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Dolphins vs Chiefs: 4 Burning Questions

Time to look ahead at Sunday's game in Kansas City against the Chiefs.  But before we do, I just want to know - am I the only person who still thinks about this commercial whenever I the Dolphins play the Chiefs?  Maybe it is just me - but that is a classic!

Anyways, let's take a look at some key questions about Sunday's battle at Arrowhead Stadium:

Can the Dolphins deal with Arrowhead?
Without a doubt, Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City is one of the toughest places to play.  And that's even true when the Chiefs aren't very good.  Sure, they are 1-6 at home this year, only knocking off Denver.  But they played both the Bucs and Chargers to very close games and, really, should have knocked off the Chargers last week.

But even with the Chiefs being a 1-6 team, two things make Arrowhead very tough, especially this time of the year.  First off, their fans are very loud and that stadium is built to hold in sound - much like the Orange Bowl was.  This is going to make things difficult - whether it's hearing the plays being called into the helmet or making audibles and adjustments at the line of scrimmage.  Hand signals and silent snap counts will definitely have to be used.

The second thing that could spell trouble for the Dolphins is the weather.  Kansas City is usually in the mid to upper 30s this time of the year.  But Sunday's forecast looks cold - very cold.  The Weather Channel has Sunday's temperature in KC at 21 degrees for a high.  And they are also speculating that it could be windy, with 15 to 20 mph gusts.  So, in terms of how cold it'll feel, it could very well feel like it's in the single digits.

To put this into perspective, the Dolphins haven't played in a game colder than around 68 degrees this season.  So this team is going to be tested in a way it has yet to be tested.  And, historically, the Dolphins are just 3-6 in games played where the temperature is 25 degrees or lower.

Can the Dolphins contain Tony Gonzalez?
Even at the age of 32, Tony Gonzalez is the game's best receiving tight end.  His 941 receiving yards ranks him 13th in the entire league and 1st among all tight ends.  His 84 receptions is 7th in the league and his 8 touchdowns is tied for 6th (and yes, both totals are tops for TEs).

Just how often is Gonzalez looked to in the passing game.  He's been targeted 133 times - which is 28.7% of the team's total pass attempts.  And he's caught 63% of the passes that have been thrown his way.  Clearly, the way to really hinder KC's offense is to take Gonzalez away from Tyler Thigpen.

The Dolphins, defensively, have been hot and cold against some of the game's most talented tight ends.  They held Antonio Gates to just one catch for 12 yards and Todd Heap to just 3 catches for 29 yards.  But on the flip side, Owen Daniels dominated, catching 4 passes for 70 yards in Miami's loss to Houston.  Rookie John Carlson caught 5 passes for 54 yards when the Fins hosted Seattle.  And Zach Miller had 4 catches for 67 yards when Oakland visited Miami.

So what kind of performance will we see on Sunday out of Miami's defense against Gonzalez?  Will they play like they did against San Diego?  Or will it be more like the game against Houston?

Star-divide

Will the Dolphins "pound the rock" this week?
With the weather expected to be very cold and potentially windy, it would seem like passing the ball might not be the best idea.  What does that mean?  PTR - Pound The Rock.

Kansas City isn't very good against the run, either.  Their defensive line is particularly stout at the point of attack and, in my humble opinion, their only talented linebacker (and he's a very, very good one) is Derrick Johnson.  That's probably why KC is ranked 30th in the NFL in defending the rush, surrendering 155 yards per game on the ground.  And KC's 4.9 yards per carry against average is tied for the worst in the league.  And this is despite KC holding LaDainian Tomlinson to just 39 yards on 15 carries last week.

As for the Dolphins' 2-headed running back monster - Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams - they could be in store for a heavy workload on Sunday.  That is, if this Miami offensive line can prove that they can open up some holes.  The injuries at the guard position have really hampered the OL's ability to run block.  But Sunday will provide a good opportunity to build some confidence.  And the good news is that both Ronnie and Ricky should be pretty fresh.  In the last two weeks, Ronnie only has 29 touches and Ricky only has 21 touches.  Ronnie, in particular, could be extra motivated (as if he needs it - the man runs like an angry sailor) since his selection to the Pro Bowl team over some other AFC running backs has created a stir in some circles.

When you consider the challenge that lies in front of this team in the next two weeks (playing at KC and at NYJ), running the ball is going to be critical.  Can they get it going this week on the ground?

