The Phinsider: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
New Blog: Voodoo Five for South Florida Bulls Fans!

NFL Draft Pressure Points: Wide Receiver

Last week, I wrote a post about what it will take for a top cornerback to fall to our 25th pick - which you can view by clicking here.  This time, let's look at what it will take for a receiver to fall.

We're going to look at the draft like we did last week - using what I like to call "pressure points."  But we're going to do this a little differently.  Rather than looking at the pressure points leading up to pick 25, we're going to look at the pressure points all the way to pick 44 to see what it will take for one of the draft's top receivers to fall to 44.

To begin, though, allow me to declare who exactly I'm claiming is a "top receiver" in this year's draft.  They are: Michael Crabtree, Jeremy Maclin, Darrius Heyward-Bey, Hakeem Nicks, Kenny Britt, Percy Harvin, and Brian Robiskie.  In my opinion, it's those seven - and then everyone else.

So let's begin looking at the pressure points:

Pressure Point #1: Pick 4 - The Seahawks are the first team that will consider a receiver on draft day.  But the signing of T.J. Houshmandzadeh could very well make Seattle address another need - possibly an offensive linemen, quarterback, or linebacker (if Aaron Curry is still on the board).

Pressure Point #2: Pick 5 - The Browns are shopping Braylon Edwards.  And regardless of if Edwards is traded by draft day or not, I think they are going to seriously consider Michael Crabtree if he's still available.  After all, their other starting WR, Donte Stallworth, has some legal problems and probably won't play in 2009.

Pressure Point #3: Pick 7 - The Raiders are always a wildcard on draft day.  But the Raiders have a need at receiver and Al Davis loves drafting skill position players - especially fast ones.  I'd be surprised if Oakland didn't go with a receiver here - though B.J. Raji could receive some consideration.

Pressure Point #4: Pick 8 - The Jaguars recently signed Torry Holt.  So this could allow them to wait on a receiver - or not draft one at all.  But Holt isn't young by any stretch of the imagination, so you can't rule out a WR here.

Picks 9 through 16 - I don't think a receiver is drafted anywhere in this range - barring a trade, of course.  The 49ers could take Crabtree if he was still on the board - but he won't be.  And no other team needs a first round receiver.

Pressure Point #5: Pick 17 - The Jets have a clear need at wide receiver after releasing Laveranues Coles earlier this offseason.  Their current starter opposite of Jerricho Cotchery is probably Chansi Stuckey or Brad Smith.  I think their pick will come down to either a QB - if one of the top three are on the board - or a receiver.

Pressure Point #6: Pick 22 - The Vikings signed Bernard Berrian last offseason, but could use a compliment to him - a possession receiver, perhaps.  Hakeem Nicks would make a lot of sense for them.  But they also need a right tackle and perhaps some defensive tackle help.

Pick 25: Miami Dolphins - As you can see, there is actually a good chance that only two receivers are off the board - possibly three - by the time the Dolphins are on the clock in round one.  Could that prompt Bill Parcells and Jeff Ireland to take a corner or linebacker and gamble on a receiver falling to their 44th overall pick?

Star-divide

Pressure Point #7: Pick 26 - If the Dolphins pass on a receiver at 25, the team directly behind them could take one to help out their young stud quarterback.  A speedy deep threat like Heyward-Bey would make some sense here.

Pressure Point #8: Pick 27 - The Colts could always use some more firepower to make their offense even more explosive.  They could look at a first round receiver to help replace the production of Marvin Harrison.

Pressure Point #9: Pick 29 - The Giants need a receiver, but they could trade for Braylon Edwards by the time they are on the clock.  If they don't, Nicks, Britt, or Robiskie would make sense for them.  But I just don't know if the Giants want a rookie receiver.  They are built to win now and might not want to wait on a rookie to blossom.

Pressure Point #10: Pick 30 - The Titans have had a need at receiver for years now.  Is this the year they finally address their need in round one?  Again, Nicks, Britt, or Harvin would be logical choices here.

Pressure Point #11: Pick 35 - The Rams could use a receiver after letting Torry Holt go.  Donnie Avery, last year's second rounder, is going to be a good starter.  But they don't have much behind him for Marc Bulger.

Pressure Point #12: Pick 36 - If the Browns don't use their 5ht overall pick on a receiver, then I'm 99% certain they'll take one in round two.

Pressure Point #13: Pick 37 - As I said, the Seahawks don't need a receiver, but could take one if one of the top guys slips this far.

