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Dolphins vs Bills: Prediction Time

It's time for our Saturday ritual - predictions.  Below are some "expert" picks for Sunday's game between the Dolphins and Bills, followed by my quick thoughts and my "weekly locks" - which have been anything but thus far.

Chris Mortensen - Mia Adam Schefter - Mia Tom Jackson - Buf
Ron Jaworski - Mia Pete Prisco - Mia Harmon Forecast - Buf
PFT - Mia Peter King - Buf Jason Cole - Buf
Charles Robinson - Mia Clark Judge - Buf Michael Silver - Buf

The "experts" seem split relatively evenly around the internet.  But, of course, they are all wrong.

I know I'm only 1-2 picking these Dolphin games this year, but I have a strong feeling about this one on Sunday.  Many of you know I'm far from a "Chad Henne blind follower."  I have been and will be very critical of him.  But I just have a feeling that the Dolphins are going to open up the offense on Sunday against a depleted Buffalo secondary and let Henne air it out far more than some might think.  The Dolphins will obviously have to protect Henne - but I think the offensive line is coming along well enough to do so.

Defensively, the Dolphins have to be more aggressive and generate a more consistent pass rush.  If the Dolphins let Trent Edwards stand back in the pocket all day, he will beat you.  He has weapons on the outside and we know the Dolphins have a tendency of giving up big plays.  As pass rush will take some pressure off of the secondary.  Oh - and my bold prediction - Sean Smith gets his first career interception on Sunday.

Dolphins win 20-16.

Meanwhile, Brian Galliford from Buffalo Rumblings also checks in with his prediction below.

Star-divide

I don't like the way Buffalo matches up with Miami, particularly given their grievous injury concerns.  Even with Joey Porter possibly sidelined - and my gut tells me that that [insert expletive] will find a way to play - Miami's big, physical, athletic front seven will cause big problems for a Bills offensive line that's banged up at tackle and extremely inexperienced.

But I'm not particularly concerned about Buffalo's defensive injuries in the secondary, because we've got good depth there.  Our defensive line is playing well, and I expect the focus to be containing the run in order to make Chad Henne beat us over the top.  He might do it, but it's a longer shot for the Dolphins than letting Ronnie Brown run wild.

I expect this to be a low-scoring affair.  Really, this is a pick'em game in my mind.  Whenever I get to that point, I take either the home team or the more desperate team.  Miami is both of those this week.  Dolphins 23, Bills 17

My Week 4 Locks
Giants -8.5 over Chiefs - I expect a big day on the ground from Brandon Jacobs and I expect the Giants to dominate defensively.
Bengals -5.5 over Browns - Mark this down: the Browns will be the last team to win a game this year...if at all.
Cowboys -2.5 over Broncos - The Broncos are the biggest "3-0 pretender" I've seen in recent memory.

Last Week: 1-2
Season: 2-4

0 recs  |  Comment 69 comments

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Henne's first start....and win

dolphins break the goose egg, ronnie runs wild, edwards looks lost, TO explosion…..in the locker room after just 1 catch.

by Natalya on Oct 3, 2009 1:02 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

haha, i TO explosion would be great

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official Back-Up Phinsider LOL'er.
The one and only "ho-nerd"

by samdaman on Oct 3, 2009 7:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yep

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official Back-Up Phinsider LOL'er.
The one and only "ho-nerd"

by samdaman on Oct 4, 2009 7:53 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that would be nice

"Permanence, perseverance and persistence in spite of all obstacles, discouragements, and impossibilities: It is this, that in all things distinguishes the strong soul from the weak." Thomas Carlyle

by Neo on Oct 3, 2009 8:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree Henne wins this matchup....

I also agree with the Bengals, Boys, Giants picks.

Houston over Oakland
Indy over St. Louis.

Leader of the - God Damn it Henne is the Starter Movement
"We've moved. We're Here....Get Over it"

If Pat White played Tyler Thigpen for the starting QB position for the Miami Dolphins, who would win?

