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Around SBN: Odds On Peyton Manning's Next Home Includes Three Teams

Dolphins vs Patriots: Keys to Victory

On Sunday, the Dolphins will look to do what only one team has been able to do since Bill Belichick took over as Patriots head coach - beat the Pats and send them to their second consecutive loss. That's right - since Belichick took over, the Patriots are 24-1 when they are coming off of a loss. Just this year, the Pats are 3-0 following a loss and have outscored their opponents by an average of 30 points. That number is skewed, of course, thanks to their 59-0 drubbing of the Titans. But still, their closest game this year following a loss was against the Falcons in which the Pats won by 16 points.

So no - this is obviously no easy task that the Dolphins face on Sunday and logic tells you that the Dolphins don't have too much of a chance. Luckily, games aren't won on paper - they are won on the field. And below you will find what I consider to be the three keys to a Dolphins victory.

Attack New England's secondary
No - the Dolphins aren't exactly loaded with talent at the receiver position. But at this point, what do we have to lose?

On Monday night, we saw the Saints regularly spread out New England's defense and just pick on their corners all game long. The biggest culprit was Jonathan Wilhite, who gave up completion after completion in that game. In fact, one of the biggest contributors to Pats Pulpit came onto this site and wrote of the Patriot secondary, "Brees picked it apart Monday night, throwing at CB Jonathan Wilhite like he wasn’t even there. In fact, it would have been better if he wasn’t because at least then there would have been an excuse."

Now we all know that these Dolphin receivers aren't even close in terms of talent to what New Orleans can throw at you. But what the hell? Let's go for it.

The last time these teams met, Chad Henne did throw for 220 yards. Davone Bess and Greg Camarillo each had good days. And Brian Hartline has continued to improve each week. In that game, the Dolphins did a good job of picking on New England's weaker corners. They threw at rookie Darius Butler 10 times, completing 7 passes for 76 yards against him. They threw at Shawn Springs four times, completing all four passes for 46 yards. Leigh Bodden was the guy who was most effective, allowing only three completions and just 4.1 yards per attempt in his direction. Bodden was especially good against Bess, allowing just one completion in five attempts to Davone.

Wilhite, meanwhile, didn't see too much of the field in large part because the Dolphins didn't use too many three or four receiver sets. I really hope to see - dare I say - more four receiver sets on Sunday. Spread out that defense, keep Ricky Williams in the backfield, and have Ted Ginn split out wide just running fly patterns all game in hopes of occupying one of the safeties.

What's the worst that could happen?

Star-divide

Mix up the defense
One of the things the Saints did so well against the Patriots was to mix up the defense and keep the Patriots on their toes. Following the loss, when asked about how the Saints were able to contain Randy Moss so well, Bill Belichick responded, "They did what they do. They played zone. They double-covered. They played man. They rushed. They did what they do and they did it pretty well."

There's something to be said about how important it is to not do the same thing over and over again. And we saw back in week nine that man coverage with minimal safety help is not the route to go against this Patriot offense. So I really hope that this isn't the plan of attack that Paul Pasqualoni dials up again.

What should the Dolphins do defensively? I'm no defensive coordinator so I won't try to talk like one. But I know for a fact that this defense has become too predictable. Countless times this year, the Dolphins have used the same boring blitz packages and same coverages in the secondary. Their blitzes have become predictable and their coverages have become tired and old.

I know that Sean Smith and Vontae Davis are only rookies, but would it kill them to play a little zone? Probably not. Sure - zone is harder to learn. But it would keep a veteran like Tom Brad on his toes.

Right now, I can sit at home and read the Dolphins' secondary before the snap just as well as a quarterback can. That, my friends, is a big problem. We've seen all of the good quarterbacks that Miami has faced just eat up this defense with simple pre-snap adjustments. Peyton Manning has done it. Tom Brady has done it. Drew Brees has done it. And now even Ryan Fitzpatrick has done it. Enough is enough. Be different. Take some chances. Grow a set.

