22, 2010 2:33 PM EDT up reply actions
But route running has a lot to do with quickness.
and the shuttle test short area acceleration, something needed for great route running. Since they both are great route runners, we can assume they are quick enough to get it done.
Note to self: Read the fanshots!
-Pulse of the Maggots- P.o.t.M.
Driving the Evan Royster and Allen Bradford Rock 'N Roll Train!
Mosul, check it out! http://www.mosuldolfan.blogspot.com/
The "pm striker king"- WZB
You hit it perfect
this years has alot of IF’s
Life is not about waiting for the storm to pass, it's about learning to dance in the rain!
I like Hartline. He is elusive and can run after the catch, or the wreck. Even the cops can’t grab him.
by onebaud on Jul 22, 2010 12:05 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Nice job pops!
Be sure to visit Mosul's new blog at www.mosuldolfan.blogspot.com/
"Townes Van Zandt is the best songwriter in the whole world and I'll stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table in my cowboy boots and say that."-Steve Earle
"I'd rather be a dead Gram Parsons than a live Garth Brooks"-Kinky Friedman
Julius Pruitt as #2? It will not happen. It would be awesome if he can work his way onto the 53 and then move up the ranks. Like you said he has a great combination of talent and size. Camarillo is all healed up. He was starting to plant the foot by seasons end. I don’’t think Sheets can unseat Cobb’s. If he unseats someone it will be Hillard. That’s going to be a tough choice. I agree with your bottom line and I think Brown will be 100% by game 1.
Can't remember the last time Miami had so much talent.
Rusty Smith! (Titans future qb)
great post
im hoping to see hartline as our number two and bess in the slot with cam thrown in the mix….
me too. if i had to pick based on what we know today, I would pick hartline as well.
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions
If Juilius f-ing Pruitt is our #2 receiver, we’re f*cked. Period.
Hartline has to be the guy.
MATTEAU!!!!! MATTEAU!!!!!!! MATTEAU!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
that makes no sense. =)
If Pruitt is the #2 WR, it is because he beat out Hartline.
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions
So true. It won't happen IMO but still true.
Be sure to visit Mosul's new blog at www.mosuldolfan.blogspot.com/
"Townes Van Zandt is the best songwriter in the whole world and I'll stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table in my cowboy boots and say that."-Steve Earle
"I'd rather be a dead Gram Parsons than a live Garth Brooks"-Kinky Friedman
by texascowpunk on Jul 22, 2010 2:34 PM EDT up reply actions
LOL
i never said it was probable, but i can hope, right? =)
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions
I always hope that one of the unknown guys will wind up being a bad ass.
Who every thought that an undersized LB who was a walk on at Texas Tech and taken in the later rounds would wind up being the best LB Miami has ever had?
Be sure to visit Mosul's new blog at www.mosuldolfan.blogspot.com/
"Townes Van Zandt is the best songwriter in the whole world and I'll stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table in my cowboy boots and say that."-Steve Earle
"I'd rather be a dead Gram Parsons than a live Garth Brooks"-Kinky Friedman
by texascowpunk on Jul 22, 2010 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions
My 2cents Lefty,
Upside:
Our upside is top flight offense, last year we were on the verge of being dangerous, add an elite NFL WR, now we are dangerous.
Realistic ifs are all that it will take, if Henne gets a little better, he doesn’t need to improve by leaps and bounds, even if he doesn’t improve, he will be better because of Marshall.
If our OGs work out smoothly, I kind of expect it from Incognito, and if that piece falls, then whoever is playing LG will just have to be adequate.
If we stay relatively healthy, and that is about it, IMO we will be a powerhouse offense this year, we will be hard to stop, the question is will we be an almost unstoppable offense, I think that is more than possible.
On the flanker issue, the presence of Marshall really downgrades the need for a true flanker, he is an allday double team WR, as Wyatt said, he is a threat no matter where he is, the best possible WR to start opposite him is the guy who gets open the most, and that is not even remotely close, Bess is the guy here, he gets open, end of story, IMO.
Downside
IMO the downside is still very high, unless we get hit with the WRONG injuries, but leaving those aside we will be a very good offense this year unless something drastic happens.
Most Likely
IMO we will most likely be a top ten offense that no one wants to play because of our powerful versatility, we will be a high caliber run and pass team that is able to keep A LOT of drives alive, we will be a TOP, field position nightmare for most teams.
And thats my 2cents Lefty.
;^J
"michael, I did nothing,...... I did absolutely nothing,.... and it was everything I thought it could be" -Peter Gibbons-
Unofficial "Avatar Creator"
former Goof Trooper and proud recipient of the Matty JLRBotY award 2010
BandWaken Got me this Matty BLB award 2010
nice response finster! Thanks!
i agree. And i don’t think we need a speedy flanker, but it would help to have some speed on the outside.
and i think you mean the downside is not very high?
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions
I guess it's how you look at it, lol
but yes.