Answer - A 2010 Draft Pick

by Fr8Train on Oct 3, 2009 1:07 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

lol that I wouldn't doubt

Don't question my fandominium.
"the notorious D.I.B."- samdaman

by dolphinsinbuffalo on Oct 3, 2009 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOL

i’d pick em in a heartbeat

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official Back-Up Phinsider LOL'er.
The one and only "ho-nerd"

by samdaman on Oct 3, 2009 2:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

post some picks that have some actual merit if you're right

Ill take the road team Baltimore to go into New England and leave 4-0.
Green Bay will have to wait until Minnesota comes to their house Minnesota takes this one
Pittsburgh takes a tough game from San diego.

P.S. Indy plays seattle, not st louis this week

by IEphinfan23 on Oct 3, 2009 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You knew what i meant

lol, Seattle, St. Louis…..

Leader of the - God Damn it Henne is the Starter Movement
"We've moved. We're Here....Get Over it"

If Pat White played Tyler Thigpen for the starting QB position for the Miami Dolphins, who would win?

Answer - A 2010 Draft Pick

by Fr8Train on Oct 3, 2009 1:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Flames

Expect a riot in either Minnesota or G.B. this weekend.

by Farorefox on Oct 3, 2009 7:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is an important one to win.

Division game if we want any chance of salvaging the season.

Ted Ginn must go.

by afmo on Oct 3, 2009 1:53 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

hope so

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official Back-Up Phinsider LOL'er.
The one and only "ho-nerd"

by samdaman on Oct 3, 2009 7:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think Henne will have a great first start.....i hope

Our defense needs to step up thought….we need to start forcing turnovers…

Your best? Losers always whine about their best. Winners go home and fuck the prom queen! -Sean Connery

"Why not us?"- Tony Sparano

by Kdog92 on Oct 3, 2009 4:13 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

jason cole is an idot

heard him on 790 a few days after the colts game sayin how the wildcat is a gimmick play and how it isnt effective. ppl pickin the bills have to really believe we are one of the worst teams in the league. with all the injurys they have…..

by drey34 on Oct 3, 2009 8:46 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Phins 23 Bills 13

Henne 1-1 95 yards TD

Ginn 1 catch 95 yards…….TD

Ronnie Brown 50 rushes NFL Record 310 yards 2 TD

Safety by JT…..Salsa’s with Jason Ferguson sideline to sideline….drawing a 15 yard penalty.

Phinsider Hall of Fame Class of 09' / 2-Time 09' Matty Award Winner

by Rzayo24 on Oct 3, 2009 10:42 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Future man come visit you this week?

****Keeper of the Phinsider Goo Cannon****
Phinsider's 2008 Jake Long Rookie Blogger of the Year and Zach Thomas Leadership Award Winner
Initiator of the Lex Hilliard Bandwagon! Driving the DRAFT TEBOW bandwagon.
Phinsider's first ever mobile commenter!
Stu,p the Rizz Record: 12&4 (Wk 1: 12&4); Feud Points: 54

by Mosul_DolFan on Oct 3, 2009 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yea..but this is my pick

he says 19-18 horrible boring game we somehow win….

hes such an asshole

Phinsider Hall of Fame Class of 09' / 2-Time 09' Matty Award Winner

by Rzayo24 on Oct 3, 2009 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

lol

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official Back-Up Phinsider LOL'er.
The one and only "ho-nerd"

by samdaman on Oct 3, 2009 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

lol

****Keeper of the Phinsider Goo Cannon****
Phinsider's 2008 Jake Long Rookie Blogger of the Year and Zach Thomas Leadership Award Winner
Initiator of the Lex Hilliard Bandwagon! Driving the DRAFT TEBOW bandwagon.
Phinsider's first ever mobile commenter!
Stu,p the Rizz Record: 12&4 (Wk 1: 12&4); Feud Points: 54

by Mosul_DolFan on Oct 3, 2009 9:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fins 31 Bills 16

Bess will have a career day and RB scores 2 TD.

by FinFinatic on Oct 3, 2009 11:16 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I am a Henne blind follower

With that said, I think this is the perfect game for him to start his career with. A depleted Bills secondary and a home game will do wonders for his confidense.

by NC Mike on Oct 3, 2009 12:01 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

blind follower or hater?

its not blind flollowing if u want a guy to do well. id rather hope he does good than point out everytime he makes a mistake or bad throw. its like matty and others are just at the edge of there seat wishing and hoping he will fail. Matt Ryan wasnt the greatest QB in college but is turning out pretty good. give him a chance before you decide to kick him to the curb.

by CaliPhinsFan on Oct 3, 2009 12:22 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

blind follower...

