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What is Channing Crowder worth?

I think it's clear that our earlier discussion of Channing Crowder sparked some debate.  But I don't think I was able to say everything I wanted to about the topic - which brings me to this post.

While some may think I'm a "Channing Crowder hater," that's actually not true.  I hope the Dolphins do bring him back - but at the right price.  And from everything we are hearing, it seems like what I said before is accurate - that Channing thinks he's worth more than he really is.  More importantly, I think the Dolphins' front office feels the same way - that Crowder isn't as valuable to the Dolphins as he likes to think.

That's not saying he's a bad player.  He's a solid, above-average starting inside linebacker (who might be better suited to play outside linebacker in a 4-3, but that's a different debate).  So that raises the question: what is Crowder worth in terms of money?

That's what I wanted to try and answer - though it's pretty much impossible to really answer.  But, for the sake of argument, I've taken Crowder and 4 other linebackers - all of which play in various systems - and compared their stats.  Crowder and Bradie James play in similar 3-4 defenses.  Brian Urlacher plays in primarily a Tampa 2 system while Antonio Pierce and London Fletcher play in aggressive 4-3 defenses.  Their stats are below:

Tcks Scks TFL FF FR Int
Channing Crowder 113 0 3.5 1 1 0
Bradie James 116 8 4.5 3 2 0
Brian Urlacher 93 0 7 0 1 2
London Fletcher 133 0.5 4.5 1 1 0
Antonio Pierce 95 1 4 2 0 0

And when you look at those numbers, keep in mind that Urlacher had his worst year as a pro - and still had more tackles for a loss and interceptions than Crowder.

But the point of this wasn't to "hate" on Channing.  It's to help determine his worth in terms of dollars and cents.  And while some will argue stats only tell half the story, production is the first key to being a good linebacker.  Sure, "heart" and "fire" and all those intangible cliches sound nice.  But what I want most from my starting inside linebackers is production.

Getting back to contracts, Urlacher leads the way - as he should - with a 5 year, $40 million contract.  Sorry, Channing.  You aren't worth $8 million per year.

London Fletcher, whose numbers are eerily similar to Crowder's - lots of tackles, not too much else - signed a 5 year, $25 million deal back in '07.  Antonio Pierce is in the midst of a 6 year, $26 million deal.

But I wanted to talk about Bradie James for a second.  Why?  Because he plays a nearly identical role to that of Channing Crowder and he has a history with Bill Parcells and Jeff Ireland in terms of his contract negotiations.  James is currently in the midst of a 5 year, $20 million deal that he signed in '06.  And to me, that's right around where Crowder should be looking to sign.

Star-divide

Let's take a look at each player's last 3 NFL seasons:

Tkls Scks TFL FF FR Int PD
Crowder 294 1.5 9 2 1 0 10
James 318 11 8.5 5 7 1 13

Bet you didn't see that coming.  I know I didn't.  But Bradie James has been a more productive linebacker over the past 3 seasons than Channing Crowder has - in similar systems, might I add.  So here's my theory.  I think that the Dolphins and their "lowball" offer is probably something similar to what James got from the Cowboys (5 yr, $20 mil) - with a little bump up.  And Crowder probably saw that offer and laughed - because he perceives himself to be a better player than he is.

One final factor to highlight before we guess what Channing might be worth is this season's free agency class.  At inside linebacker, there are 5 free agents that stand out above the others.  Those are Ray Lewis, Bart Scott, Karlos Dansby, Jonathan Vilma, and Channing Crowder.  Let's leave Ray Lewis out of this because all indications are he'll find some way to return to Baltimore.  Here are the other four's 2008 stats:

Tkls Scks TFL FF FR Int
Crowder 113 0 3.5 1 1 0
Scott 82 1.5 7 2 0 0
Dansby 119 4 8.5 2 3 2
Vilma 132 1 4.5 2 3 1

So would it be fair to say that Crowder, at best, is the 4th best inside linebacker available on the open market?  That's something you need to keep in mind when you try to come up with Channing's value.

With all that said, here's my take on this.  I think a fair deal for Crowder, all things considered, would be a 5 year, $23 million deal - more than Bradie James and Antonio Pierce are making but less than London Fletcher and Brian Urlacher.  And if push comes to shove and the Dolphins really do want him back, you could make a case for a 5 year, $25 deal - the same deal as Fletcher.  But any more than $5 million per year for Crowder is outrageous.

And I'll assume he's going to want even more than that.  If that's so, I think the Fins should say "goodbye" to Channing and open up their wallets more for Karlos Dansby.  He's better than Crowder and it would make sense investing more money on an ILB if the player was Dansby rather than investing it in Crowder.

