Dolphins vs Falcons: Miami's Keys to Victory
We're now just two days away from kickoff and excitement is building. This week has gone by terribly slow, but it's now Friday and we can finally see the light at the end of the tunnel. Does that light come with a nice shiny "W"? It's anyone's guess.
There are a number of ways the Dolphins can win this game on Sunday. But below I just wanted to talk about my top three keys to victory.
Pressure, Pressure, Pressure
Despite all of Matt Ryan's success last year, it's important to remember that he is still a very young quarterback. And like any young quarterback, consistent pressure will rattle "Matty Ice." Last season, the Falcons surrendered just 17 sacks all season - the fifth lowest total in the NFL. And when you get that kind of protection, it's easy for any QB to find the open receiver and deliver an accurate pass. Interesting stat to consider: When Matt Ryan was sacked at least twice, the Falcons were 2-3 last year; when he wasn't sacked at all, the Falcons were 5-2.
I believe that the Dolphins can easily have one of the top 5 front seven's in all of the NFL in 2009. I think that they have a number of guys now who can get to the quarterback - highlighted, of course, by Joey Porter and Jason Taylor. But Cameron Wake and Charlie Anderson are edge rushers who will likely get some snaps every game. And Channing Crowder was much more active blitzing the QB in the preseason than we've seen in recent years.
I think the Dolphins will unveil some new "exotic bliz packages" against Atlanta - especially directed towards the left side of Atlanta's line. LT Sam Baker is only entering his 2nd season and LG Justin Blalock is only entering his 3rd. These young linemen can get confused if Paul Pasqualoni unleashes some different looks from Miami's front seven.
Get off the field
Tony Sparano has made it clear that one of the things he wants to do every game is run more plays than the opposition. To do that, Miami's defense must get off the field on third down.
Last year, the Dolphins held opponents to a 38% third down conversion rate. But that was against weaker offenses than they face this year. The Falcons, for example, were the 6th best team at converting on 3rd down in 2008 - picking up 43% of their 3rd downs. In the preseason, the Dolphins have gotten off the field 29% of the time on 3rd downs. But there were a number of long 3rd down conversions that the first-team defense surrendered. The game against Tampa Bay comes to mind right away. Those are the mistakes that this defense cannot make in this game.
Attack early and often
While I want the Dolphins to establish the run in every game - especially in games against top offenses - I think this is an ideal game to make a statement early by attacking Atlanta's defense. I know that being more on the conservative side was a major reason the Dolphins had the success they did in 2008. But the Falcons' secondary is very weak and will surrender chunks of yards at a time. So why not go right after them and make them nervous?
You do that early on and it will force the Falcons to respect the pass and limit the number of players they can put in the box to defend the run - at which time you begin pounding them with Ronnie Brown and company. I'm confident that the offensive line will give Chad Pennington enough time to throw - especially if John Abraham can't play or is hindered at all by his injury. To me, this presents the perfect opportunity to make a statement right out of the gate to all of their opponents this season.
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31 comments
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Comments
WE GONNA BRING THE PRESSURE, BABY!!!
-LCFF
by LeftCoastFinFan on Sep 11, 2009 12:17 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
ya know, based on how the Fins staff seems to play things close to the vest
i KNOW they have all kinds of blitz packages already drawn up, but i bet they will start with vanilla D, and see how that works. then maybe throw in a blitz or two, but i doubt they will show too much this first game.
-LCFF
by LeftCoastFinFan on Sep 11, 2009 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
We are going to start the season off
properly and introduce ourselves to Mr. Matt Ryan all day on our to 69 sacks for the year….
LBs are key with maybe some added pressure by Mr. Jones. Where’s that can of WhoopA$$…………………………….>
Miami Dolphins 2008 AFC East Divison Champions
"I likem me some UDFAs"
by Phintastic on Sep 11, 2009 12:35 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'd never say it any better!
Protect CP10 and the game’s ours. The O should be on the field all day long.
Armchair QB's always complete the pass and armchair coaches always pick the right players.
Yes, Larry Little is still the man.
by Tunaflipper on Sep 11, 2009 12:48 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Wussup, Phin Phans!
I got an alert on Yahoo Sports saying that over 8,000 fantasy owners of the Miami D dropped it. I looked around to see if I could find any news. Was Porter arrested? Did Taylor trip over his dance partner? What gives? Should I hang on to them or are over 8,000 people just idiots?
Have a great season! I’ll be rooting for your fish as long as they’re not playing my Aint’s.
If we could just sythesize life in a laboratory, we could prove that the creation of life requires no intelligence.
by Tigernut on Sep 11, 2009 1:08 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
c'mon.. you saw our backups get like 48 sacks on your backups!
right?
Those were our BACKUPS. Our D is solid. The only question mark in my mind is safety coverage. They are great in run support, but i am waiting to see if they can be ball hawks in pass coverage too.