Pressure Point #14: Pick 39 - If the Jaguars choose to go with another position in round one, they could look for a young WR in round two.  After all, Holt is no spring chicken.

Pressure Point #15: Pick 40 - If the Raiders did pass on a receiver in round one, they'd almost certainly take one of the top guys here in round two.

Final Thoughts
After all this, I think we learned that it's far from a sure thing that one of the top receivers will be on the board at pick 44 (other than Robiskie, who is probably at the bottom of the draft's top WRs).  But receivers do have a tendency to fall on draft day - probably because of their high "bust" potential.

But if you think about it, these aren't 15 different "pressure points."  Some teams are listed twice, once in round one and again in round two.  There are 11 teams who, at some point before pick 44, could take a receiver.  But that number drops to 10 if you rule out the Giants - who are more likely to trade for Braylon Edwards than to draft a receiver.  Of those 10, you would then need 5 teams to pass on a receiver prior to pick 44 in order for one of the top 6 receivers (Crabtree, Maclin, Heyward-Bey, Harvin, Nicks, Britt) to fall.

Could you come up with a scenario where 5 of those teams pass on a receiver.  Of course.  The key, clearly, will be those teams drafting in the top 10 of both rounds.  The Rams, Seahawks, Browns, Raiders, and Jaguars all might be considered "high probabilities" to take a receiver in round one or two.

So what do you think?  Could a top receiver fall to pick 44?  And if the other 6 were gone, would you be in favor of the Dolphins taking Brian Robiskie?

0 recs  |  Comment 37 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

More from The Phinsider

Dolphins NFL Draft Grades

Apr 2009 by Matty I - 55 comments

Early thoughts about draft weekend

Apr 2009 by Matty I - 111 comments

NFL Draft Day Two Overflow Thread

Apr 2009 by Matty I - 803 comments

Comments

Display:

I still think that most of the CBs we would draft at 25

are second round talents and one will be there at 44. at 25 though we should take nicks because in my eyes there is no better receiver in the first 2 rounds, we need as our #1, besides him. maybe britt but really nicks is the best wr outside of the maclin and crabtree

Official Leader Of The Draft Hakeem Nicks Club

by jazztrumpeter89 on Apr 22, 2009 12:34 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

That was one point I was going to make

I will not doubt that it is possible that we will take a wr at 25 only in this situation,if corners are slipping then we can get a guy like Smith at 44,or we can go corner if wideouts are slipping but lets say if Maualuga just happens to fall to our laps we will not pass on him, the outcome of our pick and who we will take depends on who just may happen to be there at 44 a good wr,or a good corner and thing is we are high on Butler and also very high on Nicks as well either or both spots will get picked within our first three picks

Ahhhh Ta Ta Ta Ta Bye Bye Foy518

by Foy on Apr 22, 2009 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If Harvin is there at 44 there is no way we pass on him

This is football not bible group. This double moral teams play is really annoying. What do you expect from guys that come from the bottom of the pile economically, troubled homes and that are paid to be aggresive and suddenly are given millions of dolars and the things that comes with (women, partying, drugs) There is a reason why, god forbid the DVD hadnt come out, The Playmakers was knocked down by the NFL by the 3rd episode. Like Josh Freeman said in an interview earlier on when asked what were the most important characteristics a QB could posses. After a load of bullcrap he recognized that without Talent, leadership or work ethic dont mean squat. That is the reality of the NFL. Guys like Percy Harvin win championships and in reality, that is all NFL teams and fans want.

by MauMontaV5 on Apr 22, 2009 1:48 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

yea it put things in perspective

II believe in John Beck and that Cbdolphin is the man. Most Comments in one Thread- total count = 1,300
Official Leader of the Draft Kenny Britt Bandwagon
Longest Sig In the History of Phinsider belongs to Me. 53 Lines in Total.
Check it out.
Front Paged - Class of 08. and 09.

by finsxfactor on Apr 22, 2009 2:16 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh and

Robiskie is the most amazing wide receiver coming out of this draft. He’s got the highest football IQ of any player on this draft, not to say any recevier and his work ethic is amazing too. He is the best route runner to come out of the draft in years and is more NFL ready than probably Ted Ginn. If this guy slips to our 2nd second rounder we have got to take him.

by MauMontaV5 on Apr 22, 2009 2:04 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

matty realistically

do you see us being able to get both butler and britt? because the pressure points add up