Show a little emotion
Sometimes I can't help but wonder about this team and these players. Why was it on Sunday that Tony Sparano was showing more emotion on the sideline than his players were on the field? Did anybody else notice that?

I know - they were just the Bills. But I can't imagine that this coaching staff didn't drill it into their players' heads that any loss - even one to the Bills - would severely cripple their playoff chances. And yet, in a game the Dolphins had to have, these players on the field just looked uninspired for pretty much all of the second half.

Well I'll tell you what. If I don't see much more emotion and fire on Sunday in a game at home against the Patriots, we'll all have to start questioning the heart of this team - and of their supposed leaders.

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My thoughts for your keys to victory...


1) Pressure Brady with your front 3 or 4. Our O-Line is decimated with injuries (Our three starting tackled (Light, Vollmer and Kazcur) are injured, we have injuries to our guard (Neal) and center (Koppen). We’re scraping our O-Line barrel which is one of the reasons our offense appeared so limp. Brady had no time carry out plays because a Saint was immediately in his face. If you can create as much pressure with your front 3 or 4, it allows your LBs to sit in the middle of the field and prevent dump offs to Welker in the middle, or Faulk/Morris on the outside and allows your secondary to focus on doubling Welker and Moss. Our only production against the Saints came with Maroney (which our score deficit caused us to abandon early) and Aiken, which meant no production at all.

2) Rough up our receivers. The reason the Saints scored every time they touched the ball: The Pats secondary gave them huge bubbles in an attempt to prevent the big play (hah). The reason the Patriots receivers did nothing: The Saints’ secondary hit them at the start and broke the timing between Brady and the receiver.

3) Run the ball and hope for the big play. What flew under the radar because of Brees’ pretty okay day was that Pierre Thomas was also picking up big yardage per carry. Establish the run (which most every team has been able to do against the Patriots) and hope for the big play deep. The PatCat should be useful because I don’t see our secondary making as many mistakes this game as they did against the Saints. If you beat us, it will because of your ground game wearing down the defense.

by Richard Hill on Dec 3, 2009 12:33 AM EST reply actions  

I think Ricky can tear you guys up more effectively than the Patcat can

Current Phinsider Feud Points: 23

T.Lex doesn't want to be fed, he wants to hunt. Can't just suppress sixty five million years of gut instinct.

by Patssuck456 on Dec 3, 2009 9:55 AM EST up reply actions  

Really?

The thing about the PatCat is that the play usually takes place away from the D-Line (where Wilfork and Warren are our strengths on defense) and forces our LBs and DBs to make the tackles (which they’ve struggled to do). When Ricky runs the ball, he’s going to be the main focus and everyone hone in on him (read this as Mayo and Guyton). The PatCat makes the D respect Pat, Ricky and the receivers.

by Richard Hill on Dec 3, 2009 10:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Keys to Victory

Hey Matty if you would of just said this it would of been a lot easier

""""""NO 4TH Q MELTDOWN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"""""""""""""""""""""""""

by soxoff on Dec 3, 2009 12:40 AM EST reply actions  

true story

I believe in John Beck and that Cbdolphin is the man.
Golden Tate is going to be the next All-Pro Wr
Official Leader of the Trade for Kenny Britt Bandwagon
Longest Sig In the History of Phinsider belongs to Me. 53 Lines in Total.
Check it out.Front Paged - Class of 08. and 09.

by finsxfactor on Dec 3, 2009 1:21 AM EST up reply actions  

As if

Current Ranking for Miami Dolphins Player Pick 'Em Contest: Unranked
Current Ranking for New Orleans Saints Player Pick 'Em Contest: #10
Driver of the "GET PERCY HARVIN AT ALL COSTS" Bandwagon

by Farorefox on Dec 3, 2009 4:21 AM EST up reply actions  

Interesting last point Matty

When Yeremiah Bell got that interception towards the end of the first half Sparano was freaking out (in a good way) just really excited and a player basically told him to chill out as if he didn’t care we just forced an interception. Really strange, the Fins better get fired up for this one, or they will have less of a shot than they already do.

by mhooligan on Dec 3, 2009 1:28 AM EST reply actions  

I think it's time to get Turner on the field.