-LCFF
by LeftCoastFinFan on Sep 11, 2009 11:19 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
someone please knock out matt ryan
Can't wait untill Sean Smith puts Randy Moss on his ass lol, Co-Vice President of the official Matty I fan club.
by jojo phin fan on Sep 11, 2009 2:59 AM EDT via mobile reply actions 0 recs
done
Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official Phinsider LOL'er.
by samdaman on Sep 11, 2009 7:04 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
gonna run him over with your cab Sam?
Attorney General of the Matty I Fan Club
by PhinsTifosi on Sep 11, 2009 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Being is as it may.....
Its funny…. people know we have the toughest schedule and maybe that plays part in the dropping of the defense… but if you look at it… we will be even better then last year with Taylor back….. not to mention all the DBs upgades. Toughest schedule…. yeah… but this year we have an offense that should be more experienced with each other, a defense that will be in the top 5 easily if we stay healthy, and Ricky Williams looking towards the end of his career (Watch Ol’ Ricky)~ Not to mention…. was I the only one who saw teams getting to Mr Brady in PRESEASON?!?!?! Hand on to your seats boys… this is going to be an awsome year!
by PhinsN09 on Sep 11, 2009 5:27 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Crowder needs to be strong against the run Sunday.
The secondary will have to be good. Sean Smith, will need to be good.
OMG!!! STEELERS WON!!! I’m going to have to listen to this at school all day…this sucks.
Your best? Losers always whine about their best. Winners go home and fuck the prom queen! -Sean Connery
"Why not us?"- Tony Sparano
by Kdog92 on Sep 11, 2009 5:36 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
that game sucked last night
not only did the Steelers win, they didn’t cover the spread
but i suppose the Titans are more of a WC threat to us
by Brian5517209 on Sep 11, 2009 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i didn't think it sucked
i have the titans D on my FF team.
-LCFF
by LeftCoastFinFan on Sep 11, 2009 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
well yeah but
1. I don’t like the Steelers
2. I begrudgingly took them to win on Pigskin Pickems(with the spread)
3. Now i don’t even have a chance to win that big-screen TV
by Brian5517209 on Sep 11, 2009 11:32 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
why hasn't anyone
been talking about a possible softmore slump and Matt Ryan? The dreaded softmore slump has affected more than a few.
by NC Mike on Sep 11, 2009 10:45 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
good question
Current Phinsider Feud Points: 23
by Patssuck456 on Sep 11, 2009 10:59 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Believe me, it's a topic that's come up
I think the belief is that Matt Ryan has enough weapons and enough help from the running game that he won’t suffer any kind of severe regression. Take away Michael Turner and that forecast might change….
Sign up for a free account today to join the discussion about all things Atlanta Falcons!
by Dave the Falconer on Sep 11, 2009 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
becuz Mat Rian iz teh nex Montanaz!!1!
by Brian5517209 on Sep 11, 2009 11:29 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's Mexican?!
Armchair QB's always complete the pass and armchair coaches always pick the right players.
Yes, Larry Little is still the man.
by Tunaflipper on Sep 11, 2009 11:53 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Spell Check????
Blitz Blitz Blitz….. doesnt matter the weapons….. Dolphins D will sack him 3+ times tomorrow. Just like last year…. we might keep it close… but we will find a way to win it in the end…. Ted Ginn… its your year!!!
by PhinsN09 on Sep 11, 2009 4:08 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Look at last year's stats:
make Ryan throw 35+ times and the Falcons lose. Yes that was 2008 and Ryan may be better, but I still see that offense as being quite dependent on the talents of Michael Turner.
Keep TUrner in check and make Ryan air it out and we’ll win.
by Natalya on Sep 11, 2009 5:42 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
good point!
i believe that is right… make Ryan win the game on his arm.
-LCFF
by LeftCoastFinFan on Sep 12, 2009 2:29 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There is a logical explanation.
The sophmore slump happens because other teams always tend to not take rookie QB’s seriously. So, you get Ryan and Flacco and probably this year Sanchez and Stafford will probably do good. But, this year ain’t last year for Ryan and Flacco. I know Joey and Jason are just licking their chops. Gonna take Ryan to the matt. The Saints D may not wait for Stafford’s sophmore year. One of our guys already called him “fresh meat”. Ha!
If we could just sythesize life in a laboratory, we could prove that the creation of life requires no intelligence.
by Tigernut on Sep 12, 2009 12:46 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Pressure. And MORE pressure!
We oughtta be able to set Ryan on his ass and hurry his throws. But beware the dreaded screen play on 3rd downs.
Rookie cubies can fly under the radar in their first season, just like rookie pitchers can handcuff hitters when they go up against them for the first time. The next time that pitcher faces the same hitters, outs come a lot harder. We be watchin film, Ryan. Youre gonna get your uniform dirty today!!
Gators #1!!
Wide right again! Another graduate of the Norwood school for problematic kickers.....
by PhearThePhinzz on Sep 13, 2009 6:12 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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