Mike Williams is one of the best examples of high risk/high reward player going into the 2010 draft. He is a 6’2" 210 lbs. receiver formerly of Syracuse University. He is a prototypical #1 WR with enough talent to be a 1st round pick. However, his off the field issues have cast a shadow over him and caused his draft stock to plummet. What are you getting if you draft Mike Williams?
(Some player analysis at http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/players/1115064)
He was a very productive player when he was on the field. In 2009, he compiled 49 receptions, 746 yards, and 6 TDs in 7 games. His career stats are 133 receptions, 2044 yards, and 20 TDs in 3 seasons.
There are questions about his maturity level and dedication. He was suspended in 2008 for cheating allegations. He quit the team during the 2009 season for undisclosed reasons.
Miami is in need of a playmaking receiver and Williams could be that kind of player. But should we take the risk on him?
First of all, I would not take this guy any higher than the third round. If he’s available in the 3rd, I’d think about it. Any higher than that is out of the question.
I wouldn’t draft him and expect him to become "the man" right away. He needs the time to grow and mature without the pressure of having to be the #1 WR immediately, which leads to:
I wouldn't draft him without a solid veteran presence to mentor him. If we get a guy like Boldin, I may take a risk on him. But without someone to help him, show him the ropes, and teach him how to be a professional, it would be too risky.
These are my rules for considering Williams an acceptable risk. Is he still too risky for you? What do you think?