We need a big body receiver that can use his physical size to impose his will against smaller DB’s. That’s what’s been killing our passing attack. All of our WRs are the same size, if not smaller than most DBs. Nor do they have the speed to create good seperation. Turner may not have blazing speed, but his size alone creates a big mismatch for smaller corners.

by luvs2drnk on Dec 3, 2009 1:38 AM EST reply actions  

but thats the problem

Omar Kelly reported a few weeks back that Turner’s problem was that he couldn’t get off the line against a jam – even against small corners. He said Nate Jones was owning him during the media portion of practice.

by Matty I on Dec 3, 2009 2:50 AM EST up reply actions  

True,

But that’s what motion is for. Either that, or use him primarily in 3 or 4 WR sets where he can line up off the line of scrimmage to give him time to at least try and avoid the jam. I also think it might motivate him more being on the field in a real game environment. He’s not going to get jammed every play, but at least see if he can work past it. I see nothing but positives that can come out of giving him a chance in a game. Even if he doesn’t have a single catch all game, at least he got the confidence of playing in a real NFL game. That’s got to do more for his confidence level then being inactive week after week, and not even being given a chance.

by luvs2drnk on Dec 3, 2009 6:47 AM EST up reply actions  

for sure....

Speed isn’t everything i.e. Ted Ginn, if the kid can catch the ball and break a tackle, maybe he can make something big happen. I think this would be the perfect time to play him, because the Pats have no film on this guy and he’s the kind of player that plays well in big game like Merling.

by phinsfan777 on Dec 3, 2009 5:20 AM EST up reply actions  

Turner is not on the field because he is not an NFL receiver right now

and the coaching staff see that week in and week out in practice. There are things that he can’t do right now that are essential to playing WR in the league. Face it, this is a year that Turner will not contribute at all. Hopefully he learns something and next year he will be better, but I wouldn’t count on it.

by ct1361 on Dec 3, 2009 7:49 AM EST up reply actions  

hold on

i cant recall any draft pick from the trifecta not worthy of there spot on the team. turner may not be ready right now but to say he wont be ready next year, sounds a little foolish. how about we just wait and see

by frostyphinfan on Dec 3, 2009 8:01 AM EST up reply actions  

He doesn't have to be right now.

All I want to do is put him on the field and see what he can do. He can’t do any worse than who we’re putting on the field right now. I can’t believe you’re already writing this guy off without him ever playing a single down. Give him at least a year of playing every game before you doubt his abilities.

by luvs2drnk on Dec 3, 2009 8:31 AM EST up reply actions  

I don't remember the piece Matty alluded to in the paper........

but if there’s any truth there then it bodes pretty bad right now for Turner. I mean let’s add it up, Nate Jones is maybe 5-10, 5-11………….and turner is 6’5 but can’t get off the line? Most corners are in the same size range as Jones so it isn’t as if Turner will get to line up against many 5-6, 150 lb db’s out there. Plus almost all of them would be faster than Turner which begs the question of how he could get open.

Again, IF true, then we don’t have much else to wonder about why he’s not playing.

by Natalya on Dec 3, 2009 11:36 AM EST up reply actions  

Well then if it is definitely true

then we have a definite answer as to why Turner is in sweat pants come game day!

by Natalya on Dec 3, 2009 1:31 PM EST up reply actions  

i mean

it’s definitely true that one of the beat writers (Omar or Armando) wrote that. I can’t find the article anymore though.

by Matty I on Dec 3, 2009 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

I think the injuries have taken a lot of fire out of this team.