II believe in John Beck and that Cbdolphin is the man. Most Comments in one Thread- total count = 1,300
Official Leader of the Draft Kenny Britt Bandwagon
Longest Sig In the History of Phinsider belongs to Me. 53 Lines in Total.
Check it out.
Front Paged - Class of 08. and 09.

by finsxfactor on Apr 22, 2009 2:14 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Some of the other top WRs

have “yellow flags” (I read where just the otherday when Nicks worked out for Baltimore his weight was again up and the whispers about Diva status for Britt) whether true or nor add these two to Harvin and odds are 50/50 one of the top 6 will be there at 44 though I am not convinced we draft one of the other 4 at 44 except maybe Hicks. I like Robo-reciever but not at 44 and defense is more what I want on day 1. If D.J. Moore is there with Robo at 56 I still take Moore even if we have already drafted a CB at 44 or 56

25th pick - Clay Mathews LB USC
44th pick - Alphonso Smith cb Wake Forest
56th pick - Clint Sintim LB Virginia
86th pick - Fili Moala DT USC

by Blaze453 on Apr 22, 2009 2:37 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

LOL honestly i have no idea where this "diva" crap is coming from haha. I think this is just because hes big and physical and people sterotype because of the chad johnsons, the t.o's

II believe in John Beck and that Cbdolphin is the man. Most Comments in one Thread- total count = 1,300
Official Leader of the Draft Kenny Britt Bandwagon
Longest Sig In the History of Phinsider belongs to Me. 53 Lines in Total.
Check it out.
Front Paged - Class of 08. and 09.

by finsxfactor on Apr 22, 2009 2:51 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Doesn't matter

where it came from what does though is it is out there. That means it helps anyone who wishes to get him at a particular point in draft

25th pick - Clay Mathews LB USC
44th pick - Alphonso Smith cb Wake Forest
56th pick - Clint Sintim LB Virginia
86th pick - Fili Moala DT USC

by Blaze453 on Apr 22, 2009 7:36 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Might have even been generated by one of the NFL teams

who does want to target him during the draft.

I do believe a certain team did this way back when in an attempt to land a certain quarterback who wore the #13 during his time in Miami..

And it worked.

We're all goin' down to the creek tonight; it's gonna be a gas! You're comin', right?

by Dave.Phuller on Apr 22, 2009 8:30 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOL LETS HOPE THIS TEAM IS THE SAME TEAM AND THAT IT DOES INDEED WORK!!

CAPS ARE NEEDED!!!

IM OHIO!!!!

II believe in John Beck and that Cbdolphin is the man. Most Comments in one Thread- total count = 1,300
Official Leader of the Draft Kenny Britt Bandwagon
Longest Sig In the History of Phinsider belongs to Me. 53 Lines in Total.
Check it out.
Front Paged - Class of 08. and 09.

by finsxfactor on Apr 22, 2009 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

OFF TOPIC

Hey you guys rember the Brandon London Highlights at practice i cant find the video anywhere and i looked back on here and it said the user took off the video can anyone get it or know how to

by MF_34 on Apr 22, 2009 3:10 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

golly gee. matty he send you another email with another video? because remember he promised ..

II believe in John Beck and that Cbdolphin is the man. Most Comments in one Thread- total count = 1,300
Official Leader of the Draft Kenny Britt Bandwagon
Longest Sig In the History of Phinsider belongs to Me. 53 Lines in Total.
Check it out.
Front Paged - Class of 08. and 09.

by finsxfactor on Apr 22, 2009 3:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

A receiver would be great

but to me it still stands that Corner is our most pressing need and has to be addressed first.

RONNIE BROWN GETS A TOUCHDOWN!

by Rytackle on Apr 22, 2009 7:12 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't mind getting Robiskie

I think he’s highly underrated, tbh. He’s a very tough, hard working player, and that has “Parcells” written all over it.

Some people try to find things in this game that don't exist but football is only two things - blocking and tackling. ~Vince Lombardi

by ratenxs on Apr 22, 2009 9:40 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Me too!!

I am a big buckeye fan and have watched everygame Robiskie has played,He has Great hands and gets open often!! Would let Ginn get down field and open things up!! Very high on him!