Can the Dolphins continue getting pressure on the QB?
After struggling for a little while generating any pressure on the opposing quarterback, the Dolphins have picked up 9 sacks in the last 2 games.  A lot of that has to do with the unique blitz packages Paul Pasqualoni has been using - as well as the sudden emergence of Charlie Anderson as a pass-rushing specialist.

Meanwhile, the Chiefs allowed 31 sacks in their first 11 games before suddenly improving.  And the offensive line's pass-protecting has been a key over the last 3 weeks.  Against San Diego, Oakland, and Denver, the Chiefs have allowed just 2 sacks - combined.  And that has allowed Tyler Thigpen, who is proving to be a promising QB prospect, time to find the open man.

Of course, like any QB, Thigpen struggles when under pressure.  His completion percentage drops 14% when under pressure and his overall QB rating falls 16 points.

But will the Fins be able to get in the face of Thigpen consistently - something the Chiefs haven't allowed to happen recently?


Thoughts?

1 recs  |  Comment 55 comments |

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We ABSOLUTELY have to get pressure on Thigpen

he’s young, and we all know what young, inexperienced QB’s will do under pressure: Make Mistakes. If we can turn them over, while not doing so ourselves, we’ll win this game.

And I do believe this is the week (finally) when the running game gets back on track. I find it hard to imagine us getting less than a 125 on the ground this week. Between the weather, and the need for our team to get more physical for the playoff push, we’ll see alot of runs. Whether they’re straight up power runs, Wildcat plays, or other creative running plays (see: Cobbs inside counter, Ronnie’s fake dive quick pitch), we should see a team devoted to PTR. Unless the coaches decide the quick passing game will be more effective against KC’s D, in which case, go Chad lol.

"I throw better than anybody in college and I can throw with anybody in the pros. There, that's what I think."
"I've been a Dolphin for 17 years, and I'll be a Dolphin for the rest of my life. That will never change."
- Dan Marino aka Quarterback God

by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 18, 2008 12:27 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Thigpen lol what a dumb last name.

"The game of football is America's Game. Anything can happen any week and that's one of the reasons why I like it"

(Phinsguy99)

by Phinsguy99 on Dec 18, 2008 9:27 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

he was a 'Peanuts' character i think...

"I'm not near as deep and complicated as people think" ~Mike Tyson~

by Krab on Dec 18, 2008 4:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

hahahahaha

that’s so funny…

"I throw better than anybody in college and I can throw with anybody in the pros. There, that's what I think."
"I've been a Dolphin for 17 years, and I'll be a Dolphin for the rest of my life. That will never change."
- Dan Marino aka Quarterback God

by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 18, 2008 4:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I keep thinking the same thing lol

"How can I blame you
When it's me I can't forgive?"

-From the Unforgiven III off of Death Magnetic

by Patssuck456 on Dec 19, 2008 2:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If we

  are able to score quick and keep their offense off the field in the first part of the game, I think the fans will be pretty quiet. I’ve heard that it won’t be a packed house like Chiefs usually have. That being said, they still might show up. If we take away their hearts early, It’ll keep them from disturbing us. Sitting in the cold is ok, but it takes true diehards to sit there when your team is down and there is no hope for you team.

  Controlling Thigpen and Gonzalez are going to be the key to shutting them down, I personally think they are going to go into attack mode with them. Trying to put up scores quickly so they can take advantage of the crowd and weather.

  And I hope like hell we pound the rock so much, that it takes away their will by the 4th quarter. The cold isn’t so bad for the offense when you’re on the field moving in a steady, ball controlling way. It’ll suck for the KC defense to keep taking hit after hit from the R&R express. Plus, it’ll help keep our defense warm and ready, so we can shut them down on offense.

  The weather is a concern, but I think these guys are Pro’s and Sparano will have them “fired” up they’ll be ready for the challenge.

"You found that word today......and that word is Character"- Coach Sparano 11/9/08

by HuskerDolphin on Dec 18, 2008 12:40 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

nice video too Matty....lol

googly moogly

"You found that word today......and that word is Character"- Coach Sparano 11/9/08

by HuskerDolphin on Dec 18, 2008 1:07 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Damn Matty

You make it hard to catch up. There’s always so much traffic during the night because of the time difference, and I finally start to catch up and you throw up the 4 Burning Questions post. Time to go read that.

