Dolphins vs Titans: Three Key Matchups
It's time to turn our attention to Sunday's game in Tennessee between the Dolphins and Titans. For the third consecutive week, the Dolphins will play in what is essentially another "playoff game" - meaning a loss and their season could be over. A win and they live to play another meaningful December football game the following week. After the rough start that Miami went through, this is all we could ask for.
The Titans also had their own rough start but have battled back themselves, recovering from an 0-6 start to win six of seven and get back into the playoff picture. Their lone loss in their last seven came at the hands of the undefeated Colts. Needless to say, this one promises to be a battle.
Onto my weekly critical matchups:
Chris Johnson vs Dolphins rush defense
This is obviously a no-brainer. If the Dolphins are to win this game, then they must find a way to slow down the most dangerous runner in the NFL. Chris Johnson leads the NFL in rushing yards, over 300 yards in front of the second ranked rusher. He's run for over 100 yards in eight consecutive games and has his sights set on a 2,000 yard season. And his 6 yards per carry average is tops among all backs with at least 100 carries. He's simply a dynamic play-maker who has 20 runs of 20+ yards this season and 7 of 40+ yards and is a threat to score every time he gets his hands on the football.
The Dolphins, meanwhile, have done a much better job over the past few weeks in stopping the run. They held the Patriots to just 96 yards rushing and 3.8 yards per carry. Then last week, Miami limited Maurice Jones-Drew to just 59 yards and 3.3 yards per carry. Impressive, for sure - especially for limiting MJD like they did. But this unit has not faced a back as fast and elusive as Chris Johnson. And outside of MJD, the most talented runner the Dolphins have faced this season, DeAngelo Williams, ran for 122 yards on just 13 carries against this defense.
Needless to say, the Dolphins most focus this week on limiting Johnson's impact on this football game.
Dolphin receivers vs Titans Secondary
While the Titans will look to run the ball on Sunday, I have a feeling that the Dolphins' game plan will be to throw. The Titans are seventh in the league defending the run but 31st defending the pass. Now part of that is because Tennessee has had to play some games without starting corners Cortland Finnegan and Nick Harper. But still, with both of those guys in the lineup, Matt Leinart was able to complete 68% of his passes for 220 yards.
On the season, the Titans are allowing over 258 yards per game through the air and have surrendered 27 touchdown passes - the second highest total in the league, just two fewer than the Lions. But one of my favorite pass defense statistics is even more telling. The Titans are letting over 67% of the passes thrown against them get completed. And don't let a Titans fan tell you this is because of the injuries they've sustained in 2009. Finnegan is allowing 64% of the passes thrown his way get completed while Harper's completion percentage against is a staggering 73.3%. In fact, opposing quarterbacks have a rating of 115 when throwing in Nick Harper's direction.
The Dolphins, meanwhile, have really been looking to throw the football more often these past two weeks. Chad Henne is completing 62% of his pass attempts over these last two weeks and is averaging 278 yards in that span. Miami's receivers have been the key. Henne has had places to throw the football and his receivers have been consistent catching the football. In these last two games, the Dolphins have had two different 100 yard receivers - Davone Bess against the Pats and Greg Camarillo last week in Jacksonville.
For all of their faults, one thing you can say about this group of receivers is that they have a number of reliable targets. And I think the Dolphins will be able to exploit Tennessee's nickel corner. Whether it's Vincent Fuller or Jason McCourty, the Dolphins should get a favorable matchup against either - or both - of these two. Fuller has allowed 83% of the passes thrown his way to get completed while McCourty has let 89% get completed for an average of ober 14 yards per reception.
This is one matchup the Dolphins have got to exploit.