"You are the people you hang out with"

by buckeyebill on Apr 22, 2009 9:45 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Robiskie

I would love to take Robiskie at 44, he is polished, prob the best route runner in this class right now and can step in right away,

the only thing that would stop us from taking him i think is if Ron Brace is on the broad, i think you have to take the future NT

by Marino22 on Apr 22, 2009 11:41 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Robiskie is the one

Robiskie is the guy we should draft. However, I do not think he will be available at 44. He will be gone between the Rams pick and the Jaguars pick in the second round, if not sooner. Our best chance to get him is if the team trades down and gets an extra pick. Yesterday, on NFL Network, Charley Casserly reported that Nicks worked out last week and after he ran 10 routes he was gassed. There is no way that Parcells is going to draft a guy that is out of shape. Harvin has too much of a risk. I understand that he had problems in high school and so forth. However, at some point you have to grow up and when you talking about spending money you do not take chances. Britt had a lot of dropped balls last year in his first few games. I agree that the diva comments are overblown. Don’t forget, we drafted Derek Hagan out of ASU in the third round and he also had a reputation for dropped balls. In addition, he finished his career as the leader in PAC 10 history in regard to receptions and yards and we know what happened to him last year.

Robiskie has the pedigree and we cannot afford to play the lottery when it comes to draft choices. He may not be the flashiest, but I believe he will be the most productive after Crabtree. He is big and would be an excellent complement to Ginn and company.

by sundevil11 on Apr 22, 2009 12:44 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

remember giants did draft mario manningham in the third last year

II believe in John Beck and that Cbdolphin is the man. Most Comments in one Thread- total count = 1,300
Official Leader of the Draft Kenny Britt Bandwagon
Longest Sig In the History of Phinsider belongs to Me. 53 Lines in Total.
Check it out.
Front Paged - Class of 08. and 09.

by finsxfactor on Apr 22, 2009 3:23 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'll take a crack at it

probably be wrong, but what the hell right? lol

I think there’s two options for Seattle right now, and neither involves a WR. They either need to take whichever LT STL doesn’t take, or a Mark Sanchez. They have an old LT and an old QB, so they could use replacements at those premium positions.

Mangini is switching to a 3-4 in Cleveland, and they need a Rush LB more than they need a WR IMO. Orakpo will be there, and I can’t imagine them passing on him.

Al Davis doesn’t draft WR’s in the first round. We can make jokes about how he loves 40 times and skill players, but the last WR he drafted in round 1 was Tim Brown in 1988. He LOVES taking DE’s, and I could see him reaching bigtime for Michael Johnson because of his athleticism.

I think the Jags will be trading down with Denver (so the Broncos can take Sanchez) and take Vontae Davis or Malcolm Jenkins. If not a CB, than I think it’ll be someone like Maualuga or Brian Cushing. However, if Crabtree is there at 8, they could take him (I have Crab at 6 to Cincy).

The Jets want Sanchez or Freeman, so if either is there, or if they can swing a trade, I think that takes them out of the equation. If not, I could see them taking a guy like Oher if he falls (their starting RT is a million years old), or Knowshon Moreno to replace Thomas Jones after this year. This is also a place where Kenny Britt can come off the board, but I’m not sure they’ll take him over some of the other guys.

The last 2 offseasons for the Vikings, they drafted a 1st Round WR (Sidney Rice) who spent last year injured, and they signed Bernard Berrian to big money. I can’t see them taking another expensive WR. I believe they’ll use this spot to upgrade the RT spot with Eben Britton.

So that’s before our pick at 25. The only WR that I’m SURE will be gone is Crabtree. Maclin, MAYBE, Britt, MAYBE, the rest of them I think they drop past us…

by Little Nicky 21 on Apr 22, 2009 3:55 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

You were right on the first line,

Yes i agree with Nicky, I also have the Jags trading down with Denver. Great minds think alike haha. Bottomline is this, if we wanted to take a top WR with our 1st rounder the posibilities of Nicks, Britt and Harvin being there are huge, however, if we are discussing all of this because we want one of those guys to fall even more down to 44 i say it is almost impossible. Even if at 25 only 2 have been taken (Crab, Maclin), the rest will fly of the board, nevermind in the first 5 or 10 picks of the second round, but right after us Baltimore, Indianaplos, Giants and Tenesse all of them are looking for a top tier WR. Then the first 11 guys that pick before us in the second round, the lions the rams the seahawks the jaguars the raiders (if they pass on a wr in the 1st which according to you they will and i agree) they can all take a WR. So if we are lucky Robiskie will still be there by the time we pick at 44 but the other guys imo will be long gone

by MauMontaV5 on Apr 22, 2009 8:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

maybe

but all the teams picking before us in round 2 have other needs as well. Yes, they could take WR’s, but they could also take various other things, because most of those teams have more than one need (hence the reason they pick so high). I’m not gonna say it’s a sure thing that all the WR’s are there at 44, but I think it’s a definite possibility that 1 or 2 of the top tier guys are there when our pick comes up.

