Dolphins vs Texans: Keys to Victory
We're getting closer and closer to Sunday's huge game between the Dolphins and Texans down at Land Shark Stadium - a playoff elimination game, in fact. There is one small scenario that gets the Dolphins into the playoffs with an 8-8 record, but it's highly unlikely. So to keep their postseason dreams alive, the Dolphins must win this game on Sunday.
To do so, these are my three keys for the Dolphins on Sunday:
Protect the football
I can't believe I even have to type this about this football team. But last season's terrific job of protecting the football has not carried over to 2009. The Dolphins led the NFL in turnover ratio last year with a +17 - committing just 13 turnovers in the entire season. The '09 Dolphins, however, have turned the ball over 12 times in just their past four games and have 25 turnovers on the season. Totally unacceptable.
Now when you go from a Chad Pennington at quarterback to a young kid with no career starts, it's expected for there to be an increase in turnovers. But that's not the troubling part. What bothers me most is the ridiculous amount of fumbles by this football team. The Dolphins have lost 10 fumbles this year after losing only 6 in 2008. Worse yet, Miami has put the ball on the ground a whopping 25 times this year - the fifth most fumbles in the NFL. They have just been lucky that 15 of those were recovered by a Dolphin or went out of bounds.
The two biggest culprits of fumbling have been Ricky Williams and Davone Bess. Ricky has four fumbles in his last two games - including two lost. Bess, meanwhile, has fumbled six times and lost three of them a year after just fumbling once as a rookie. Considering how good Davone's hands are, that's the really surprising part of all this.
Regardless of who it is, though, the Dolphins can afford to squander away opportunities by turning the ball over. They need to score some points on Sunday and to limit the number of times they let Houston's offense get their hands on the football.
Limit Andre Johnson's opportunities
This one is really a no-brainer and was highlighted in my post yesterday. For the second week in a row, this Miami defense has to deal with another "Johnson" on the field. This time, though, it's a receiver who may be the most dominant receiver in the game right now. Andre Johnson leads the NFL in receiving yards and is just 67 yards away from becoming only the second player in league history to have back-to-back 1,500 yard receiving seasons (any guesses as to who is currently the only player to achieve such a feat?).
Johnson is also a Dolphins killer. He's played in three career games, including his NFL debut back in 2003, and averages 8 catches for 118 yards and has two career touchdowns against the Dolphins. Only in his NFL debut did Miami hold him to fewer than 9 receptions and fewer than 101 yards (he had 6 for 76 that day). And last year, Johnson was a one man wrecking crew, tallying 10 catches for 178 yards and a touchdown en route to a last second win. In that game, Matt Schaub completed 22 passes and 10 were to Andre.
We know that no player in the NFL has more passes thrown his way than Johnson does. In fact, in the last three weeks alone, Johnson has seen 42 balls thrown his way. If the Dolphins want to win this game, they have got to find a way to minimize Andre's impact on Sunday.
Don't fall behind early
Last week the Dolphins did something we haven't seen much of the past few years - they came back from a large deficit to tie it up. But we know that this offense isn't exactly suited to coming back from behind. What the Dolphins have excelled at under Tony Sparano these past two seasons is winning the tight games. In games decided by seven points or less, the Dolphins are 13-4 the past two seasons, including a 6-2 mark in 2009.
That, to me, is how you beat the Texans. You keep it close and force Houston's offense to have to execute plays late in a game. This season, Houston is only 3-5 in games decided by seven or less. And with the way Houston can score points, an early deficit could just be the beginning to a nightmare afternoon for the Dolphins.
The Fins need to run the ball, win the time of possession battle, and make sure they convert in the red zone - something this team didn't do so well last week.
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48 comments
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Comments
All throughout this season we've shown the ability to control the clock,
stop the run, (semi) contain the pass -but not for 4 quarters.
Now’s the time to put up. The Texans “4 win domination” means nothing to this team.
goo goo goojoob
by Tunaflipper on Dec 24, 2009 12:29 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
The texans
are world renowned for playing only one half of football. See our game against the 49ers(21-0 at halftime won 24-1) or Cardinals(21-0 at half lost 28-21) the most recent colt game where we led by 17 in the 2nd quarter. sigh
by nolander on Dec 24, 2009 1:11 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Extremely accurate right there. That's what I've had to learn the hard way in both
fantasy games and regular NFL gambling. The Texans are a very good team, talent wise, but man, they will always shoot themselves in the foot. Last year against the Colts, giving up the huge lead with that famous Helicopter Rosenfels fumble, then this year that fumble in the end zone against Jacksonville in the 4th quarter when about to take the lead, or the missed field goals against Indy or Tennessee. Plus, they always seem to give up or play down to lesser opponents.
by MauMontaV5 on Dec 24, 2009 1:31 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You . had . me . at. .........Chad Pennington
Very good keys by the way.
by MauMontaV5 on Dec 24, 2009 1:06 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
You again Matty?!
Again you nailed it! I like your style and demeanor here. 0 and 4 against the Texans, definitely means nothing to Miami. And like I said yesterday in another one of your posts, Ball control and clock management will win out. And since the Texans are not good defensively against the run, pound that rock against them with a couple of well planned passes on occassion too.
