AFC Playoff Picture
by rroan28 on Dec 6, 2009 8:19 PM EST
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After the 4:00 PM games, only one AFC team has yet to play this week (Baltimore). As it stands, here are the relevant standings for both the division and conference
Division Leaders (Overall, Division, Conference)
*INDIANAPOLIS (12-0, 5-0, 8-0) (Indianapolis has clinched the AFC South)
SAN DIEGO (9-3, 5-1, 7-3) (San Diego wins #2 seed tie-breaker by virtue of conference record) (San Diego leads Denver in AFC West by one game)
CINCINNATI (9-3, 6-0, 6-3) (Cincinnati loses #2 seed tie-breaker by virtue of conference record) (Cincinnati leads Baltimore in AFC North by 2.5 games)
NEW ENGLAND (7-5, 3-2, 5-4) (New England leads Miami in AFC East by one game)
Wild Card (Overall, Division, Conference)
DENVER (8-4, 3-1, 6-3) (Denver would be #5 seed)
JACKSONVILLE (7-5, 3-2, 6-2) (Jacksonville would be #6 seed) (If Baltimore wins on Monday Night, Jacksonville will win #6 seed tie-breaker by virtue of conference record)
BALTIMORE (6-6, 3-2, 6-4) (Baltimore loses #6 seed tie-breaker by virtue of conference record) (Baltimore holds tie-breaker over Miami by virtue of conference record)
MIAMI (6-6, 4-2, 4-4) (Miami holds tie-breaker over Pittsburgh by virtue of conference record) (Miami holds tie-breaker over New York by virtue of head-to-head matchup)
NEW YORK (6-6, 2-4, 5-5) (Miami holds tie-breaker over New York by virtue of head-to-head matchup) (New York holds tie-breaker over Pittsburgh by virtue of conference record)
PITTSBURGH (6-6, 1-3, 4-5) (Miami holds tie-breaker over Pittsburgh by virtue of conference record) (New York holds tie-breaker over Pittsburgh by virtue of conference record)
TENNESSEE (5-7, 2-4, 3-7) (Tennessee holds tie-breaker over Houston by virtue of division record)
HOUSTON (5-7, 1-5, 4-6) (Tennessee holds tie-breaker over Houston by virtue of division record)
OAKLAND (4-8, 1-4, 3-6)
BUFFALO (4-8, 2-3, 2-7)
MATHEMATICALLY ELIMINATED
KANSAS CITY (3-9, 1-4, 2-6) (Relevant games: @ CIN 12/27, @ DEN 1/03)
CLEVELAND (1-11, 0-5, 1-7) (Relevant games: vs. PIT 12/10, vs. JAC 1/03)
AFC EAST STANDINGS
NEW ENGLAND (7-5, 3-2, 5-4) (New England leads Miami in AFC East by one game)
MIAMI (6-6, 4-2, 4-4) (Miami holds tie-breaker over New York by virtue of head-to-head matchup)
NEW YORK (6-6, 2-4, 5-5) (Miami holds tie-breaker over New York by virtue of head-to-head matchup)
BUFFALO (4-8, 2-3, 2-7)
If....
If New England loses to ANY AFC team, Miami would hold tie-breaker for division provided they win out.
Comment and discuss potential scenarios here.
This fanpost was written by one of The Phinsider's registered users.
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Big Week 14 Games
PIT (6-6) @ CLE (1-11)
Thursday Night
If PIT wins, conference record goes to 5-5. If PIT loses(ha), they are more than likely out of the running.
If CLE wins, they potentially fall one game back in the “Sam Bradford Sweepstakes.”
DEN (8-4) @ IND (12-0)
If DEN wins, conference record goes to 7-3, and would hold a 2 game cushion over team #7 in AFC with 3 to play. They would likely need only one more win to secure a berth.
If IND wins, a 13-0 record all but assures a first-round bye and homefield advantage.
DET (2-10) @ BAL (6-5)
Pending the Monday night game, a BAL win may put them at 8-5 and in the #6 position, or may be required just to stay in a tie with MIA and JAC.
NYJ (6-6) @ TB (1-11
If NYJ wins, they are still in the hunt, but will need an MIA loss due to the head-to-head record. An NYJ loss effectively eliminates them.
MIA (6-6) @ JAC (7-5)
In terms of playoff implications, this is the game of the week.
If MIA wins, they will, provided a BAL loss on either Monday or in Week 14, move into the #6 seed.
If MIA loses, they will be two games back with three to play, and will lose tie-breaker to JAC.
If JAC wins, they will maintain the #6 seed.
If JAC loses, they will lose the tie-breaker to MIA, and be, at best, in a tie for the #6 seed and require an MIA or BAL loss later in the season.