And, apparently, coming to play for the Dolphins is something Karlos has thought of - even as he prepares for the Super Bowl.  On Tuesday, Dansby said:

"The free agent market is here, but this moment right here is about a lot of dreams in my career. [The Dolphins] definitely need a linebacker. My respect for Parcells is huge, man. Parcells came to me, I think it was my second year in the league, we're playing in Dallas and he told me I'm a heck of a player. That meant a lot for me coming from a legend like that. Definitely, I like South Beach.''

Karlos Dansby - come on down!

Your thoughts on any of the above ramblings below...

0 recs  |  Comment 35 comments |

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Dansby

get yer ass in Miami sir!!

I’d love to keep Crowder, but I’d also love to have Dansby. Can we have both??

"Are we doing this? Is this happening?"

by Little Nicky 21 on Jan 28, 2009 12:52 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Yes we can!!!

I’m not an Obama fan, btw. : )

"If anything goes bad, I did it. If anything goes semi-good, we did it. If anything goes really good you did it. That's all it takes to get people to win football games for you."

Coach Paul Bear Bryant

by AussieKen on Jan 28, 2009 1:01 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

huh?

Finsxfactor lost his teeny weenie!
Anyone with a magnifying glass is requested to assist in the search.

-LCFF

by LeftCoastFinFan on Jan 28, 2009 1:26 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

OMG PRICELESS!!! LOL!

ROTFLMAO! That’s hilarious! Hey, could we get some “CHANGE”, with some “HOPE” on the side? LOL!

by mred on Jan 28, 2009 5:55 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

?

.

"Are we doing this? Is this happening?"

by Little Nicky 21 on Jan 28, 2009 1:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

works for me!

get him in here!

Finsxfactor lost his teeny weenie!
Anyone with a magnifying glass is requested to assist in the search.

-LCFF

by LeftCoastFinFan on Jan 28, 2009 1:34 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

one thing in crowders favor is his age

the people who you contractually compared channing to are much older on average:

bradie james is 28
urlacher is 30
fletcher is 33
and pierce is 30

Meanwhile channing is only 25 and we would be signing him right before he goes into the prime of his career. the other players you mentioned were likely at or already past their peaks. also consider those contracts were signed years ago and it seems like each year free agency becomes more and more expensive.

and while id say hes the worst of the four free agents you mentioned id say theyre all somewhat close (however he is again the youngest of this group, but only by about 2 or 3 years). I agree we shouldnt go splurge on channing if we can get dansby for not a ridiculous amount more but i also wouldnt mind us spending a little more on channing than you suggested. maybe low end 5 year 25 mil and high 28 or 30?

by dolfanstanley on Jan 28, 2009 1:37 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I agree that at the right price, we should do everything to keep him with us.

He is a guy you don´t want to play against in a Patriots uniform, we´ve all seen how that´s worked out for us.

thephinsider, the greatest blog on turf

by MauMontaV5 on Jan 28, 2009 1:41 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If not Crowder than who?

Ok its nice to say Bart Scott, Karlos Dansby, etc etc… but I gurantee other teams are taking a good look at these guys too. Ok, so you address the need in the draft, do you really want to rely on a rookie to be the starter?

The Rookie could be great, the Fins could get Dansby or Scott, (hope Dansby) but right now we all know that we are not taken a step back with Channing. I do not think he should get what he is asking for, but I hope he can stay.

Ideal situation would hope Crowder relizes he is not hot $h*t and signs for what he is worth, and the Fins get Dansby

The Patriots Suck

by k2oconnor on Jan 28, 2009 10:27 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

James Farrior Is A Better Comparison...

…from a defensive philosophy – and even physical skills standpoint.

Farrior, of course, is a full foot length better than Crowder (especially considering his stats are better than Crowder’s and he plays on a team of Pro Bowlers).

Farrior, by the way, is on a 5-year 16.5 million contract. The guy likes football and playing for a winner, so he might be an exception.

I say let Crowder walk if he wants more than 20 million. I’m confident this bunch can find a Mike in the draft. Let alone free agency and draft.

www.thephinisher.com

by The Phinisher on Jan 28, 2009 11:36 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I hear that...

…but Farrior and Crowder are almost physical clones.

Crowder, to me, is still fully midland. He hasn’t done anything (in my humble opinion) to be considered topflight.

I’m not saying you were implying that he was. I just wanted to demonstrate how average he is.

BTW: The sentiment of Dolphins fans, mainly their loyalty, is one of the things I pride us on. We’re all being extremely loyal to Channing despite the fact he’s an average middle linebacker and kind of coming off as an ass this off-season. If this were in Philadelphia he’d have been run out of the town by fans already.

