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Final Roster Predictions

After a long, grueling training camp and preseason, some players will no longer be Miami Dolphins as of 4 pm eastern on Saturday.  The Dolphins went into Thursday's preseason finale with 66 players on their roster.  They must be down to 53 players by the 4 pm deadline.

Below is my final roster prediction.  I've included some explanations after my prediction.  Check it out and then tell us your final predictions.

Star-divide

1st Team 2nd Team 3rd Team
QB Chad Pennington Chad Henne Pat White
RB Ronnie Brown Ricky Williams Patrick Cobbs
FB Lousaka Polite
WR Ted Ginn Greg Camarillo Brandon London
WR Davone Bess
Brian Hartline
Patrick Turner
TE Anthony Fasano David Martin John Nalbone
LT Jake Long Andrew Gardner
LG Justin Smiley Brandon Frye
C Jake Grove Joe Berger
RG Donald Thomas
Shawn Murphy
RT Vernon Carey
1st Team 2nd Team 3rd Team
DE Kendall Langford Tony McDaniel
NT Jason Ferguson Paul Soliai
DE Randy Starks
Phillip Merling
Lionel Dotson
SOLB Jason Taylor
Charlie Anderson
Quentin Moses
ILB Channing Crowder Reggie Torbor
ILB Akin Ayodele
WOLB Joey Porter Cameron Wake
Erik Walden
CB Will Allen Vontae Davis Jason Allen
CB Sean Smith
Nathan Jones

S Yeremiah Bell Chris Clemons
S Gibril Wilson Tyrone Culver
1st Team 2nd Team 3rd Team
K Dan Carpenter
P Brandon Fields
LS John Denney

PUP: Matt Roth
Last 5 On: Brandon London, Erik Walden, John Nalbone, Brandon Frye, Quentin Moses
First 5 Off: Lex Hilliard, William Kershaw, Joey Haynos, Courtney Bryan, Nate Garner

Quick explanations:

  • The final roster spot, for me, came down to Brandon London, Lex Hilliard, and William Kershaw.  But I think Kershaw could still make the team if the Dolphins decide to only keep five outside linebackers as opposed to six - possibly in place of Erik Walden or Quentin Moses.  I think they'll try to sneak Hilliard onto the practice squad.  The bottom line is that London is more valuable in terms of the number of plays he sees on gameday because of special teams.  Although, truth be told, regardless of if it's London or Hilliard, I'm not sure either is a lock to be active on gameday.
  • I'm confident that the Dolphins will keep three tight ends.  Some think David Martin could be a surprise cut, but he's still head and shoulders better than either John Nalbone or Joey Haynos.  With the number of two TE sets Dan Henning uses, I don't see why the Dolphins would need to cut Martin.  You could see the Dolphins keep Haynos over Nalbone, though - which would mean Nalbone is a prime practice squad candidate.  But I also wouldn't be shocked to see another team (Kansas City or Cincinnati, for example) poach Nalbone off wiavers.  Both teams have a need at tight end.  I wouldn't even take the risk, if I were the Dolphins - which is why Nalbone is on my final 53.
  • I think Dotson has shown enough to earn a roster spot.  But barring injury, he's likely going to be inactive on most gamedays.
  • I wouldn't be shocked if the Dolphins decided to waive Andrew Gardner in favor of Nate Garner.  If that's the case, the Dolphins would obviously hope to get Gardner on the practice squad.
  • If I had to come up with a list of possible practice squad candidates based on my 53-man roster prediction above, I'd say J.D. Folsom and Lex Hilliard would be locks.  Mark Lewis and James Robinson would be other possibilities.  And I'd expect the Dolphins to go outside the organization for other potential guys.

0 recs  |  Comment 67 comments |

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Physically Unable to Peform list

He doesn’t count against the 53-man list and then when week 6 (or week 8 – I forget which is the PUP deadline), the Dolphins have to either put him onto the active 53-man roster or end his season by putting him on Injured Reserve.

by Matty I on Sep 4, 2009 7:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

week 6

****Keeper of the Phinsider Goo Cannon****
Phinsider's 2008 Jake Long Rookie Blogger of the Year and Zach Thomas Leadership Award Winner
Initiator of the Lex Hilliard Bandwagon! Driving the DRAFT TEBOW bandwagon.
Phinsider's first ever mobile commenter!
"I like to think of myself as a historian" -FinsX

by Mosul_DolFan on Sep 4, 2009 9:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

.... small dog....

… or Kdog….