Ted Ginn vs Titans kick coverage
Here's a little "did you know." Did you know that Ted Ginn Jr. leads the AFC in yards per kick return, averaging 28 yards per attempt? Did you know that no player has more kickoff returns for a touchdown this season than Ginn - and only one player has as many? Did you know that Ginn is fourth in the AFC in kickoff returns of over 20 yards and second in the AFC in returns of 40+ yards? In fact, 72% of Teddy's returns result in at least 20 yards - the same percentage as "return star" Josh Cribbs. And only one player has more 40+ yard kick returns in the AFC than Ginn.
Meanwhile, the Titans are one of the worst teams in the league in kickoff coverage, surrendering 25 yards per kickoff return - the third most in the entire league. And with only 9% of Tennessee's kickoffs resulting in touchbacks, Ginn figures to have some opportunities to make plays on Sunday.
So how about it? Can we see something special out of one of the most polarizing players on this Miami roster?
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Ginn ftw!
"Far better is it to dare mighty things, to win glorious triumphs, even though checkered by failure... than to rank with those poor spirits who neither enjoy nor suffer much, because they live in a gray twilight that knows not victory nor defeat." - Theodore Roosevelt
Hey, it rhymes!
Driver of the Make David Lee OC Bandwagon
Repentant Former Driver of the Trade-Ronnie-Brown Bandwagon.
by joel311 on Dec 16, 2009 3:40 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
huh?
Do our recievers exist? Ginn crawls out the hole, Bess is stumbling but hope is not lost.
Gibril i like you and imma let you finish the season but, Ed Reed is the best safety of all time, of all time!!
i was
making a joke. meaning chris johnson is probably going to be getting in our secondary a lot
by donaldhall19 on Dec 16, 2009 1:11 AM EST up reply actions
Oh.. Hah! lol
God forbid he does and it Gibril Wilson having to make the tackle…
cant we just keep Culver or Clemens in?
Do our recievers exist? Ginn crawls out the hole, Bess is stumbling but hope is not lost.
Gibril i like you and imma let you finish the season but, Ed Reed is the best safety of all time, of all time!!
Wilson is good against the run.
Driver of the Make David Lee OC Bandwagon
Repentant Former Driver of the Trade-Ronnie-Brown Bandwagon.
yes, gerbil can tackle
if he has help
-LCFF
by LeftCoastFinFan on Dec 16, 2009 4:31 PM EST up reply actions
Matty I,
where do you get your stats about the QB’s passer rating, etc when thrown to a particular player?
By the way, Nick Harper sucks. If Henne is smart enough to throw in his direction all day you will have a very good chance of winning. Also, Vincent Fuller will definitely be starting at nickel, not McCourty.
"We really feel like we can go 10-0 in these last ten games...we’re trying to do something nobody has ever done." Chris Johnson
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Official Graphic Designer/Researcher/Grammar Police of MCM.
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by Aditya T (smashville) on Dec 16, 2009 1:00 AM EST reply actions
Vinny does have 2 pick6s this year.
And Finnegan took Reggie Wayne away from Peyton Manning during the Colt game.
I would like to see the source on those stats as well.
Matty I is just Godlike. period
LOL
Just think how stupid the average Jest fan is, and then realize that half of them are even stupider! ( a parody of a George Carlin line)
Attorney General of the Matty I Fan Club
Driver of the draft Brandon Spikes bandwagon
Optimistic, ................Hell F'n Yes !!!!
I’m hoping for 3 things………
A big game out of Henne
A big game out of Ginn
A big game out of our defense
That’s all……….
Sugar cone with Chocolate ice cream on the bottom & Orange sherbet on the top !!!!!!! NOW !!!!!!!!!!!
by Ohiofinfan4life on Dec 16, 2009 1:02 AM EST reply actions
and naturally a win!
Just think how stupid the average Jest fan is, and then realize that half of them are even stupider! ( a parody of a George Carlin line)
Attorney General of the Matty I Fan Club
Driver of the draft Brandon Spikes bandwagon
So basically, this game is a mirror of the Jax game, expect the Titans seem better
Both have explosive RBs (Johnson Wins out)
Both have QBs with wheels (Garrard seems better but not by much)
Corner are weak
Their receivers can make plays, but only if you allow them to
They do how ever have the best Center in the league with Mawae
Do our recievers exist? Ginn crawls out the hole, Bess is stumbling but hope is not lost.