…as in those people (and there are some) that think Henne is going to be great simply because he’s a Dolphin and was picked by the trifecta.

That’s what a “blind follower” is.

by Matty I on Oct 3, 2009 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not a hater

Im not sold yet just because he was drafted by Parcells and Ireland, AND I am not ready to throw in the towel like some of the posts Ive read this week, based on a half of football in which he made really one big mistake that alot of young QBS make. He is in a situation where he can succeed, unlike say, Brady Quinn, who got benched after going 0-3.(Maybe the Cam draft yielded one positive result. ) the proof is only going to come with time. Tomorrow is the next step in his growth as a pro QB. I can see it now. If the Phins lose it will all be his fault to alot of fans, but if they win he will be the hero and sav ior of the franchise.

by IEphinfan23 on Oct 3, 2009 1:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The bills will start Kirk Chambers and some other journeyman at LT

which means they are down to their 3rd string LT.

Current Phinsider Feud Points: 23

by Patssuck456 on Oct 3, 2009 12:30 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

yay

OFFENSE- Protect the Quaterback at all costs
DEFFENSE- Get to the Quaterback at all costs
"if something goes bad, I did it. If something goes semi-good, we did it. If something goes good, you did it. Thats all you need to do for guys to win football games for you."- Unknown

by kewlguy on Oct 3, 2009 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

awesome

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official Back-Up Phinsider LOL'er.
The one and only "ho-nerd"

by samdaman on Oct 3, 2009 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Second string. Jonathan Scott has been our swing tackle since roster cutdowns. I am worried about him… Chambers was good for us last year when he had to step in.

Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.

by MattRichWarren on Oct 4, 2009 9:16 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If Offensive Line

does it’s job, in both run blocking and pass protection, Dolphins win esy.

by perspective on Oct 3, 2009 12:55 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Im not worried about the offense, its the defense

The lack of a pass rush without JPorter in the game, and a weak middle defense. Not to mention the toughest test this year for a young secondary, Two #1 WR’s in Evans and Team Obliterator.

The offense needs to keep the ball for 45 min again in order to win this game

by IEphinfan23 on Oct 3, 2009 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

hopefully JT can start

to look like his old playmaking self, he needs to. wake should get more reps this week too, lets see how he does

OFFENSE- Protect the Quaterback at all costs
DEFFENSE- Get to the Quaterback at all costs
"if something goes bad, I did it. If something goes semi-good, we did it. If something goes good, you did it. Thats all you need to do for guys to win football games for you."- Unknown

by kewlguy on Oct 3, 2009 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Idk... the Dolphins will find a way to loose...

…. how’s that for not being blind… heh heh heh

Adjutant General, Matty Fan Club
64 "Phinsider Fued" Points..!!
"Everybody wants a hero, but they're not willing to wait for one"

by Alpha6 on Oct 3, 2009 1:58 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

lol, i hope ur wronf

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official Back-Up Phinsider LOL'er.
The one and only "ho-nerd"

by samdaman on Oct 3, 2009 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

what about my wronf?

he didn’t do anything to you…just leave him alone…

****Keeper of the Phinsider Goo Cannon****
Phinsider's 2008 Jake Long Rookie Blogger of the Year and Zach Thomas Leadership Award Winner
Initiator of the Lex Hilliard Bandwagon! Driving the DRAFT TEBOW bandwagon.
Phinsider's first ever mobile commenter!
Stu,p the Rizz Record: 12&4 (Wk 1: 12&4); Feud Points: 54

by Mosul_DolFan on Oct 3, 2009 9:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

lol your probably right

maybe well run the ball on 3rd and goal at the 9 with 1:13 on the clock and down by 5.

by CaliPhinsFan on Oct 3, 2009 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

and get a TD

OFFENSE- Protect the Quaterback at all costs
DEFFENSE- Get to the Quaterback at all costs
"if something goes bad, I did it. If something goes semi-good, we did it. If something goes good, you did it. Thats all you need to do for guys to win football games for you."- Unknown

by kewlguy on Oct 3, 2009 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Jills could've solved the LT problem by moving up to grab Oher. Their loss is our gain.