Adjutant General, Matty Fan Club
64 "Phinsider Fued" Points..!!
"What's the point of getting in a sword fight with a guy you can run away from?" - Chris Doleman

by Alpha6 on Sep 5, 2009 12:29 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

lol

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official LOL'er.

by samdaman on Sep 5, 2009 7:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hartline

Ahead of Bess? It’s been a long time since I’ve seen anyone as ordinary get talked about so much up here as Hartline. Totally average. Bess WAY better in the hands department.

by oceantracks on Sep 4, 2009 7:38 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

that was a mistake

I used the same code from my last version so I didn’t have to redraw the table. I fixed that.

by Matty I on Sep 4, 2009 7:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Props to Matty I !!!!!

I would have to agree with everything you have here Matty.

Even with your remarks I think you have hit this one right on the head .. IMO I think they may keep Kershaw around as overall he played much better than London this preseason but as you have pointed out this one is way to hard to call.

Also have to give you props for starting the Sean Smith bandwagon way back in March .. once again knocked out the park !!!!

by markus_13 on Sep 4, 2009 7:44 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm kinda liking Kershaw

Your best? Losers always whine about their best. Winners go home and fuck the prom queen! -Sean Connery

"Why not us?"- Tony Sparano

by Kdog92 on Sep 4, 2009 7:44 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

agreed with everything........except,,,,

I think Bess will start over Hartline..By the way,,,I just saw the Sean Smith INT and it was the most badass thing ive ever seen a rookie do(even if it was only the preseason)…

The dude is a straight up stud and Vontae will be right there with him soon enough……..

GO FINS!!!!!!!!!!!

by scbrandon on Sep 4, 2009 7:49 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

agreed about Bess

that was an error – explained in a comment above.

by Matty I on Sep 4, 2009 7:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

dude i have been dominating with Sean Smith and Vontae Davis

in Madden…each have 5 INT’s and some TD’s with Davis returning one for 106 yds…they are BADASS

-"No excuses, No explanations"
-Pennington is a hand tuxedo
-Matty's new assistant

by MiamihastheDolphins.... on Sep 4, 2009 8:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

couple of difference

i still haven’t gotten a chance to see the game on real tv yet… will watch the replay tonight…

but right now i’m thinking they are going to carry all FOUR TEs and london will go…
haynos does play that fb role pretty well..

i still think bryan is going to make the team and dotson won’t…

and the fact taht kershaw played with the 2nd’s very early tells me the coaches wanted to see what he could do against the actual roster players – so he has to be close to making it… i just don’t know who to trim off for him….

btw: it doens’t matter which linemen they keep because there will be 2 or 3 new ones before week 2… the backup are NOT up to snuff… they were terrible and have been all camp… frye and the gardners better keep a firm grasp on their playbooks and come in to work VERY EARLY and leave VERY LATE and hope they don’t bumb inot whomever does the cuts for the fins right now.

Chad Pennington - The Lame Ducker aka the progress stopper.

So do you think the Jets intentionally did it to set the organization back 3 years or was it just an unintended side effect of their move.

by W NY Fins Fan on Sep 4, 2009 8:33 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

i agree

With W NY on frye and gardner, not too impressive when the 2nd OL is out there.

Miami Dolphins 2008 AFC East Divison Champions
"I likem me some UDFAs"

by Phintastic on Sep 4, 2009 10:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

London is back baby!! Matty....we are talking again!

Ahhhhhhhh reunited and it feel soooooooooo goooooooooooood!

I’m all for cutting Jason Allen suckass. Im ready to move on from him and his soul glo hair.

Phinsider Hall of Fame Class of 09' / 2-Time 09' Matty Award Winner

by Rzayo24 on Sep 4, 2009 8:46 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm so happy for the two of you...

****Keeper of the Phinsider Goo Cannon****
Phinsider's 2008 Jake Long Rookie Blogger of the Year and Zach Thomas Leadership Award Winner
Initiator of the Lex Hilliard Bandwagon! Driving the DRAFT TEBOW bandwagon.
Phinsider's first ever mobile commenter!
"I like to think of myself as a historian" -FinsX

by Mosul_DolFan on Sep 4, 2009 9:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Merling is the Man

I can’t understand how Phillip Merling isn’t a starter on this team. He’s a better player then Starks now AND has more upside. I know his practice habits aren’t the best, but this is the NFL, not little leauge. Talent wins. Merling should be the starter.

by crossborderFISHingtrip on Sep 4, 2009 9:27 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

except for the fact taht

the coaching staff feels that good practices translate into good preformance on sunday… and if the whole team slacks in practice then what…

Chad Pennington - The Lame Ducker aka the progress stopper.