Gibril i like you and imma let you finish the season but, Ed Reed is the best safety of all time, of all time!!
The Titans also have a MUCH better O-Line and better D-Line.
With their starters, Jax’s D-Line is probably almost but not quite the equal of the Titans minus-Albert Haynesworth. However, for your game last week, Jacksonville was missing Big John Henderson in the middle, making their D-Line a shadow of its usual self.
Bottom line, Miami will probably have to throw to win the game. Conversely, if VY plays and his hammy is okay, then you might see a pretty wide variety of offense from the Titans. Unlike in years past, VY has been considerably better than KC, both in the air and on the ground, which I think your D-Coordinator will take into account one he watches the film, forcing a more balance defensive game plan. However, if VY is out and KC has to start, then Tennessee will also probably have to throw to win the game, because you’ll be able to put 9 in the box and double cover Kenny Britt, which has so far been deadly to the Titans’ Offense.
DannoE
"You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one."
The Titans D line really took a huge hit from the loss of Haynesworth.
I think the Fins Oline wins that battle, and will be able to run the ball to open up the pass. I think the Fins will be able to move the ball on TN.
I think the real key to the game will be the Fins D-line vs. the Titans O-line. Mawae is good, but I don’t agree with the comment about about “best in the NFL” – far from it. He was at his peak with the Jets, and used to frustrate Zach Thomas no end, because he could get off his initial blocks to get out to the LBs and help open up the run game. But seriously, when was the last time you saw him get downfield like that? I mean, Mawae has been playing 16 yrs! He’s going to have his hands full (pun intended) with Soliai, Langford, and Starks.
If the Dolphins can clog the run lanes, and contain VY while bringing pressure, I like our chances against the Titans passing game. However, the Fins have been susceptible to scrambling QBs, and the reason is that when we collapse the pocket and flush the QB, the LBs seem to lose outside contain. Young has a tendency to “wing it” when pressured, so if we can keep him in the pocket and bring pressure, our CBs should be fine against the TN WRs.
Letting either VY or Johnson get in the open field will be disastrous for the Dolphins.
-LCFF
by LeftCoastFinFan on Dec 16, 2009 4:58 PM EST up reply actions
Stat adjustment
Could you adjust the stats for the Titans so that the numbers reflect the winning Titans, not the inept team from the start of the season? It would give us a good idea of what we are facing.
by Flint Michigan Megabowl on Dec 16, 2009 1:09 AM EST reply actions
If Young is out we will almost definitely be able to limit Johnson to less than 100 yds
If their passing game turns out to be inept during the game we can stack our D along the line of scrimmage and really hamper their running game. And even if Young plays, their coach already admitted he would not be at 100%. “Limited” was the word he used to be exact.
It's my birthday Sunday
and the only thing I want is a dolphins victory over the titans…and the texans…and the steelers….and a play off win and the Super bowl but that’s it!
Its my birthday next tuesday
So I would want an early gift from this team
Current Phinsider Feud Points: 23
T.Lex doesn't want to be fed, he wants to hunt. Can't just suppress sixty five million years of gut instinct.
by Patssuck456 on Dec 16, 2009 10:26 AM EST up reply actions
it was my birthday last saturday
-LCFF
by LeftCoastFinFan on Dec 16, 2009 5:00 PM EST up reply actions
If we have enough birthdays
we can win this thing out.
i already used mine for the Jags last Sunday
-LCFF
by LeftCoastFinFan on Dec 16, 2009 5:15 PM EST up reply actions
My daughter's 8th b'day is Jan 18 - can we hear it for a MNF play-off game?