I’ve been waiting since January to see Cameron Wake mutilate opposing QBs. It’s time for my patience to be rewarded!

President of the Sean Smith #24 fan club!

Brandon Spikes or Rolando McClain in 2010? Terrence Cody?

by kmb8488 on Oct 3, 2009 2:24 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Our LT “problem” was solved – Bell got injured. I don’t see how that could have been predicted.

"We want to win immediately. To say you're building is an incomplete sentence. ... You're building for a future coach and general manager."
-Marv Levy

by TEMSON on Oct 3, 2009 3:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

is he injury prone?

or was it a freak accident? They should have predicted it if he has a past

OFFENSE- Protect the Quaterback at all costs
DEFFENSE- Get to the Quaterback at all costs
"if something goes bad, I did it. If something goes semi-good, we did it. If something goes good, you did it. Thats all you need to do for guys to win football games for you."- Unknown

by kewlguy on Oct 3, 2009 4:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No past, freak accident, he isn’t out for the season though.

"We want to win immediately. To say you're building is an incomplete sentence. ... You're building for a future coach and general manager."
-Marv Levy

by TEMSON on Oct 3, 2009 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Predicted he would injure his groin and draft a guy in the first round to correct it???

Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.

by MattRichWarren on Oct 4, 2009 9:18 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And I agree with the Sean Smith prediction. My biggest hope is he'll get a pick off of Brady this season.

President of the Sean Smith #24 fan club!

Brandon Spikes or Rolando McClain in 2010? Terrence Cody?

by kmb8488 on Oct 3, 2009 2:25 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

23-20

Close game, but Miami finally breaks the egg…

****Keeper of the Phinsider Goo Cannon****
Phinsider's 2008 Jake Long Rookie Blogger of the Year and Zach Thomas Leadership Award Winner
Initiator of the Lex Hilliard Bandwagon! Driving the DRAFT TEBOW bandwagon.
Phinsider's first ever mobile commenter!
Stu,p the Rizz Record: 12&4 (Wk 1: 12&4); Feud Points: 54

by Mosul_DolFan on Oct 3, 2009 2:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

For God's sake

Let Henne throw the ball… far

If we can run this well when the defense has a total lack of respect for our big pass capability with Pennington, we could really start to do some serious damage on the ground and just unleash Ronnie

by SDefee on Oct 3, 2009 2:42 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

You'll probably only see 1 or 2 more deep throws.

I think it’ll take more than a week to work in the different protection schemes, route running and everything else that goes into a deep ball…..its not just a simple “run deep, throw deep” implementation.

Leader of the - God Damn it Henne is the Starter Movement
"We've moved. We're Here....Get Over it"

If Pat White played Tyler Thigpen for the starting QB position for the Miami Dolphins, who would win?

Answer - A 2010 Draft Pick

by Fr8Train on Oct 3, 2009 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i agree

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official Back-Up Phinsider LOL'er.
The one and only "ho-nerd"

by samdaman on Oct 3, 2009 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

but the WRs, O-line and coaches should be ready before last week. So route running and protection shouldn’t be a problem. the coaches should have the plays already drawn up

All that should be needed is For Henne ti get the timing down with his receivers.

OFFENSE- Protect the Quaterback at all costs
DEFFENSE- Get to the Quaterback at all costs
"if something goes bad, I did it. If something goes semi-good, we did it. If something goes good, you did it. Thats all you need to do for guys to win football games for you."- Unknown

by kewlguy on Oct 3, 2009 5:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good

Thats one or 2 more than we’ve been getting

by Farorefox on Oct 3, 2009 7:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

23-13 Dolphins

with Wake getting a safety, Let’s hope we dont make Buffalo’s DBs into pro-bowlers. Let’s not stop running the ball, after it’s doing so well to start the game. We had imagination last year on offense, let’s pick up the pace. how about an end around to Ginn, maybe he wont drop that ball.