So do you think the Jets intentionally did it to set the organization back 3 years or was it just an unintended side effect of their move.

by W NY Fins Fan on Sep 4, 2009 9:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hard to argue that point. But its not like the guy doesn’t practice – he just turns it up a notch in games.
WIth the way this team rotaotes D-Linemen, Merling gets plenty of snaps – maybe that’s why he slacks….he knows he’s still going to play the same number of reps.

by crossborderFISHingtrip on Sep 4, 2009 9:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

well since even you say he slacks

in practice – i guess we all agree that he needs to work harder in practice… and i believe that is the message the staff is sending…

Chad Pennington - The Lame Ducker aka the progress stopper.

So do you think the Jets intentionally did it to set the organization back 3 years or was it just an unintended side effect of their move.

by W NY Fins Fan on Sep 4, 2009 10:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i like McDaniel better than Merling..

Your best? Losers always whine about their best. Winners go home and fuck the prom queen! -Sean Connery

"Why not us?"- Tony Sparano

by Kdog92 on Sep 4, 2009 9:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i love merling

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official LOL'er.

by samdaman on Sep 4, 2009 9:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

great depth chart

hey guys i love reading these bolgs and ive decided to create an account here so hi to all.. now to this chart, is there anyone else here who also thinks highly of charlie anderson because i think he looks great and he would be a great keep, and all the fuzz about hartline and turner i think is unneeded since they’re 4th/5th receivers so they wont excatly impact greatly (unless one of our top 3 goes down-hopefully they wont)…and also as much as i like matt roth i say who cares about him we have great depth at lbs

by miafins23 on Sep 4, 2009 9:40 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

well....welcome to the site

I like Anderson.

NEVER Diss Hartline!!! He’s da man.

Your best? Losers always whine about their best. Winners go home and fuck the prom queen! -Sean Connery

"Why not us?"- Tony Sparano

by Kdog92 on Sep 4, 2009 9:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

not to diss him

i like hartline and think he has a great future, so i guess i should rewrite my post what i meant was that since he and turner have a bright future ahead of them i think that they shouldnt be so scrutonized so early on when its only the preseason and they have two really good possesion receivers(camarillo,bess) to teach them the ropes

by miafins23 on Sep 4, 2009 9:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

im da man

hartline’s my bitch

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official LOL'er.

by samdaman on Sep 4, 2009 9:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

never speak again sam....that's disturbing

Your best? Losers always whine about their best. Winners go home and fuck the prom queen! -Sean Connery

"Why not us?"- Tony Sparano

by Kdog92 on Sep 4, 2009 9:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

glad i could disturb u

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official LOL'er.

by samdaman on Sep 5, 2009 7:38 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

u kno wat, just pretend it never happened

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official LOL'er.

by samdaman on Sep 5, 2009 8:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah......... and it's also really weird....

Adjutant General, Matty Fan Club
64 "Phinsider Fued" Points..!!
"What's the point of getting in a sword fight with a guy you can run away from?" - Chris Doleman

by Alpha6 on Sep 5, 2009 2:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

lol

just doing my job

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official LOL'er.

by samdaman on Sep 5, 2009 7:38 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Welcome !

Attorney General of the Matty I Fan Club

by PhinsTifosi on Sep 5, 2009 9:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just noticed, you put Nalbone over Haynos..tough decision there...

Your best? Losers always whine about their best. Winners go home and fuck the prom queen! -Sean Connery

"Why not us?"- Tony Sparano

by Kdog92 on Sep 4, 2009 9:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

matty's had

a love affair with that NJ tight end since he was drafted…

i’ve had haynos over nalbone on my chart…

Chad Pennington - The Lame Ducker aka the progress stopper.

So do you think the Jets intentionally did it to set the organization back 3 years or was it just an unintended side effect of their move.

by W NY Fins Fan on Sep 4, 2009 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

well..it's matty's love life...

Your best? Losers always whine about their best. Winners go home and fuck the prom queen! -Sean Connery

"Why not us?"- Tony Sparano

by Kdog92 on Sep 4, 2009 10:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

lol

Like I said, though, I’ve been impressed with Nalbone’s blocking ability. And he has some serious skills to be developed. You don’t get half of the NFL out to Monmouth University to scout just anybody.

by Matty I on Sep 5, 2009 2:41 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh

and Nalbone contributes on special teams – Haynos doesn’t.

by Matty I on Sep 5, 2009 2:42 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

what has Haynos shown?

Current Phinsider Feud Points: 23

by Patssuck456 on Sep 4, 2009 10:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

nothing, except he looks like Bigfoot out on the field with that height

Your best? Losers always whine about their best. Winners go home and fuck the prom queen! -Sean Connery

"Why not us?"- Tony Sparano

by Kdog92 on Sep 4, 2009 10:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

he's been a good blocker

something no other TE on the roster has been (begging matty’s feelings for jersians)

he also plays that TE salsh FB role very well… go back and watch some of the blocks he’s done out of that spot… seriously give the guy a head start and he moves people…

no he’s not a pass catcher but he does allow fassano or martin to go down field out of the 2 TE set..