"The dolphin is one of the fastest and smartest creatures of the sea. Dolphins can attack and kill a shark or whale. Sailors say bad luck will come to anyone who harms one of them." - Joe Robbie, Oct 8, 1965 upon announcing the name of the new AFL Miami football team.
****Keeper of the Phinsider Comment Goo-ing Plasma Cannon****

by Mosul_DolFan on Dec 18, 2008 12:43 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Matty does sleep...for 15min...hanging upside down

"This is one of the most competitive businesses there is . . . It's my life. It's my blood. It's how I'm measured."
---BILL PARCELLS

by Rzayo24 on Dec 18, 2008 12:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

LOL

"I throw better than anybody in college and I can throw with anybody in the pros. There, that's what I think."
"I've been a Dolphin for 17 years, and I'll be a Dolphin for the rest of my life. That will never change."
- Dan Marino aka Quarterback God

by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 18, 2008 12:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Seconded.

Favre’s medicine cabinet couldn’t keep me up long enough to stay current ’round here.

'kay?

by rococo davenport on Dec 18, 2008 2:04 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I see

An interception by porter, because of pressure on Thigpen and him forcing the ball to gonzalez. Who will be covered by porter. Young QBs’ focus is easy to disturb when a 300 pound man has tunnel vision with your body at the end of it

by kenroxsox on Dec 18, 2008 12:48 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

one thing..

I can’t remember a game this year when Porter has covered a TE. It’s usually Ayodele or YBell matched up on him. Porter 95% of the time is rushing the passer.

"I throw better than anybody in college and I can throw with anybody in the pros. There, that's what I think."
"I've been a Dolphin for 17 years, and I'll be a Dolphin for the rest of my life. That will never change."
- Dan Marino aka Quarterback God

by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 18, 2008 12:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Didn't he

cover davis a little last week?

by kenroxsox on Dec 18, 2008 1:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think so....

I could be wrong though, wouldn’t be the first time lol

Usually, I think Paul P likes to rush Porter because that’s his strength. Covering TE’s down the field isn’t his strong point, so I’d be surprised if he was doing that on anything other than a zone blitz..

"I throw better than anybody in college and I can throw with anybody in the pros. There, that's what I think."
"I've been a Dolphin for 17 years, and I'll be a Dolphin for the rest of my life. That will never change."
- Dan Marino aka Quarterback God

by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 18, 2008 1:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Okay

Now having read it, another great post Matty. I especially think the third and fourth questions are important for us this week. We have to PTR! We have to know we can PTR! We have to use this cold weather experience to figure out what we are going to do with the Jets next week too. Get used to playing in the cold, even if it is only one game. PTR!!!!!

I think if we can get pressure onto Thigpen, I think we take care of Gonzalez as well. They will either need to leave him in to block, or we will get to Thigpen before he has a chance to deliver the ball. I think you will see Roth and Porter in the backfield all day, helping Thigpen pick out paint colors and wall paper (since the Phins helped Hill with drapery last week…get it????).

"The dolphin is one of the fastest and smartest creatures of the sea. Dolphins can attack and kill a shark or whale. Sailors say bad luck will come to anyone who harms one of them." - Joe Robbie, Oct 8, 1965 upon announcing the name of the new AFL Miami football team.
****Keeper of the Phinsider Comment Goo-ing Plasma Cannon****

by Mosul_DolFan on Dec 18, 2008 12:51 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Oakland, San Diego, and Denver

don’t have a pass rush which explains why he wasn’t getting pressured. I’m not worried about Miami generating pressure on Thigpen. In fact, Porter is going to have a great day retaking his sack leader title back.

Winner of All Movie Quote Challenges

by DolfinPhan on Dec 18, 2008 12:58 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

stats

matty, i love the stats you work into these

by orandegadsden'shands on Dec 18, 2008 2:48 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

glad you like

I’m a big fan of stats – as you can tell.

by Matty I on Dec 18, 2008 2:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not going anywhere for a while?

That’s one of my favorite commercials of all time!

This one shows what will happen to Thigpen when J-Peezey gets his hands on him: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JoX-HkOcEuE

by Saxonthebeach on Dec 18, 2008 9:40 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Hmm, copy and paste that URL into your browser. For some reason, only part of the address showed up as a link.

by Saxonthebeach on Dec 18, 2008 9:41 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

lol

thats pretty great!

"You found that word today......and that word is Character"- Coach Sparano 11/9/08

by HuskerDolphin on Dec 18, 2008 1:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Chiefs fan here

just had to weigh in a little bit.

