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Offensive Tackle vs Defensive End

First off, I just want to apologize to all who tried logging onto this site over the past few hours.  There were some major technical issues all across SB Nation.  Hopefully, they are all behind us now.  A big shout out to Trei and his team for working behind the scenes here until all the issues were (hopefully) resolved.

Now before we get into the meat of this post, I just wanted to say that the transition to the new site has been generally pretty smooth.  And that's thanks in large part to the great job being done by Trei and his team.  Kudos to those guys!

Also, two things I wanted to highlight about the new site.  First of all, I want to point out the new "recommend" feature.  I think this feature is going to be very valuable, especially in regards to the FanPosts (formerly known as "diaries").  I want to really encourage you all to make use of the "recommend" feature for FanPosts because once a very informative/well-written FanPost gets a certain number of recs, it moves to the top where it says "Recommended FanPosts."  This allows the best and most well written/thought-provoking posts by you guys to remain at the top and not get lost in the shuffle.  So I encourage you all to simply click the "recommend" button when you are reading a FanPost that you like very much and that could spark some great discussion.

The other thing I wanted to point out is that we will be doing a live blog on Saturday (for most, if not all of the first 2 rounds) and for at least the early part of day 2 on Sunday.  It'll be a good test run for the auto-refreshing comments, which I really think you will all love.  So be sure to check in early and often on Saturday, as the excitement builds towards our two 2nd round picks as well as the potential trade of Jason Taylor.

OT vs DE

Now onto the main purpose of this post.  Some people have already touched on this, but I don't think they really highlighted it enough.  Therefore, I just wanted to quickly address this issue of taking an offensive tackle in the top 5 as opposed to taking a defensive end.  As has been pointed out, these were the two positions the Dolphins were looking to address with that #1 overall pick.

Going back to 1990, 8 offensive tackles have been drafted in the top 5.  Of those 8, only 2 can be considered busts.  Those two are Mike Williams, drafted by Buffalo in 2002, and Robert Gallery, drafted by Oakland in 2004.  And Gallery, despite being a bust at tackle, seems to have found his niche as a guard.  However, you don't take guards in the top 5, so he is still a bust.  The jury is still out on two other players, Levi Brown and D'Brickashaw Ferguson.  So the bust rate since 1990 for tackles is 25%.  But keep in mind that those 8 players have combined for 18 pro bowl appearances, which is quite impressive.

Moving along to defensive end, there have been 12 drafted in the top 5 since 1990.  Of those 12, six have been busts (Keith McCants, Steve Emtman, John Copeland, Cedric Jones, Andre Wadsworth, and Courtney Brown).  And I've left off Darrell Russell, who could be considered a bust despite his two pro bowl appearances.  The jury remains out on Gaines Adams, too, but I got a feeling he might end up being a bust as well.  But for arguments sake, we'll say that just 6 have been busts, putting the bust rate for top 5 defensive ends at 50% since 1990.  And combined, these 12 players have combined to reach just 8 pro bowls.

So for the sake of comparison, offensive tackle has a pro bowl rate of 2.25 (18 appearances among 8 players) while defensive end has a pro bowl rate of 0.66 (8 appearances among 12 players).  When you take into consideration Jake Long's specific talent, skill set, work ethic, and demeanor, then it's easy to understand exactly why Jake was the safest pick for the Dolphins.

Why I Like the Pick

I've said on here a lot since the news broke of the signing if Jake Long, but I haven't really explained why I'm a big fan of the pick.  And it's not just because he's the safest pick for the Dolphins, though I do feel that he is.  And I like the fact that if things don't work out for Jake on the left side, he could definitely slide over to the right side and be a perennial pro bowl player.  But with that said, I'm confident in this regime (especially Tony Sparano since his background is as an OL coach) that they will get Jake to play at a high level on the left side and that he will be that Richmond Webb type of player for this franchise.

Another thing about this pick is that Jake will come in here and instantly make an impact.  Even if he struggles early on in pass protection on the left side, he's going to be a simply dominant run blocker, meaning Ronnie, Ricky, and LoBo are going to have some big lanes to run through.  This will allow the Dolphins to keep the ball on the ground and chew up the clock, helping keep the defense fresh and taking pressure off of whoever the QB ends up being.  So while this pick was on the offensive side of the ball, it also helps out the Dolphins' defense.