:>O
"michael, I did nothing,...... I did absolutely nothing,.... and it was everything I thought it could be" -Peter Gibbons-
Unofficial "Avatar Creator"
former Goof Trooper and proud recipient of the Matty JLRBotY award 2010
BandWaken Got me this Matty BLB award 2010
by uncle finster on Jul 22, 2010 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions
thanks for shout out finster!! whatup?!!!!
Just one man's opinion...
"mark my words...we will draft 2 corners within the first 4 picks" - 2009
"mark my words...we will draft 4 new linebackers this off-season" - 2010
A speedster would make our offense unstoppable.
Especially with the arm that henne has.
by BigPuma23 on Jul 22, 2010 4:04 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
Yes! This! ↑↑↑
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm getting irritated with people who aren't even reading the article
Lefty isnt saying Pruitt will make the team, just that should he perform at his highest level (if he can) he would be a perfect #2.
And This! ↑↑↑
=)
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions
Lefty has magic arrows.
Be sure to visit Mosul's new blog at www.mosuldolfan.blogspot.com/
"Townes Van Zandt is the best songwriter in the whole world and I'll stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table in my cowboy boots and say that."-Steve Earle
"I'd rather be a dead Gram Parsons than a live Garth Brooks"-Kinky Friedman
by texascowpunk on Jul 22, 2010 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions
Lol; do we need magic or just read the artical?
wopper "the king" computer
by wild zion beaver on Jul 22, 2010 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions
Well you can just read the article of course but knowing some magic never hurt anyone.
Be sure to visit Mosul's new blog at www.mosuldolfan.blogspot.com/
"Townes Van Zandt is the best songwriter in the whole world and I'll stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table in my cowboy boots and say that."-Steve Earle
"I'd rather be a dead Gram Parsons than a live Garth Brooks"-Kinky Friedman
by texascowpunk on Jul 22, 2010 4:42 PM EDT up reply actions
Oh heres Lefty now!
Be sure to visit Mosul's new blog at www.mosuldolfan.blogspot.com/
"Townes Van Zandt is the best songwriter in the whole world and I'll stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table in my cowboy boots and say that."-Steve Earle
"I'd rather be a dead Gram Parsons than a live Garth Brooks"-Kinky Friedman
by texascowpunk on Jul 22, 2010 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions
lmao...
Adjutant General, Matty Fan Club
64 "Phinsider Fued" Points..!!
"Official draft Koa Misi bus -- the A.J. Duhe of this decade!"
sup Alph?
Note to self: Read the fanshots!
-Pulse of the Maggots- P.o.t.M.
Driving the Evan Royster and Allen Bradford Rock 'N Roll Train!
Mosul, check it out! http://www.mosuldolfan.blogspot.com/
The "pm striker king"- WZB
nm tonight
hows it for you?
Adjutant General, Matty Fan Club
64 "Phinsider Fued" Points..!!
"Official draft Koa Misi bus -- the A.J. Duhe of this decade!"
Good, goldy is yapping as always.
going to bed though
Note to self: Read the fanshots!
-Pulse of the Maggots- P.o.t.M.
Driving the Evan Royster and Allen Bradford Rock 'N Roll Train!
Mosul, check it out! http://www.mosuldolfan.blogspot.com/
The "pm striker king"- WZB
he said.....
that we DO have reliable receivers. additionally, he was stating that you were fixated on speed as a necessary condition for improvement. let us not forget the “knock” on jerry rice.
not "necessary", but more accurately, one of the few things missing.
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions
Great post lefty
People who are questioning why Pruitt is in the upside lineup. Its not supposed to be a projected lineup, its the best possible offense ammusing every player plays to his full realistic potential. The only thing I would question is I think Donald Thomas’ potential is probably higher than Jerry’s. People forget how good Thomas looked before his injuries and he still did start 12 games last season. Lefty, I think it would be a good idea if Matty would let you do one post a week. It would take off of his workload, and be a change of pace for us regulars. ( Nothing against Matty at all, just thinkin it could be beneficial to all parties). Lookin foward to the defensive post very much.
there are other ways to “stretch the field” other than having one guys that runs a sub 4.4 40. This is why intelligent route running is so important. separation (even deep separation) can be achieved with adequate speed and above average intelligence.
I understand that, but
guys like Bess, Hartline, and Camarillo only have so much potential due to their measurables. Pruitt’s potential is sky high due to his measurables. The upside post is virtually only dealing with a player’s potential.
i have always been a huge jerry rice fan, so your point is not lost on me.
but there is an adage in the NFL that “speed kills”, and adding speed is usually a good thing in a WR, as long as you are not sacrifice the fundamentals (this is what happened with Ginn).
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions
thanks man
the thing about the O-line is that we are in the pleasant position of a “win-win”. Between Jerry, Incognito, Thomas, and even Proctor or Berger, the competition is good so the starters will be the “best of the best”.
It may very well be Thomas. =)
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions
Agree about the line.
Some position battles envovle because a lack of quality players (see free safety). That’s not the case with the offensive line. Good competition between a lot of quality guys. Whomever wins the starting job, it will certainly be warrented. Did you see my idea about you doing one post a week?
yep. and believe you me... i don't know how matty does it.
writing a post a day like he does. it’s tough!
