FanPost

The Long Run: Control the Division


Well everyone seems to be creating their own personalized weekly post.  Since there are many recaps of games, I stopped doing those.  Instead, with 8 weeks of football having been played we can say we are at the halfway point.  So what better time to start looking at the long run.  The playoff picture.

 

AFC EAST STANDINGS

East W L T GB PF PA Home Road Div Conf Streak  
 New England Patriots 5 2 0 - 198 98 4-0-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 Won 2  
 New York Jets 4 4 0 1.5 177 134 2-2-0 2-2-0 1-3-0 4-3-0 Lost 1  
 Miami Dolphins 3 4 0 2 176 177 2-2-0 1-2-0 3-0-0 3-2-0 Won 1  
 Buffalo Bills 3 5 0 2.5 123 169 1-3-0 2-2-0 1-2-0 1-4-0 Lost 1 

 

Well with 9 games left to play, I'm happy to say the Dolphins control their own playoff destiny.  Hopefully it will remain that way throughout the rest of the season.  I wont even bother to mention the Jets remaining in the playoff picture for long.  As i said when they started 0-3, one bad game and Sanchez and the Jets will collapse. 

At 2 games behind NE, this week is HUGE.   Especially when you look at the schedule for the weeks to come.

MIA NEXT 5

Sun 11/8 at New England 1:00 pm
Sun 11/15  Tampa Bay 1:00 pm
Thu 11/19 at Carolina 8:20 pm
Sun 11/29 at Buffalo 1:00 pm
Sun 12/6 New England 8:20 pm

NE NEXT 5

Sun 11/8 Miami 1:00 pm
Sun 11/15 at Indianapolis 8:20 pm
Sun 11/22 NY Jets 4:15 pm
Mon 11/30 at New Orleans 8:30 pm
Sun 12/6 at Miami 8:20 pm

 

I'm getting sick of people just assuming this is going to be a loss.  Guess what?  You expected the Saints game to be a blowout, and the Dolphins were ahead by 3 TD's at one point.  I'm not going as far to say this is a must win but it is vital to the Dolphins playoff chances.  As you can see, with a win on Sunday the Dolphins have a strong chance to move into 1st place in the division the following week. 

A loss would give the team 5 losses.  The team would have to go undefeated the rest of the year to go 11-5 but as you remember the Patriots had 5 losses the entire season last year and still didn't make the playoffs. 

With a loss at the Pats, we are 3 games back.  But with a win, only 1 game back.  Then with a win against the poor Bucs, the Pats will be forced to go INTO INDY on primetime and come out with a win.  If they cant, both teams will be 5-4 but the DOLPHINS will have the division lead based on the head-to head tiebreaker! 

TIE-BREAKING RULES WITHIN DIVISION

  1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
  2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
  3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
  4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.

 

WILD-CARD

As I'm sure you know the 4 division leaders made the playoffs with 2 wild-card teams with the best records.  If the season ended today the Steelers and Texans would have the spots.  At this point in the season the teams that are in the Wild-card race are as follows:

Steelers 5-2  (3-1 CONF)

Texans 5-3  (4-2 CONF)

Ravens 4-3  (4-2 CONF)

Chargers 4-3 (4-3 CONF)

Jets 4-4  (4-3 CONF)

Dolphins 3-4  (3-2 CONF)

Jags 3-4 (2-2 CONF)

WILD-CARD TIE BREAKING RULES

  1. Head-to-head, if applicable.
  2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
  3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.

While we are 2 games back in both the division and the wild-card, we should have our sights set for the division.  The Chargers hold the tie-breaker over us and I'm sure they are going to be fighting at the end. Lets face it 5 teams have better records than us that are fighting for the wildcard.  I'd think it would be much more logical to beat out 1 team than 5.  That's why Sundays game against the Patriots is so important.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of The Phinsider's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of The Phinsider writers or editors.

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