I want him to stay, but like you said, not for too much.

www.thephinisher.com

by The Phinisher on Jan 28, 2009 12:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Channing Crowder's wit and humor

 are worth 5 million dollars alone.

Perhaps they could work that into his contract as a bonus.

Winner of All Movie Quote Challenges

by DolfinPhan on Jan 28, 2009 11:57 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

What is Crowder worth???

That really depends on the team, Dolphins or otherwise, and it depends on how his skills are utilized. Too many teams try and fit the square peg in the round hole.
3-4 backers are very unique and generally fit the coordinators scheme, bc no two 3-4s are really alike. The middle backer in the 4-3 has one simple assignment= Plug the holes and don’t let anything by you. In a 3-4 it’s different. The inside guys are “hybrids” and even the best outside guys get the label “joker” because the offense never knows what their doing.

We know what Crowder can and can’t do by now, but does he even fit in to Pasqualoni’s schemes? Porter is a passrusher and Akin is a true middle backer, Crowder and Torbor are very similar. Crowder is not great at the point of attack and has had trouble covering backs out of the backfield. So what is his real worth to our defense? Does Pasq need a better run stuffer, then a guy like Akin’s your man.

You can’t compare Crowder’s value to other player’s either. Though their position is the same on paper it is very different per that team’s schemes.
Urlacher: is not great at the point of attack and better served on the outside, b/c of hi sideline to sideline speed he can cover the whole middle. To make him more valuable in the middle, CHI invests heavily on protecting him with 2 gap DTs and having Briggs manhandle TEs.
Fletcher: much like Urlacher, fletcher is speedy, but is protected mostly b/c of his size. He can not see through 6-5" guards so the scheme is to keep him free
James: He is a prototype 3-4 middle backer. Great penetration when necessary, decent rush skills and great at the point of attack. He can man up on a guard.
Pierce: Perhaps the best match physically to Crowder. He gets a big contract b/c he is a team leader and also because he plays every down. He is a hydrid 3-4 and nickle LB who is versitle.

I like Crowder, but not as an elite LB, he still has a lot to prove. I didn’t see the improvement I had hoped for this year, and I’m not sure it had everything to do with his injury. We won’t miss him too much with Akin and Torbor in the middle, so that tells me his team worth might not be as high as we think. Since we don’t know who Pasqu wants to USE him, this arguement is speculative to a fault.

Lastly, the production of 3-4 middle backers is also very subjective. Stats don’t tell the whole story. Protected LBs like Fletcher should be making 150+ tackles each year. If they’re not …then either they suck or they are not getting the designed help.

I reserve comparing players until they’ve retired, until then , only the coaches can truly tell you what they’re WORTH. In most cases around the league front offices do the grocery shopping as screw up players VALUES or “worth in terms of money”. So do idiot fans who vote for ProBowlers just cause they recognize them from Madden Football. And yes, leadership and chemistry do add value…but these guys are professionals, I don’t need my IT guy chest bumping me, while I’m trying to resolve a client issue..

In my opinon, Crowder is worth $3 million a year or a late 4th round pick. $5 mill may seem appropriate for his “production” but a stretch for what I see his skill sets as. In other words, I think he is replaceable he if he expects Urlacher money.

"I never met a man I didn't want to fight"
Lyle Alzado

by NJDolphan68 on Jan 28, 2009 3:29 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Very Nice Post

  Many times positions are looked at purely by stats…the bottom line is..they NEVER tell the whole story.
    I am not a Crowder “hater”..I actually like the guy..If ugly was a contest he need be the only contestant…(voice in my head)..Stop it .. your being “mean” Sorry… Crowder is solid…That’s about it…..Last year has made us (me) so fidgety i have this fear of going backwards..It’s almost like that “freak” girlfriend you had years ago..you stopped taking her out in public after the first date but you kept going back every Weekend with a six-pack in ya to hit that “freaky” stuff..It was solid….until you found something better. To me Crowder is about at the top of his game..I see little upside to him other than being solid. I think Dansby has considerably more upside but on the other hand a late 4th round pick for "predator"is “No Deal” to me.Call Arnold.. Crowder is worth more than that. It is too bad the NFL can’t go back to the XFL’s money policy and pay a reasonable base and bonus on production. Hell…lets just add 4 points to the scoreboard for field goals over 50 yards and make it mandatory that all cheerleaders wear shear thongs.
Beafea

by beafea on Jan 28, 2009 6:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Freak nasty.. lol

crowder = nasty ho ???

So 3-4 years from down, we’ll have which scenario:
1) still your mistress- left her on the bed tied up, with a half eaten pizza and some adult toys scattered about
2) we hear she has been committed for eating her own shit, …thank god we got out in time
or
3) you see her out one night, and she ignores you with her Bently, new boobs, and billionare fiance

I don’t want to pay him, but I’ll settle for #1…

"I never met a man I didn't want to fight"
Lyle Alzado

by NJDolphan68 on Jan 29, 2009 8:40 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That Was Funny!