Chad Pennington was a rare leader. The whole team rallied around him and got its purpose from him last year. Ronnie kept things fresh and together too. It just can’t be stated how big those losses are. Chad Henne has been fine for a first year guy, but he’s nowhere near what we got from Penne last year, and he doesn’t bring that same team-unifying charisma. Hopefully in time it’ll come. On D, your nose tackle is the beating heart of a 3-4, the keystone everything works around. Another tough loss.

Look, I love that we don’t make excuses around here. But lets be real. A lot of the heart of this team has been cut out. Yeah the players need to pick up the pieces, but if all players were great leaders, if it were easy, we’d never notice how good guys like Pennington and Manning are at it.

Football isn't a matter of life and death - it's far more important than that.

by Agumen on Dec 3, 2009 1:40 AM EST reply actions  

I think your plan for the offense is what we should do every week

but you know that is not cute enough for Henning! We need Crowder to come in and run the Statue of Liberty with an double reverse option pass to the flanker check-down!

8-8 is a victory at this point!

by phatfinfan on Dec 3, 2009 3:31 AM EST reply actions  

Uninspired Team

Maybe it’s because the team see’s the game plans on def. and off. and knows that they SUCK. If that doesn’t take out the “heart” in you, nothing will. Why put your self on the line to get a career ending injury FOR NOTHING. If Sparano has so much heart, how come he was never a top player in professional football? Talk is cheap, put together a game plan that works and if not, change it during the game. Don’t stick with it, when you can see it’s NOT WORKING. Put the BEST PLAYERS YOU HAVE out on the field and if you can’t see who they are, might I suggest a different line of work.

by tony goodstuff on Dec 3, 2009 8:24 AM EST reply actions  

This is about as stupid as a comment as Ive ever seen on this sight You don't have to be a great player at the game to be a great teacher.

Some people just don’t have the god given talent. They know what needs to be done, but just don’t have the abilitiy to do it. Look at Sean Payton, do you think he excelled at he game. He was a prelacement player for the Bears for God sake. Tony Dungy was a special teamer pretty much his whole career. Bill Bellicheat, never played the game as a pro (neither did Sprano). All these coaches are pretty much consider geniusues of the game. So to say that Tony never excelled(never played) in the NFL means he can’t and won’t be a great head coach is absurd. Do think all the other coaches above excelled there first couple stints at head coach. Bellicheck floundered in CLeavland thats right Cleavland, Then the Jest before he made it big at NE. First year in NE 5-11. Also remember who this guy learnt from. That’s right our very own BP.

by D0lphins4Life on Dec 3, 2009 9:17 AM EST up reply actions  

Answer to my post

Talk about mis-reading a post. I only commented on Sparanos experience because prior post’s said he was the only one with Heart, during the game. No Talent on this team? I guess you didn’t watch the Saints and Colts game. They did very well for people with no talent. It wasn’t lack of talent that lost those games, try lack of leadership. When a team totally folds in the 4th qtr try looking at where the D is playing. If you think my post was stupid, then just keep cheering while your team loses, you know, like you were a cheer leader. Take off the blinders.

by tony goodstuff on Dec 3, 2009 11:48 PM EST up reply actions  

It's not the leadership on the field not getting pressure on the Opposing QB or giving up the chunk yardage. It's not the leadership not opening the gaps, getting open and giving protection for our own offense. These coaches see a hell of a lot

more then you or I do and there performing with what they have. This team can only win against good teams when we execute almost to perfection. They have minimal space for errors. So when the players not the coaches committ these errors they pay for it somehow. Then everybody wants to blame the coaches. That’s the way it always works in every sport. The coaches take the heat for the players lack of play or performance. So keep talking out your arse and I’ll keep my blinders on because I see this team is still rebuilding. Also I will keep cheering as you like to put it Fluffer boy as long as the Tri fecta makes me think otherwise.

by D0lphins4Life on Dec 4, 2009 11:51 AM EST up reply actions  

with the pats o-line being so banged up

Our pass rush (JT,Peezy,Wake) should be able to get to Brady.
I CAN’T WAIT TILL SUNDAY!!!