Just think how stupid the average Jest fan is, and then realize that half of them are even stupider! ( a parody of a George Carlin line)
Attorney General of the Matty I Fan Club
Driver of the draft Brandon Spikes bandwagon
Used my Christmas present for the Dolphins over the Jets last year
But I don’t want to use it until we’re playing for our playoff lives against Pitt..
2009 Unofficial "The Phinsider" (Phinaddict's League) Fantasy Baseball League Champion
by Dave.Phuller on Dec 16, 2009 9:35 PM EST up reply actions
mine was wednesday
but I used my birthday mojo up against the pats and the jags.
by Brooklynfinfan on Dec 16, 2009 11:39 PM EST up reply actions
If we were to adjust the stats like Flint Michigan Megabowl suggests for Miami too, Miami should win this game. I think it’s great how Tennesee has recovered after their 0-6 start to winning 6 of 7 games but Miami has also rebounded with 7 of their last 10 starts, and against the toughest schedule in the league. If Miami’s defense holds the Titan’s running attack in check then I look for a Miami win here. If not, I see a shootout with Miami winning in a close battle via Henne’s arm against a porous Titan secondary. Miami can run the ball successfully too, and open up some play action passing. This game will be similar to the Jaguar game except the Titans have a little better defense against the run, and are more vulernable against the pass. Miami’s defense as of late has played solid in both categories and they have a top notch pass rush too. Ginn should be able to bust some long ones in the kick returns too, and give Miami some good field position. This will be a good close matchup. Go Dolphins!
Can't Wait for Sunday ... love the Ginn stats
Great points Matty .. def like the Ginn stats and that probably will be a key in helping out our team in this game, now if we could only get him on PR duties aswell.
I love the Ginn stats but...
I hope he doesn’t have to return to many kickoffs because that means Tenn isn’t scoring to many points!! GO FINS !!!
Yeah, just return the ONE for a TD. I'll be happy.
Abandoned the Draft Sean Smith at #25 Bandwagon to Join the Draft Sean Smith at #61 Bandwagon and get Vontae Davis and Chris Clemons. Trio > me.
by DolphDallas on Dec 16, 2009 10:01 AM EST up reply actions
I'm gonna be at the game and I'm pumped and it's only Wednesday!
I live in Tennessee and I have to watch the awful Titans and the Colts every week…so needless to say anytime I get to watch the Dolphins in Tennessee I’m either in front of the tv or in Nashville for the game. I look for a few things to happen in this game…1)I think Ricky and C. Henne are gonna have great games…Ricky is a machine and I don’t think the Titans will be able to stop him. 2) I have also been impressed by our receivers and I think they’ll do great as well. 3) Lastly the three dudes I’m gonna be watching the most are Cameron Wake, Randy Starks and the trash talkin machine Joey Porter…Starks and Wake are gonna be in the QB’s face whoever it maybe playing and I think Porter should shadow Chris Johnson all day. Anyways it should be a great game and I’m so pumped for it. Go Phins!
by Nathaniel Bishop on Dec 16, 2009 10:16 AM EST reply actions
Haha Vincent Fuller
He’s my darker brother :)
2009 Unofficial "The Phinsider" (Phinaddict's League) Fantasy Baseball League Champion
our mediocre WR's vs thier mediocre DB's
Is a matchup I’m concerned with although Bess & Co. have been good as of late…maybe its the wide open scheme the’ve been running. IMO Henne just looks more comfortable in the shotgun.
by Superzoe92 on Dec 16, 2009 11:16 AM EST via mobile reply actions
Who allow high 60's completion percentage
2009 Unofficial "The Phinsider" (Phinaddict's League) Fantasy Baseball League Champion
by Dave.Phuller on Dec 16, 2009 9:36 PM EST up reply actions
Pass on Nick Harper
He’s not a pro bowl DB for his coverage.