But perhaps the biggest reason I like this pick is because of the tone it sets for this new era of Dolphins football.  Jake Long embodies everything that this new regime preaches: smart, tough, and disciplined football.  He's a dedicated, hard working player who will eventually be a leader in the locker room.  His work ethic is likely going to rub off on all of his teammates and his mean streak on the field will set the tone on gamedays.  This pick also shows that the Dolphins will be committed to hard-nose, physical football that begins and ends in the trenches.  In a day and age where deep passes and flashy players seem to dominate the highlight shows, this new regime in Miami is letting everyone know that they are going to play football the way it was meant to be played.

Now I just can't wait to see what this new regime has planned for the rest of the draft and the rest of the offseason.  Surely, things will only get better and more exciting from here.

Thoughts below...

0 recs | Comment 16 comments

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Who would Randy Mueller have chosen first in the draft?

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news%3B_ylt%3DAgkb.O4erEpZzejWvYNCMHhDubYF?slug=ms-trippintuesday042208&prov=yhoo&type=lgns

As much as some Dolphin fans want to villainize Mueller, he picked J. Long as the most desireable player for the pick:

‘Ask Mueller, who this year came to the conclusion that Michigan tackle Jake Long is the best player in the draft. "That’s who I would have taken at No. 1," he says.

Of course, Mueller won’t be in the war room when the Dolphins make the first overall selection on Saturday. ‘

by Yorke Hunt on Apr 24, 2008 1:32 AM EDT   0 recs

thank goodness

Of course, Mueller won’t be in the war room when the Dolphins make the first overall selection on Saturday. ‘

otherwise we might have heard – with the first pick the miami dolphins select s ellis’ family

by W NY Fins Fan on Apr 26, 2008 12:50 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Parcells has made solid moves

up and down the board since he arrived and this pick is no different. From cleaning house (and I mean CLEANING HOUSE) to FA. Thank God for this regime.

You savvy?

by Neo on Apr 24, 2008 1:34 AM EDT   0 recs

Why it just makes sense

Even though I’m not in love with the fact that his pass blocking is supposedly a “work in progress” and he’s playing Beck’s blind side….. It obviously fills the most glaring whole on our team with the best possbile prospect. Every other position on our team has a starter, except maybe LG, but even there I think Mormino will start the season. Any other player we would have draft would probobly not start right away…. unless we traded away JT… which I stil dont think is going to happen. I’m going to take Parcells on his word.

I doubt any other player we draft will be an opening day starter…. agreed?

by YatilGinnJr on Apr 24, 2008 1:37 AM EDT   0 recs

“I doubt any other player we draft will be an opening day starter…. agreed?”

I’ll disagree. I think if Taylor gets traded, we could see a rookie DE/OLB starting.

We could also see a rookie guard potentially starting, though I’m not a fan of having 2 rooks along the OL.

by Matty I on Apr 24, 2008 1:41 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I doubt any other player we draft will be an opening day starter…. agreed?

I agree that you doubt it, but why? Heck, those guys who didn’t know what they were doing last year drafted Satele, Mauia, Ginn (as a receiver), and Fields – all who started opening day. So why wouldn’t it be possible this time out.?

by Yorke Hunt on Apr 24, 2008 11:19 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I doubt any other player we draft will be an opening day starter…. agreed?

I dunno. I’m hoping we go TE early. TE couldn’t had been much worse last year. If we trade JT for a low 1st high 2nd that could turn into a starter. We have so many holes on our team I wouldn’t be suprised to see us draft 3, thats right 3 starters this draft.

You savvy?

by Neo on Apr 24, 2008 1:42 AM EDT   0 recs

good point

I get a feeling that we are indeed going to draft a tight end, likely somewhere in the first 3 rounds.

Any preference on which one? I haven’t much of most of the top guys, so I don’t have much of an opinion.

by Matty I on Apr 24, 2008 1:47 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I'm intrigued by Brad Cottam from Tennessee.