Miami Dolphins 2008 AFC East Divison Champions
"I likem me some UDFAs"

by Phintastic on Oct 3, 2009 2:58 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

is the trifecta THAT smart?

sean smith is better than vonte, pat white is irrevelent, hartline is better than turner and jake long over matt ryan. its still early in their careers but im jus sayin’…….

by CaliPhinsFan on Oct 3, 2009 4:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I see it going one of two ways...

Hopefully dolphins finally put every aspect of the game together and win big… Or it’s a low scoring bad game we lose! :,-(

GEtSICK 4 JC

by GEtSICK13 on Oct 3, 2009 5:13 PM EDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

Miami's Secondary

I know Miami’s coaching staff has to be contemplating bringing the rookie safety Chris Clemons. He did a nice job this off season.

by Quinyne on Oct 3, 2009 5:44 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

May the Gods smile

Eat that DONUT!!! 1-3!!!

by Farorefox on Oct 3, 2009 7:37 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

LOL

OFFENSE- Protect the Quaterback at all costs
DEFFENSE- Get to the Quaterback at all costs
"if something goes bad, I did it. If something goes semi-good, we did it. If something goes good, you did it. Thats all you need to do for guys to win football games for you."- Unknown

by kewlguy on Oct 3, 2009 8:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm 1 -1 now in this column

Gotta get back on the up side, so…

Here’s my lock of the week! I’m takin the Dolphins in a pick ‘em. Buffolo should be out manned on both sides of the ball. The only thing I worry about is big play deep throws, but they ain’t Indy, so I think we come away with the win at home.

You have to play this game like somebody just hit your mother with a two-by-four.
-Dan Birdwell

by snook36 on Oct 3, 2009 7:59 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I love it when a plan comes together

This played out just the way I thought it would

You have to play this game like somebody just hit your mother with a two-by-four.
-Dan Birdwell

by snook36 on Oct 5, 2009 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bills 35 Miama 13

Trent Edwards figures out a way to get the ball to his receivers.

"Next time I get the opportunity I am going to hold on and make a better decision." ~ Leodis McKelvin. (Can't ask for anythitng more than that)

by NolaBillsFan on Oct 4, 2009 1:04 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Or not!

"I hope you know a lot more than you believe in"-Gram Parsons

by texascowpunk on Oct 4, 2009 1:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

uhhh, no

but im making a promise. if the phins win, i will streak down 96th street in the city (were i live)

Self-proclaimed president of the Pat White and Brian Hartline fan club.
No hating on Jay Fiedler, please.
Official Back-Up Phinsider LOL'er.
The one and only "ho-nerd"

by samdaman on Oct 4, 2009 7:55 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

(makes note to never move to 96th street in any city)

Leader of the - God Damn it Henne is the Starter Movement
"We've moved. We're Here....Get Over it"

If Pat White played Tyler Thigpen for the starting QB position for the Miami Dolphins, who would win?

Answer - A 2010 Draft Pick

by Fr8Train on Oct 4, 2009 11:19 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ok, noted on my big list of things to no do (or not do again).

"I hope you know a lot more than you believe in"-Gram Parsons

by texascowpunk on Oct 4, 2009 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Personally I think the Bills will focus in on the run game and limit what Ronnie and Ricky can do offensively. They have their DL guys and their linebackers except Poz. That should be OK. Our secondary is very deep at CB especially. Both safeties being out makes me nervous but with the Tampa 2 the safeties are safety valves anyways. Don’t get beat deep and we are OK. The Dolphins won’t score 30 points.

The Bills on the other hand are Jekyll and Hyde on offense. We’ll have to see which one shows up today. I think Trent gets the receivers involved today, Lynch gashes the middle of the 3-4 for good yards, and the Bills win it in a low scoring game like 20-10 or 23-17.

Playing Realistic Optimist at Buffalo Rumblings since 2008. Ignoring the grumblings on Rumblings.

by MattRichWarren on Oct 4, 2009 9:21 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I love this blog

Its like christmas time when all the family gathers and argues all day but then start to get along at the end of the day lol jk GO DOLPHINS !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Fin fan till the end no doubt.........................

by DolfanfromNC on Oct 4, 2009 11:20 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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