I didn’t want to go through all the other pressure points because my comment was plenty long enough lol. But I do feel like we’ll have a shot to take either Nicks, or Harvin. Britt might be the 3rd WR to sneak into round 1 because I think the Jets or Giants MAY take him, although it’s not likely IMO.

by Little Nicky 21 on Apr 23, 2009 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've had agut feeling

that it will be Robiskie in the second

"How can I blame you
When it's me I can't forgive?"

-From the Unforgiven III off of Death Magnetic

by Patssuck456 on Apr 22, 2009 9:15 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

me too

he’s got Parcells guy written all over him

by MauMontaV5 on Apr 22, 2009 9:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

if not britt than harvin or nicks (I GOT YOU JAZZY PAZZZY)

robiskie will be alright for 2b but then why not wait intill the fourth-5th to get ramses barden lol..

dont get me wrong i think robiskie has the immediate impact about him…but long term I’m not so sure.

II believe in John Beck and that Cbdolphin is the man. Most Comments in one Thread- total count = 1,300
Official Leader of the Draft Kenny Britt Bandwagon
Longest Sig In the History of Phinsider belongs to Me. 53 Lines in Total.
Check it out.
Front Paged - Class of 08. and 09.

by finsxfactor on Apr 22, 2009 9:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

lol what?

II believe in John Beck and that Cbdolphin is the man. Most Comments in one Thread- total count = 1,300
Official Leader of the Draft Kenny Britt Bandwagon
Longest Sig In the History of Phinsider belongs to Me. 53 Lines in Total.
Check it out.
Front Paged - Class of 08. and 09.

by finsxfactor on Apr 22, 2009 10:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

no idea what you are talkin bout (smirk)

II believe in John Beck and that Cbdolphin is the man. Most Comments in one Thread- total count = 1,300
Official Leader of the Draft Kenny Britt Bandwagon
Longest Sig In the History of Phinsider belongs to Me. 53 Lines in Total.
Check it out.
Front Paged - Class of 08. and 09.

by finsxfactor on Apr 22, 2009 10:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

darn

I believe in John Beck and that Cbdolphin is the man. I'll make you proud LCFF
Official Leader of the Draft Kenny Britt Bandwagon
Longest Sig In the History of Phinsider belongs to Me. 53 Lines in Total.
Check it out.
Front Paged - Class of 08. and 09.

by finsxfactor on Apr 23, 2009 2:19 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to SB Nation's community dedicated to the only franchise in NFL history to have an undefeated team: the Miami Dolphins!
Start posting about the Dolphins »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

Comcast NFL RedZone Moments from SB Nation

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Chupathingy_small
I've Got a Fever: We need more posts edition
Dez_small
Ted Ginn: Common Misconception Affecting some Perceptions?
Godfather_avatar_small
NFL Draft Strategies: Part 1
Phins_game_small
Reasons not to draft a NT at #12
Kpmg_small
Mt. Cody, or: How I learned to stop worrying and love Earl Thomas

Recent FanPosts

Kpmg_small
CKC: Am I even allowed to make one of these? Edition
Dez_small
Flashback: 2009 Week 13 Dolphins vs. Patriots
Jake_long_small
A random thought about an option we have at No.12
Dez_small
Dolphins Attend a Certain WR Pro Day
Seansmith03-194x300_small
NIT Final 4 (Draft Bracket)
Avatar_small
more unsettling news
Small
FootballMania!!!
Small
Why not sign Bess and DC$ for longer contracts?
Orlando-magic555_small
Without further ado...
Avatar_small
stumbled across this in the Giants blog

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

SPONSORS

SBNation.com Recent Stories

Photo link

Report: Dolphins RB Ronnie Brown Arrested On Friday

Photo

Mike Holmgren On Jimmy Clausen: 'It Would Be Hard For Me To Take Him'

Photo link

Pacman Jones' Workout With Lions Reportedly Goes Well

More from SBNation.com >

Latest NFL Headlines from SB Nation

The Phinsider
Report: Dolphins RB Ronnie Brown arrested on Friday
Dawgs By Nature
2010 DBN Big Board
Mocking The Draft
Shake's 3/21 Mock Draft

Managers

Phinsider_s_small Matty I