2009 Unofficial "The Phinsider" (Phinaddict's League) Fantasy Baseball League Champion
by Dave.Phuller on Dec 16, 2009 9:36 PM EST up reply actions
i dont know, matty, he is pretty good
he will run you over, he can juke pretty well for his size, and has pretty good speed, again, for his size
Can't get to the outside like CJ can
He’ll be a handful. Thankfully even if VY plays, his hammy will limit his running ability.
2009 Unofficial "The Phinsider" (Phinaddict's League) Fantasy Baseball League Champion
by Dave.Phuller on Dec 16, 2009 9:37 PM EST up reply actions
If i remember right, in week 3 Tomlinson didn’t play. Sproles only ran for about 40-45 yards. Im not trying to say he’s as good as Johnson, but he is a similar runner. I think Johnson will have a decent day but if VY can’t run like he usually does, I think we’ll win by a touchdown. Maybe 24-17
by dolfanfromcali on Dec 16, 2009 9:43 PM EST up reply actions
We'll have to
take better care of the ball from here on out.
We need to win these battles:
Field Position
Turn-overs
Time of possession
CP10 and P.Cobbs get well soon
Miami Dolphins 2008 AFC East Divison Champions
"I likem me some UDFAs"
I wonder if Ricky
has been cradling his football since last Sun afternoon?
He better be gripping it like his life depends on it!!
Not craddling it!!
by Vanman_FishFan13 on Dec 17, 2009 3:44 PM EST up reply actions
Ginn
There has been a pattern for Ginn since his break game against the Jets, he has had a good return game, a poor one followed by a good one.
Following this pattern, good, bad, good he is due for a Good game!
The Patriots Suck
The only thing is
I know that we have to watch chris johnson and his explosiveness but we need to make sure that we watch the play action because i’ve noticed we tend to bite on it 9 times out of 10. I’m pretty confident in our rushing defense this week though. 24-17 Miami.
Kinda off-topic, but I thought this was interesting.
“After Sunday’s five-fumble outing at Jacksonville, backs and receivers were subjected to running through the gauntlet with teammates hitting them with blocking pads. There was one small twist – half the players were told to drop their pads and try to strip the ball out with their hands.”
-From the CBS Dolphins page
He really is a phenomenal coach. After our terrible 4th quarter performance in Buffalo, he added 4th quarter simulation drills to practice. The result…2 weeks in a row of shutting teams out in the 4th. Hopefully this drill has a similar effect and we won’t see any more fumbles this season. He really has a knack for feeling out our weaknesses and nipping them in the butt as soon as they start to appear.
we need to out-possess the titans to keep johnson off the field
no turnovers…
and when we get a run going, we don’t throw in pat white or use the wildcat and we’ll be okay.
El Peezy... "the Calvin Johnson of rookies.. instant impact" -Prime Time
"el peezy ['the real deal'] strikes fear in opponent bloggers hearts" -finsx
"El Peezy is a man of the people...Don’t hate the player – hate the game." -KC
by el presidente 00 on Dec 16, 2009 1:49 PM EST reply actions
This is a game that will define chad henne
Chris Johnson is the best RB in the game right now, IMHO. And the fastest player in the game, also.
This defense cannot handle a running QB, at all. And add Chris Johnson to that and you have a recipe for disaster for a team who cannot handle a running QB.
Henne and this offense has to put 6 on the board every time they get in scoring positon (eg. inside the 30 and redzone). They have to ease the burden off the defense and make VY throw the ball and not run or handing it to the human cruise missile known as Chris Johnson. If the offense can do that then Wake will eat VY and CJ Missile for breakfast, lunch, and dinner.
Tennessee for all intents and purposes do not have a good defense. They’re slightly better than Jax but not much realistically and that’s why they’re not a contender. With that said, the performance Henne had against Jax should be repeated with Tennesse easily. But he has to put scores on the board cause the defense is not going to save them especially if they enter the 4th quarter up by a touchdown or less. Chris Johnson and VY will have a track meet with them scoring touch downs.