 Some of that (tied up stuff) seems so familiar—as if I had been there (sssshhhh). My wife took me in knowing full well that the smell would probably never go away on my left two fingers. 1 & 3 have played out..I may be past #2…although I tended to attractive some “prozac” bitches. I replaced many of flat tires in my day until I learned how to not say ..Get The Fuck Out Of my house..you no good for nothing,snot bubble blowing,crosseyed,fish lipped, steaming heap of puke…..then I would bang her friend just for good measure. That will keep an account open at firestone.
Keep the humor going….WE are division Leaders and WE SET THE PACE.

by beafea on Jan 30, 2009 1:15 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Let's not forget

the injury history of Crowder……..ILB must be very durable taking on big lineman all game…….Crowder may be 25 but I see him missing too much time over the life of his next contract to warrant big money………and Farrior, lets not forget Parcells drafted him with the Jets 1st rd pick, so there is some history there. I would love to get Dansby and Farrior and rotate the 3 ILB to keep them fresh. I could see Farrior taking a contract of 2-4 mil a yr to play in Florida his last 3 yrs in the league with a nice signing bonus of say 5-7 mil. payed out over the first two yrs of the contract and call it a roster bonus, just in case we hit the jackpot in the draft and get a stud in the 2 or 3rd round.

by jvw on Jan 28, 2009 7:03 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

OK, I do agree with the money angle

I had mistaken the previousCrowder post and comments as Crowder bashing. The guy isn’t the best, but he is good. Like I commented on the earlier Crowder post: we should keep him unless he wants to break the bank. Besides, we have too many needs to dump too much on one guy, I do hope that both sides can come to an agreement because there is no garantee that any other LB will play like they did for the old team when they get to Miami and we know that Crowder is solid.

by phatfinfan on Jan 28, 2009 8:15 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

He’s not worth more than a $20 million dollar deal.

"How can I blame you
When it's me I can't forgive?"

-From the Unforgiven III off of Death Magnetic

by Patssuck456 on Jan 28, 2009 9:42 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Plus

he got his ass whooped in a fight against New England and ran like a bitch LMAO.

by esco6781 on Jan 30, 2009 11:15 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

For real though

He’s not worth the 20-25 mil. I think he is more of a 4 mil a year guy. If he thinks hes such a productive LB than add some bonuses for performance. That seems fair. Let him work for his money. if he starts a certain amount of games, gets so many tackles and sacks and makes the pro bowl than he deserves every penny.

by esco6781 on Jan 30, 2009 11:17 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

agreed

relatively low starting salary, then incentives for performance. Makes everybody happy. We only pay for what we get, and he gets a chance to really get paid if he has a good year.

"Are we doing this? Is this happening?"

by Little Nicky 21 on Jan 30, 2009 1:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I Agree

This guaranteed money thing has always been so risky…..Earn your money….Wilford!

by beafea on Jan 30, 2009 1:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

very delicate situation

with patriots loving to sign dolphins then kicking our ass with them. Making our coaches look stupid. The Jets shopping for Lb’s although Ryan might get a couple to follow him to NY. Like i said very delicate.. A consistent tackler , no forced turnovers, irratic comments to media. IF he chooses the bucs or jags… GREAT ! just dont wanna see him in AFC EAST because he is smart and versitile switching defenses/positions.

I say 4 year 18 million… 4 million Signing Bonus.. HE WAS DRAFTED BY US AND IF WE CAN ACCEPT WHAT RICKY DID TO US >>>CROWDER’s THE POPE

by winninugly on Feb 1, 2009 12:14 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

no religion. unless you want me and cb to super hero team up

Enough is enough...we need Natalya back. I believe in John Beck and that Cbdolphin is the man.
Official Leader of the Draft Kenny Britt Bandwagon

Longest Sig In the History of Phinsider belongs to Me. 53 Lines in Total.

Check it out.

Front Paged - Class of 08. and 09.

by finsxfactor on Feb 1, 2009 12:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

what is channing crowder worth?

a smiley face button and a revolver

ones in case i get sad…ones in case I get really sad

lol i love scrubs

Enough is enough...we need Natalya back. I believe in John Beck and that Cbdolphin is the man.
Official Leader of the Draft Kenny Britt Bandwagon

Longest Sig In the History of Phinsider belongs to Me. 53 Lines in Total.

Check it out.

Front Paged - Class of 08. and 09.

by finsxfactor on Feb 1, 2009 12:38 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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