and not because I don’t think Ted is capable of it. I just feel like that’s alot to expect when you consider the variables involved. A) we will be a run heavy offense with a brand new QB, so opportunities, especially early in the season, will be rare for Ginn. He will probably get off to a slow start. B) Out of all our receivers, TG is the only one that will put the fear of the big play in defenses. He’s the only guy we got that can take one to the endzone from anywhere on the field, and I think he’ll command more attention than, say, Wilford or Hagan. Teams will leave a safety over the top to take away the deep threat.

My prediction: 50 catches, 750 yds, 5 tds.
I do think he will score at LEAST twice on kick/punt returns though…

...Wilford, Hagan and the TE will probably get most of the TD opportunities. Ginn is a speed receiver plain and simple, he’ll help us between the 20’s but unless he has some breakaway plays (which obviously he is capable of), I feel like a receiving TD every 3 games would be a success. Also I think that if he can average 2 or 3 big plays per game, about 50 yards, that would also be a success. I do agree with Nicky that if he is returning that he will get a couple of TD’s on Special Teams. So that gives him a line of 48 catches, 800 yds, 4 receiving TD’s and 6 total. That, in my humble opinion will be a very successful year for Ginn. Until he establishes good chemistry with one QB and learns to run better routes he will be a Joey Galloway type of receiver. I would be very ok with that.

BTW Galloways career yearly averages are: 51 catches, 813 yds and 6 TD’s and surprisingly no TD returns.

I also agree with hwyatt, except that I actually expect Ginn to score. He is a speed receiver, but he needs to be able to break a tackle or juke a guy once in a while. I expect that when he catches that long pass with one guy to beat, that he beats him.

That has been my biggest gripe about Ginn. He folds like bad origami at the the first hint of contact, and doesn’t seem to have the “short, shifty” speed you would like to see. His long speed is great, but I question his vision and balance at this point. What i want more than particular numbers is for Ginn to show improvement in this area.

Reasonable expectations, assuming a good running game, decent QB play, and some improvement in STs.

Don’t forget though, that Ginn will need AT LEAST one other primary receiving target to step up in the passing game, and who that will be is still an unknown at this point. It would be optimum to have someone like Wilford develop into the #1 target, and one of our TEs to become a solid receiving threat. That would help Ginn out a lot.

Keep in mind that these players were/are all run heavy Parcells-like offenses

Joey Galloway (Dallas in 2003, Parcells first year) missed 5 games
Totals 34-672 19.8 ypc 2 TDs Projected to a full season: 50-971 19.4 4 TDs

Terry Glenn (Dallas in 2003, Parcells first year) missed 3 games
Totals 52-754 14.5 5 TDs Projected to a full year: 56-812 14.5 6 TDs

Steve Smith 54-872 16.1 3 TD 2nd year Dan Henning Offense
Steve Smith 88-1110 12.6 7 TD 3rd year Dan Henning Offense

Santana Moss 74-1109 14.9 10 TD 3rd year similar player to Ginn
Mark Clayton 67-939 14.0 5 TD 2nd year similar player to Ginn
Lee Evans 48-743 15.5 7 TD 2nd year similar player to Ginn
Santonio Holmes 52-942 18.1 8 TD 2nd year similar player to Ginn

Averages of the above:
61-937 15.3 6 TD

pretty close to Matty’s statistical 61-943-5 and projected 64-944-6

My projection: 60-900-6
Still not worthy of a high first round pick, but good for the team

seems reasonable to me.

...this is only his second year…and comparing him to Steve Smith who is one of the greatest route runners of all time…is a little bit of a “fan stretch”. Unfortunate as it is, we are still coming off an abysmal year and entering a new season with very little time to develop continuity between players on or off the field. I will be surprised if he tallies more than 50 rec and 800 yds. and even that contribution would be enough to help us be 500 ball club.