If Miami can hold onto the ball for 35 to 40 minutes and keep Houston off balance defensively, this could be a good day for the Dolphins. Especially if they sustain time consuming drives. If you Limit their opportunities with the ball, you can negate alot of their big play potential. The defense has stepped up nicely in recent weeks. The offense can move the ball by land and air against anyone. Now if they can capitalize on all that yardage with points, this will be a long day for the Texans. Now Go Dolphins!
by nicoltony on Dec 24, 2009 1:13 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
the Texans have gotten alot better on the run if you take out the first four games of the season they are a top ten defense vs. the run
by killdawabbit on Dec 26, 2009 8:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I think we were just lucky with Davone's lack of fumbles last year.
I think he established an image for himself as a man who doesn’t fumble which was accepted by most teams, but now the news is out that he will drop it and teams are taking advantage of that. I think this is just a reality check and he can easily rectify the problem if he puts his mind to it.
Driver of the Make David Lee OC Bandwagon
Repentant Former Driver of the Trade-Ronnie-Brown Bandwagon.
by joel311 on Dec 24, 2009 2:46 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
0 fumbles in college
He had 0 fumbles at Hawaii on 293 receptions. I know he wasn’t usually getting hit by NFL caliber players, but still, I don’t think it was luck that he didn’t fumble last year.
On that end-around play, I don’t even think he got hit when he fumbled it. I’m not sure what happened there.
by ClarkT on Dec 26, 2009 12:38 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
quick question for you guys
would you rather have henne or Pennington at QB right now?
Rockets>>>>>>Jazz
Texans>>>>>>>Titans
Super Mario>>>>>>>Vince Young
by Rockets 4 Life on Dec 24, 2009 2:52 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
explain why also
i haven’t gotten a chance to watch the dolphins this year, due to me living in houston.
Rockets>>>>>>Jazz
Texans>>>>>>>Titans
Super Mario>>>>>>>Vince Young
by Rockets 4 Life on Dec 24, 2009 2:53 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Henne.
Because I think he’s proven that he is the future with several high pressure 4th quarter drives.
Driver of the Make David Lee OC Bandwagon
Repentant Former Driver of the Trade-Ronnie-Brown Bandwagon.
by joel311 on Dec 24, 2009 4:42 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Henne
The more time he has with the starting team helps his timing and confidence (of him & team mates). I’d love to see Penne come in when necessary like Morrel and Strock did.
goo goo goojoob
by Tunaflipper on Dec 24, 2009 9:37 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
What are you smokein
just because he had one game winning drive and everyone thinks hes great pat white will smokem his as lol
by Pat white fan on Dec 24, 2009 3:05 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Anwser pat white
If he was given a chance to show what he can do more then 3 plays a game he shock the world
by Pat white fan on Dec 24, 2009 3:06 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
you guys have pat white fanboys?
Are the as annoying as VYFanboys(thats a trick question, the answer is no)
by nolander on Dec 24, 2009 7:05 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You're right. No
They’re worse.
David A. Fuller, CPA, MST
2009 Unofficial "The Phinsider" (Phinaddict's League) Fantasy Baseball League Champion
by Dave.Phuller on Dec 24, 2009 9:47 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
thanks for the answers guys.
Rockets>>>>>>Jazz
Texans>>>>>>>Titans
Super Mario>>>>>>>Vince Young
by Rockets 4 Life on Dec 26, 2009 2:12 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
the Texans curse started when.... (anyone remember?)
That first game, opening the season in 2003. We were confident and Jason Taylor was caught saying (to some Texans players during warmups) that this was just going to be “another exhibition game” for them! And thus it began… Heartbreaker that day and 3 more losses since! Confidence is good but cockiness can be a killer..
by dolphinsfan4life on Dec 24, 2009 7:09 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
4 games does not a record make.
goo goo goojoob
by Tunaflipper on Dec 24, 2009 9:35 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
im still waiting for them to take bess off punts
higher chance of getting hurt, and quite frankly he sucks at it
"You're gonna eat lightning, and you're gonna crap thunder!"
Rocky
by Davone_Is_BessT on Dec 24, 2009 10:00 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
They took him off last game...
and Ginn fumbled the punt return. This is exactly why Ginn was taken off punts in the first place, he doesn’t know when to fair catch.
Driver of the Make David Lee OC Bandwagon
Repentant Former Driver of the Trade-Ronnie-Brown Bandwagon.
by joel311 on Dec 24, 2009 12:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
We will win this game
I feel like the 6th seed will come down to Pittsburgh and us in that final game, and the way everything has gone this season, you can’t be happier than that
by Brettdolfan on Dec 24, 2009 10:04 AM EST via mobile reply actions 0 recs
Dolphins will win...
guaranteed. The losing streak stops here!
8-8 is a victory at this point!
by phatfinfan on Dec 24, 2009 10:20 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Marvin Harrison?