by Superzoe92 on Dec 3, 2009 10:42 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

Fins are too predictable

Reminds me of when the Pats were stealing signs and they knew what our plays were going to be before they were run. It was many years ago but we are just not making the necessary adjustments now and getting our guys in the best position to be successful. Some of it may have to do with the amount of rookies we are playing but it’s late in the season now and either the rookies get it or they don’t (i.e. Pat Turner not playing).

by Big Dawgg on Dec 3, 2009 11:08 AM EST reply actions  

I would prefer not to try to mix zone and man with rookie corners...

the play where Devery Henderson ran unguarded to the end zone was a play that the Pats had practiced before and even communicated on, but due to inexperience, they just blew the coverage.
If we try to do something tricky with the secondary, I think we just open ourselves up to miscommunication and mistakes.
I would however advocate doing something confusing with the front seven, since they are more veteran and they would create mismatches with the Patriot banged up O-line.
For example, use a 5-2 look with the Nose Tackle – Middle Guard being Randy Starks or Tony McDaniel STANDING UP and moving around to different gaps in the middle to confuse the blocking schemes.
5-2 Scheme with MG/NT and LILB and RILB moving around at the snap
2 lineman
LDE Langford / Baker
RDE Merling / Alama – Francis
5 linebackers/defensive linemen
LOLB Taylor / Wake
LILB Crowder / Torbor / McDaniel
MG/NT Starks / McDaniel / Torbor
RILB Ayodele / Walden / Starks
ROLB Porter / Anderson

I would have the safeties (please not Bell and Wilson) play back deep and help the Rookie Corners.

Lastly, I would take a page from the Saints grabbing wiley veterans off the street and put Jake Grove and Lionel Dotson on IR and bring in Sam Madison and Patrick Surtain as a change of pace (on third downs) to play bump and run coverage on Welker and Moss and undercut the routes while Vontae Davis and Sean Smith are playing off of them 15 yards downfield doubling them (4 corners and no safeties). That way, you could easily flip flop Davis and Smith depending on where Welker and Moss line up so that Smith is matched up on Moss deep down the field and Davis is matched up with Welker. Effectively they would be corners playing deep safety.

Abandoned the Draft Sean Smith at #25 Bandwagon to Join the Draft Sean Smith at #61 Bandwagon and get Vontae Davis and Chris Clemons. Trio > me.

by DolphDallas on Dec 3, 2009 11:45 AM EST reply actions  

Can't flip flop Davis and Smith

They have only learned a few positions and Smith has only worked on one side for the entire preseason & season. That’s why he was starting in front of Davis. Maybe next year with a year of experience they will learn more spots and coverages…

by Big Dawgg on Dec 3, 2009 11:55 AM EST up reply actions  

Undue Belichick Credit

Great post Matty. Definately would be interesting to see the fins spread it out on offense. Question:

That’s right – since Belichick took over, the Patriots are 24-1 when they are coming off of a loss.
Are you sure about this Matty? What about the 2000 season, I thought they had a pretty bad season then and I think Bill was coaching that whole season.

by finsfaninaggieland on Dec 3, 2009 5:35 PM EST reply actions  

Hello Boys good luck this week

 In 2000 BB’s 1st season we lost the first 4 and went 5 – 11 on the season

Any given Sunday

by PatsFanSouth on Dec 3, 2009 10:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Answer to my post

Talk about mis-reading a post. I only commented on Sparanos experience because prior post’s said he was the only one with Heart, during the game. No Talent on this team? I guess you didn’t watch the Saints and Colts game. They did very well for people with no talent. It wasn’t lack of talent that lost those games, try lack of leadership. When a team totally folds in the 4th qtr try looking at where the D is playing. If you think my post was stupid, then just keep cheering while your team loses, you know, like you were a cheer leader. Take off the blinders.

by tony goodstuff on Dec 3, 2009 6:09 PM EST reply actions  

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