Chad Pennington - The Lame Ducker aka the progress stopper.

So do you think the Jets intentionally did it to set the organization back 3 years or was it just an unintended side effect of their move.

by W NY Fins Fan on Sep 5, 2009 2:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

agree

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official LOL'er.

by samdaman on Sep 4, 2009 9:56 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Finally Matty, a depth chart we can agree on.

My only wildcards would be Hilliard and the 4th TE. I think it could still be a possibility they might look at moving Hilliard to FB and having him bulk up a bit. It’s a long shot, but possible. The better scenario is having a 4th TE. Pennington’s game thrives on good TE’s, so having an extra one is always a plus. Not to mention both Martin and Fasano’s contracts are up at the end of the year, so why not have extra insurance in case we lose both. If we keep a 4th TE, I see the 6th WR being let go. I think the coaching staff is happy with the top 5 WR (London being the odd man out), for now.

by luvs2drnk on Sep 4, 2009 10:32 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Coin flip

tough decisions left at the last 5 positions. It’s hard to believe we found so much talent already and it sucks to let some good players go. But, its awesome that we have tough decision already.

by 54 on Sep 4, 2009 10:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm just amazed that so many rookies will make this squad.

Being able to get Smith that late in the 2nd round and then to end the draft with Clemons, Nalbone, and Gardener can potentially make this draft even better than last year’s. This was a stellar off season for the front office and coaching staff and I can’t wait until the 13th.

"If anything goes bad, I did it. If anything goes semi-good, we did it. If anything goes really good you did it. That's all it takes to get people to win football games for you."

Coach Paul Bear Bryant

by AussieKen on Sep 4, 2009 11:07 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Good write-up Matty.

However, Im not ruling out the trifecta picking up someone either throw waivers or a veteran who was released.

I can see The Fins picking up Deon Branch from the Hawks or Reggie Brown/Hank Baskett (which ever one loses the battle) from the Eagles instead of keeping London. I can see the scooping up Ben Watson from the Pats instead of Joey Haynos (sorry Matty, but I think your boy Nalboner is going to the practice squad).

by JP 23 on Sep 4, 2009 11:08 PM EDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

Great Point

Just shows how crazy (over-hyped) training camp can be. Even after the final 53 is selected, there’s still more cuts to be made. The Trifecta has proven more than anything that the bottom 10 guys on the roster are subject to change at any moment. I say Nalbone sticks….but Basket, Brown or Branch over London any day…

by crossborderFISHingtrip on Sep 4, 2009 11:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

the only thing about watson is he's old.

i mean, when we start picking up the Pats leftovers, you know we are in bad shape. they don’t get rid of guys that can still contribute…. hell, they keep guys well into their 40s.
;-)

-LCFF

by LeftCoastFinFan on Sep 5, 2009 12:04 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I still believe that Camarillo will be #2 and Bess in the slot

CP10 is the current leader of this team... respect him
Henne is the future leader of this team...
Beck could have been.. its a shame he was thrown to the wolves unpreped
Driver of the Camarillo, Hartline & Bess fan club bus.. hop on and enjoy the ride!
JT.. Porter.. Wake.. gona getcha !

by MainePhinFan on Sep 5, 2009 3:16 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

i say otherway around

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official LOL'er.

by samdaman on Sep 5, 2009 7:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I also STILL believe Hartline will be a BIG factor this season. BIG

CP10 is the current leader of this team... respect him
Henne is the future leader of this team...
Beck could have been.. its a shame he was thrown to the wolves unpreped
Driver of the Camarillo, Hartline & Bess fan club bus.. hop on and enjoy the ride!
JT.. Porter.. Wake.. gona getcha !

by MainePhinFan on Sep 5, 2009 3:16 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Kershaw and Hilliard...

After watching all 4 pre-season games in depth, I would have to say that hillard makes the team as a possible 2nd Fb/4th HB he just seems to be such a hard worker and catches the ball better much better than polite…I also think Kershaw has won a spot, he is mean and nasty, which sparano in this parcells regime has got to be looking for more of… I may be wrong but its worth discussing

by DennisS on Sep 5, 2009 4:50 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

SEXY LEXY HERE TO STAY

NOT THAT THERE’S ANYTING WRONG WITH THAT

by WHOLETRUTHY on Sep 5, 2009 12:03 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

lol someone's using the nickname i made lol

Your best? Losers always whine about their best. Winners go home and fuck the prom queen! -Sean Connery

"Why not us?"- Tony Sparano

by Kdog92 on Sep 5, 2009 8:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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