CIN (9-3) @ MIN (10-1)(Pending Sunday Night game)
If CIN wins, they will clinch the AFC North.
If CIN loses, they will lose the #2 seed with an SD win.
CAR (5-7) @ NE (7-5)
If NE wins, they will maintain at worst a one game lead in the AFC East.
If NE loses, provided a MIA win, they will lose the AFC East lead. They would also be behind JAC and(potentially) BAL in the Wild Card race.
SD (9-3) @ DAL (8-4)
If SD wins and CIN loses, SD will move into the #2 seed.
If SD loses, DEN could potentially tie them for the AFC West lead, however, SD would still hold the division lead by virtue of division record.
What you’re all looking for:
MIA win + BAL loss: MIA will be the #6 seed
MIA win + NE loss: MIA will lead the AFC East
so, is it the Sam Bradford or the Colt McCoy Sweepstakes?
Just think how stupid the average Jest fan is, and then realize that half of them are even stupider! ( a parody of a George Carlin line)
Attorney General of the Matty I Fan Club
Driver of the draft Brandon Spikes bandwagon
ew and ew
it’s the Ndamukong Suh Sweepstakes, or the Jimmy Clausen sweepstakes, depending on who has the top pick lol
Phinsider HOF C/O 2009
Winner of Four 2008/2009 Matty Awards
LN21 and MHTD - Goin Commando
I got dibs
by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 7, 2009 8:38 PM EST up reply actions
Suh is a total BAD ASS!
"I hope you know a lot more than you believe in"-Gram Parsons
"Townes Van Zandt is the best songwriter in the whole world and I'll stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table in my cowboy boots and say that."-Steve Earle
best DT prospect since Warren Sapp
Phinsider HOF C/O 2009
Winner of Four 2008/2009 Matty Awards
LN21 and MHTD - Goin Commando
I got dibs
by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 7, 2009 9:36 PM EST up reply actions
He might very well go number 1
I would take him over any of the QBs, that’s for sure.
by Vanman_FishFan13 on Dec 10, 2009 3:46 PM EST up reply actions
It damn sure ain't the Bradford sweepstakes
Not after hurting his shoulder like that. No one is going to want to pay him the money that a high draft pick commands with the risk of him hurting his shoulder again and career being in jeapardy.
I don’t think it will be the Colt McCoy sweepstakes either…for a couple reasons. One, he has the knock of his size. Two he plays in a conference with NO defense and he could barely beat an above average Nebraska team.
by Vanman_FishFan13 on Dec 10, 2009 3:45 PM EST up reply actions
Nice work
needed this lol. Good to know that Miami only needs NE to lose to an AFC team, and we need to win out to get the division. Another big streak down the home stretch?
Phinsider HOF C/O 2009
Winner of Four 2008/2009 Matty Awards
LN21 and MHTD - Goin Commando
I got dibs
by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 6, 2009 10:42 PM EST reply actions
yup
we need Mosul to put it on the cannon again lol
Phinsider HOF C/O 2009
Winner of Four 2008/2009 Matty Awards
LN21 and MHTD - Goin Commando
I got dibs
by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 6, 2009 11:09 PM EST up reply actions
And how about this!
I just did the math, if Bal loses to GB tonight and we win out, we win the tie break due to “strength of victory”, we would skip the common opponents because we don’t have the 4 game min;
Head-to-head, if applicable.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
Strength of victory.
Strength of schedule.
Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best net points in conference games.
Best net points in all games.
Best net touchdowns in all games.
Coin toss.
SOV is the combined record of the teams you have beaten.
We are ahead by 1 as of right now(29-43 to 28-44) our remaining teams are 23-25 and thiers(if they lose to GB) are 17-31, this will change some but that is a pretty good margin.
So that means the only help we need is a GB win tonight.
GO GREEN BAY!!!!!!!!!
by uncle finster on Dec 7, 2009 11:29 AM EST up reply actions
We won't skip the common opponents.
We have 4 common opponents:
Indy, NE, PIT, and SD.
Baltimore is currently 2-2 right now, but could be 3-2 if they win out and beat PIT again.
We are 1-3, so we have to hope for BAL to lose another game, preferably the PIT game.
Rec'd
I have a lot more confidence in Chad Henne now AND especially Greg Camarillo
I have a lot less confidence in Dan Henning. Run the Ball, please!
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That’s why we didn’t run it as much.
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Repentant Former Driver of the Trade-Ronnie-Brown Bandwagon.
Mission 4W again huh?
WE HAVE TO BEAT JAX!!!! NO WAY AROUND IT!!!
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Great Stuff
Helped me understand what needs to happen for my team to go into the playoffs.
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Well Done roan
Laces out!
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Suck it Pats, Bills and most of all... the god damn jets.
Sean Smith/Vontae Davis= Pat Surtain/Sam Madison
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