The guy is a monster, but a good athlete. He had a pretty good Senior Bowl, bad combine due to an illness, and then a pretty good Pro Day. Didn’t see him play much except on some highlights. He should be available in round 3, or slightly later. Does have some injury concerns though.

by dab415217 on Apr 24, 2008 8:15 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Martellus Bennett

I think if he is around at 57 we should strongly consider him. He is 6-6, 259lbs. ESPN’s Scouts Inc. has him rated as the 4th best TE and 62nd best player coming out. Everyone seems to talk about Dustin Keller (Purdue) and Fred Davis (USC) but I really think Bennett could come in and be a huge difference maker for our offense. Bennett played basketball for 2 seasons at Texas A&M. He can read defenses, has deceptive speed, and great hands.

If Bennett is gone I think Cottam or Jermichael Finley (Texas) in the 4th would be nice.

by JMFlyer1454 on Apr 24, 2008 10:02 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

LIke JM Flyer said below

I DO like Davis and Keller, and would love to have either. Below is a quick runddown on both.

Fred Davis, Southern California
Height: 6-3 Weight: 255
College stats: 26 starts, 117 receptions, 13 TDs
Vital numbers: 4.65 40-yard dash

Davis was the premiere tight end during the season, and looked like a complete player at the Senior Bowl. A former wide receiver who lived in the weight room until he was able to get 33 reps on the bench press test. His 40-yard times disappointed clubs, who expected a high 4.5 from him. Some teams believe he really is a 4.7-type athlete and that scares teams when it comes to presenting a vertical threat down the field, which has become a primary condition for a great draft grade. His game tapes indicate he can present a deep threat. Davis is a very solid route runner with fine body control near the sideline or reaching back for a bad pass over the middle. Davis should perform in pro football like L.J. Smith or Chris Cooley. Draft projection: Round 2.

2. Dustin Keller, Purdue
Height: 6-2 Weight: 242
College stats: 26 starts, 142 receptions, 16 TDs
Vital numbers: 4.55 40-yard dash

Keller has been rising up draft boards for the past month. He has production and really helped himself in his testing. A 41-inch vertical leap and 3.94-second short shuttle separated him from the other tight ends. When I spoke to him about his weight room numbers, he was even more impressive with a 635-pound squat and a 400-pound power clean. Keller has a burst and gets in and out of breaks well to separate from defenders. He will be thought of as a move tight end. Draft projection: Round 2.

-NFL.com

You savvy?

by Neo on Apr 24, 2008 11:54 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

#32

I think an interesting sidebar to the signing of Long is what we’ll do at #32. They could be looking TE, CB, or LB even. What could be interesting is that the pick could have some real value, with some of the teams like BAL, KC, ATL, CAR, who could be looking to trade back up to get one of the QBs like Henne, Flacco, or Brohm. We might be able to squeeze another 3rd rounder out of that pick by dropping back a handful of spots.

by nriehl on Apr 24, 2008 1:47 AM EDT   0 recs

agreed

trading that #32 pick is a real possibility. I would not mid sliding down 5 to 10 spots and picking up an additional 4th rounder.

Also, that first pick of round 3 is going to be in HIGH demand. I’d actually be shocked if at 10 am on Sunday, the Dolphins are making the pick to open up day 2. With a night for teams to reassess their draft strategy and to get in touch with the Fins to work out a deal, I’d bet on some kind of trade being made so the Fins can pick up yet another draft pick.

by Matty I on Apr 24, 2008 1:50 AM EDT to parent up   1 recs

That depends on who's there

If by some miracle Antoine Cason or Quintin Groves are there do you trade that pick?
I say hell no

by Patssuck456 on Apr 25, 2008 3:29 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Jake Long

The only downside, especially for us who live in CentralFL and have to listen to the games, is having to hear Mad Dog say Meechagan constantly.

by JGray on Apr 24, 2008 7:38 AM EDT   0 recs

The NFL

has evolved into an offensive-oriented league for some time now. It is rare for a team to succeed without having a competent offense. And if you remember what this offense looked like late last season, then you know it needs quite a bit of work.

In addition, with potentially an inexperienced QB (Beck) as the starter, they especially need to shore up the OL.

Finally, while the bust rate for tackles might be 25% or so, that’s half of what it is for QB’s, not to mention QB’s get paid more. I think Jake was the safest pick and a good addition to an offense that is hopefully up and coming…

by Natalya on Apr 24, 2008 9:27 AM EDT   0 recs

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