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 22, 2010 11:12 PM EDT up reply actions
I know right.
I mean you and special agent could alternate between doing a post a week or something like that. Matty doesn’t usually write on the weekends if he doesn’t want to give up any of his posts (which I doubt)
by vaneasy2338 on Jul 22, 2010 11:15 PM EDT up reply actions
No crackerjack box to stash him in, so might as well keep toying around with the idea of us holding on to 7 WR. this year
or forget about sheet’s as a kick returner & turn one of the wideout’s into punt returner?
wopper "the king" computer
by wild zion beaver on Jul 22, 2010 4:36 PM EDT reply actions
Do not underestimate the importance of a blocking WR.
Big runs are made with blocks on the outside. It is that simple. Brandon Marshall is a BEAST and will take care of his side unlike anything we have had in the past. #2 also has got to be physical. A Devone Bess type receiver is much more suited to the slot. Where as a Julius Pruitt has more size and strength to handle a run block on the outside. Having speed out there is just one bonus that a particular player may carry in his own personal arsenal. On the NFL level everyone has speed. Even the considered slow players are fast and on gameday its a “who knows” as to what player is going to be faster.
fins O
umm..last i remember, the fins offense WAS putting points on the board while the D gave up the points. as for the new receivers, if sparano is smart and gives them a CHANCE,expect to see 1 of them make an impact! ohh, the fins offense averaged 22 ppg in the last 3 games of the season, while the defense averaged 28 points allowed!
I think RGM could be that speed guy your looking for.
He had very sure hands in Hawaii and when he played in Canada.
"Real gangsta-a$$ ni**as don't flex nuts cause real gangsta-a$$ ni**as know they got'em"-Geto Boyz-
"This weed was the shiz-nittlebam snip-snap-sack"-Thurgood Jenkins
The official Kory Sheets clan leader!!! LaRon Byrd the next Phenom from the U!!!
Wade County and The 3 Kings!!! Bring J-Will back to Miami!!!
I think RGM will be this year's Wake/ Bess
If we can get one somewhat productive UDFA / CFLFA a year, we will be in great shape.
Note to self: Read the fanshots!
-Pulse of the Maggots- P.o.t.M.
Driving the Evan Royster and Allen Bradford Rock 'N Roll Train!
Mosul, check it out! http://www.mosuldolfan.blogspot.com/
The "pm striker king"- WZB
Lefty, Great Post
and it has created some good banter. Thanks for the taking the reins while
the leader is away.
"I likem me some UDFAs"
some big shoes to fill, i tell ya... =)
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 23, 2010 1:31 AM EDT up reply actions
you're doing one helluva job
I never figured out if Matty was retired or what, but he has some great articles also. And not just once a week or so, but every damn day.
"I likem me some UDFAs"
yeah, he isn't retired =)
he juggles this and work
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 23, 2010 11:54 AM EDT up reply actions
i wonder if we didnt pick TE
Because of Pruitt,we’ve tried it with wilford,and Pru seems like a viable option for deep threat at H-Back.
Imagine,
Hartline. Bess. Pruitt. Fasano. Marshall
We don’t need the tight end next to long to pull to help with run blocking,and it’ll give us an option on the in or outside slants.
Also it allows us to virtually keep 6 wr’s while only using 5 slots to fill. It also gives Pruitt much needed game time exp. With this many people to throw to,well someones guaranteed to be open,not to mention,cam and rgm waiting in the fold. This offense has viable potential,and can also work even if ronnie goes down.as a bonus ricky would get time to rest in between a few snaps here and there
by dolphinfan4lyfe on Jul 23, 2010 12:30 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
Not a chance
Pruitt is not the type of player that can fill that position. They’d still at least need to be respectable blockers. On a run-first team, you’re not going to sacrifice a position just so you can have someone run routes in the middle of the field.
he's not big enough for that role
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 23, 2010 1:31 AM EDT up reply actions
maybe turner, but he doesn't seem very physical
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 23, 2010 1:32 AM EDT up reply actions
This^
"michael, I did nothing,...... I did absolutely nothing,.... and it was everything I thought it could be" -Peter Gibbons-
Unofficial "Avatar Creator"
former Goof Trooper and proud recipient of the Matty JLRBotY award 2010
BandWaken Got me this Matty BLB award 2010
by uncle finster on Jul 23, 2010 7:57 AM EDT up reply actions
This would be a great idea, if...
If Turner was physical enough and had the proper work ethic.
Proponent of I-AA Football
Riding shotgun on the Julius Pruitt Bandwagon
Unofficial Phinsider DJ
Hartline is fast
He isnt a burner but he isnt slow as shit either
2009 NY Phin PhansFantasy League Champion
2009 Best Regular Season Record in NYPPL.
2010 The Jim Mandich NewsFlash Award Winner.
""It only ends once. Everything that comes before is just progress"
he is the fastest of the WRs who played last season, other than Ginn.
-LCFF
DotJPBW
(under protest)
by LeftCoastFinFan on Jul 23, 2010 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions

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