The phins running game should be easily implemented in this game, also. Tennessee doesn’t have that great of a run defense looking at film. Mainly because they have a crappy pass defense so Henne’s howitzer should blow holes for Ricky and Lex to run through.
Ultimately, Henne will be the make or break of winning this game. If he answers the call and wins the game the Patriots dominance of the AFC east is no more.
Oh, OLB have to be discplined demonicly
Titans love throwing screens to CJ who loves to then go against the grain and torching the defense.
So hopefully PP INGRAINS that into the head of J Peezy. Their screens though are so scripted. So it shouldn’t be impossible to stop. Looking at the Jets VS Titans games as the game progressed Rex Ryan adjusted to those screens so effectively that they got a clean path to CJ nullifying his speed and agility to cut against the grain.
Just to add to their screens being so scripted it actually looks on purpose. In that they get the defense to commit and be aggressive (losing discipline) that it allows CJ that cut back and take it to the house. So again hopefully PP with the defense in viewing film on these screens ingrains them to not overpersue, stay discipline, and let the play come to you (as the Jets did) cause it seems that’s what Titans in totally scripting these screens want the defense to do so CJ can cut back an out run the aggressive defense.
I don't care about the pass defense...
just focus on Johnson. He’s probably the most dangerous back in the league, and I’m sure he’s going to break a long one against us….
"Welcome to The Doghouse"
Your best? Losers always whine about their best. Winners go home and fuck the prom queen! -Sean Connery
"The more people I meet the more I like my dog."
"He is your friend, your partner, your defender, your dog. You are his life, his love, his leader. He will be yours, faithful and true, to the last beat of his heart."
Air Henne
As was mentioned Earlier, whenever Miami gets in the redzone they need Touchdowns not FG’S to win…Tennessee is a tough place to play, and The Titans seem like a whole different team with Young back at QB. RB Johnson will get his 100yrs but Miami recently has stopped opponents whenit has counted.
The good thing is that historically we have done well against the Titans!
Lets keep that trend going!
by Vanman_FishFan13 on Dec 17, 2009 3:45 PM EST up reply actions
DEFENSE !!!! ......DEFENSE !!!! ......DEFENSE !!!! ......DEFENSE !!!! ......DEFENSE !!!! ......
DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……DEFENSE !!!! ……
Oh and ….DEFENSE !!!! ……
Jimbo
but you forgot - DEFENSE
Just think how stupid the average Jest fan is, and then realize that half of them are even stupider! ( a parody of a George Carlin line)
Attorney General of the Matty I Fan Club
Driver of the draft Brandon Spikes bandwagon
Glad you through that last one on there
I didn’t quite get it before that one!
by Vanman_FishFan13 on Dec 17, 2009 3:46 PM EST up reply actions
D. Garrard might disagree
You have to play this game like somebody just hit your mother with a two-by-four.
-Dan Birdwell
we apparently can't stop white running QBs either
(see “Fitzpatrick”)
-LCFF
by LeftCoastFinFan on Dec 17, 2009 12:45 PM EST up reply actions
The Dolphins need to take care of the ball.
5 fumbles and a pick is not going to get it done.
It's what you learn after you know it all that counts. ~ John Wooden
I think we do a good job this week against CJ,
he is not that powerful and not too hard to take down around the line of scrimmage, relatively speaking, it’s when he gets past the line he does his damage, we are good at disrupting the lanes, thats what we did against MJD last week, and he’s a little better around the line, so I think we’ll hold him under 100 for a change, lol.
I don't really care that much about the yardage
It’s the long scores that I don’t want. Let him carry the ball 22 times for 130 yards and NO TDs and I am happy! Assuming that we keep Collins/VY in check throwing the ball (which I think we will do a great job with)
by Vanman_FishFan13 on Dec 17, 2009 3:48 PM EST up reply actions

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