From what I can find he had 1,524 yards in 2001 and 1,722 in 2002.
by AAH825 on Dec 24, 2009 10:31 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Nevermind. He is not a current player...
by AAH825 on Dec 24, 2009 10:32 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
no thats right
it was Marvin Harrison.
I wasn’t looking for a “current” player. I said the player who is “currently the only one” – as in Andre Johnson will soon join him making Harrison no longer the only one.
by Matty I on Dec 24, 2009 2:02 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Pats fan here...
…I hope you guys win out and grab a wild card! In fact, I hope you destroy the Texans this week and eliminate them!
Why?
1) Give us a blueprint on how to beat them
2) Give them nothing to play for in week 17
3) Phins in the Playoffs gives us something to laugh at the Jets about
4) You guys are the best team in the wild card hunt. You just had to face some of the ridiculous competition that the #1 team in a division has to play.
Hire OC.
by Richard Hill on Dec 24, 2009 11:23 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Why, four very fine reasons, indeed!
And a Merry Christmas to you and yours!
goo goo goojoob
by Tunaflipper on Dec 24, 2009 11:53 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
1) show up. We will find a way to beat ourselves usually.
2)If we have a chance to knock youout of the playoffs and get to 8-8 thats all the motivation this team needs. Ask da bears.
by nolander on Dec 24, 2009 1:23 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I love the fact that a Pats fan wants us to make the playoffs
Just so we could collectively laugh at the Jets!! I respect pats fans even more!
by Superzoe92 on Dec 24, 2009 12:15 PM EST via mobile reply actions 0 recs
it's true
nobody likes the Jets. They’re the scum of the NFL, quite frankly.
by Matty I on Dec 24, 2009 2:03 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
well said
"You're gonna eat lightning, and you're gonna crap thunder!"
Rocky
by Davone_Is_BessT on Dec 24, 2009 2:04 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
They dont even have their own stadium.
Current Phinsider Feud Points: 23
T.Lex doesn't want to be fed, he wants to hunt. Can't just suppress sixty five million years of gut instinct.
by Patssuck456 on Dec 24, 2009 3:40 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Heres a idea
Set the all world henne and put pat white in and see what happens I mean hell all you henne fanssaid henne will lead you to the superbowl guess what henne is going to lead you to the golf corse so you henne lovers can shut the bleep up. Now you feel me
by Pat white fan on Dec 24, 2009 3:03 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
You are a real crappy troll
Current Phinsider Feud Points: 23
T.Lex doesn't want to be fed, he wants to hunt. Can't just suppress sixty five million years of gut instinct.
by Patssuck456 on Dec 24, 2009 3:40 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
somebody has no christmas spiritt...
do you need a hug??
by danlr13 on Dec 24, 2009 4:25 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You're joking, right?
He inherited an 0-3 team (no offense whatsoever to Pennington) which he has lead to become the best AFC team not currently in the playoffs (but not out yet either).
He’s 7-4 as a starter in his first season starting with what I’d call mediocre-to-slightly-above-average receivers.
David A. Fuller, CPA, MST
2009 Unofficial "The Phinsider" (Phinaddict's League) Fantasy Baseball League Champion
by Dave.Phuller on Dec 24, 2009 9:50 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
If he ends up
becoming for us what Brady became for you guys, I would be ecstatic.
"Why don't you put that in a memo and entitle it 'Shit I Already Know'!" - Sarge from Red vs. Blue
I can't brain today, I have the dumb.
28 "Phinsider Feud" Points
by Chupathingy on Dec 26, 2009 12:36 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Stop AJ and we stop their offense.
Current Phinsider Feud Points: 23
T.Lex doesn't want to be fed, he wants to hunt. Can't just suppress sixty five million years of gut instinct.
by Patssuck456 on Dec 24, 2009 3:41 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
wow
i just saw henne’s last interception replay and ted ginn was wide open and i know you guys might say he would still drop it i would take an incompletion over a pick
by wputomas on Dec 24, 2009 9:03 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Pass Rush...
Thats our key to victory Sunday fella’s…. That how we win, Ball control running attack and killer pass rush, force them to run. Merry Christmas all… Go Fish!!!
by Ronnie T on Dec 24, 2009 9:11 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
miami is not afaid of any team in the nfl…they will and have stood strong and matched up strong vs. dominate teams. they could have beaten the colts,saints and pats(1 st game) but d fense quit on them. not a good excuse but a sad fact.now with play-off hopes on the line they will now step up.
by miamirulez23518 on Dec 26, 2009 4:46 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
containing johnson is not a easy task…just ask every team that played him this year.he is just nasty.
by miamirulez23518 on Dec 26, 2009 4:58 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Character Test
Miami is a team with a bright future. They have been built from the inside out and are still lacking some pieces. That being said.., they have still shown a resiliency that usually does not come from a team this young. To win this game, and advance on to yet another meaningful game against Pittsburgh… would go very far in teaching this team what it takes to go the stretch and win it all. It will be very interesting to watch this team either take a HUGE step forward in their fast track of development… or, be reminded that the NFL rarely suffers “Incomplete” franchises in December and January. Either way… I see our Dolphins heading in the right direction.
by Derek4The Fins on Dec 27, 2009 8:05 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

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