Not positive about this, but I don’t think crowd noise will be a huge factor this weekend. Although it usually is, Chiefs fans have been pretty frustrated of late and with the extremely cold weather we’ve been having, many don’t want to sit and freeze their asses off to watch a horrible team. That being said, with the changes made this week, I’m hoping a good crowd joins me there this weekend and shows the usual Chiefs pride. The extremely cold weather, however, will be a factor for the game.

by I need more Esteban on Dec 18, 2008 12:23 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

PTR

wind 20mph PTR!!!
21 degrees PTR!!!
2171 yds 155 yds/g PTR!!!
the frekin chiefs PTR!!!

by 604finsfan on Dec 18, 2008 12:53 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

KC worries me for the following reasons...

Did you know:
- 6 out of their 12 losses came by 7 points or less (reminds me of the Fins team last year). They play close games.
- In their last 26 games at home in December, they’re 21-5
- They’ve created 27 turnovers this season, which is 5 more than the Dolphins have caused. With the inclement weather, holding onto the football will be the priority.
- Thigpen and the Chiefs offense run a very good wide-open, empty backfield, offense, that allows Thigpen (young QB) to make quick decisions. They run this offense almost as well as the Patriots, and we all know the Pats killed us with that formation all day long. We need to be able to get our defense off the field, but this game will be tough to win.

Dan is better with a cast on his leg than half the quarterbacks in the league, including me.
-
Craig Erickson, Dolphins Backup QB, on Dan Marino

by shula13 on Dec 18, 2008 12:54 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I would expect

their spread offense to be limited by the weather. I think inclement weather helps us in almost every aspect of the game. Our biggest weaknesses are pass defense, which is helped by the bad weather, and our vertical passing game, which is pretty nonexistent in bad weather anyway.

We’ll do what we do best, PTR and short quick passes, and they’ll run right into our defensive strength, which is the run D.

"I throw better than anybody in college and I can throw with anybody in the pros. There, that's what I think."
"I've been a Dolphin for 17 years, and I'll be a Dolphin for the rest of my life. That will never change."
- Dan Marino aka Quarterback God

by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 18, 2008 1:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

agree to a point

Little Nicky – just like the spread offense may be impacted by the bad weather, so will our pass rush. Speed rushers like Porter are usually neutralized in bad weather with muddy, slippery weather. If we get a pass rush, we must apply it up the middle with the interior linemen.

Dan is better with a cast on his leg than half the quarterbacks in the league, including me.
-
Craig Erickson, Dolphins Backup QB, on Dan Marino

by shula13 on Dec 18, 2008 1:54 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

that's true also..

But Porter may have a few tricks up his sleeve he learned from all those years in Pitt… hopefully.

"I throw better than anybody in college and I can throw with anybody in the pros. There, that's what I think."
"I've been a Dolphin for 17 years, and I'll be a Dolphin for the rest of my life. That will never change."
- Dan Marino aka Quarterback God

by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 18, 2008 1:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Interesting statement within the PTR point...

“As for the Dolphins’ 2-headed running back monster – Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams – they could be in store for a heavy workload on Sunday”

Couldn’t we and haven’t we said this for the majority of games this season? I and WE wish this was the case almost every week and that they would be IN STORE for a HEAVY WORKLOAD…let’s hope that is true and will actually be done..because we’ve said this a ton of times this year.. and they should be Pounding The Rock like crazy this and every week here on out!

by dolphinsfan4life on Dec 18, 2008 3:42 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

agreed

but I don’t think weather has dictated anything to us yet this season. It was always the opposing D telling us they’re not letting us PTR, we have to pass… So we pass, and we win. This is the first time this season that the weather will actually tell us that passing will be difficult. Although KC will probably still pack the box, and CP10 will most likely still be able to slice up their defense with short passes. So we’ll see what happens.

"I throw better than anybody in college and I can throw with anybody in the pros. There, that's what I think."
"I've been a Dolphin for 17 years, and I'll be a Dolphin for the rest of my life. That will never change."
- Dan Marino aka Quarterback God

by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 18, 2008 3:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

side note... about the "home field advantage" for K.C.

I fully agree that K.C. is a tough place to play, especially late in the year and this is regardless of how the team is playing. It’s very loud and hostile…and can get very cold, snowy and windy. All factors that are rather important to visitors such as the Dolphins…. BUT…after what happened last week against San Diego.. I think things are diminished a bit and I sure hope that if we’re in similar circumstances that we’ll get an easy ride like San Diego got.

What I’m referring to and you should have read this in most recap articles about last weeks game is that during the fourth quarter when K.C. was up and it appeared the victory was in hand, nearly 75% of the stadium has left! That’s correct, a TWO WIN team that should enjoy ANY WIN it can muster and the crowd leaves early! and when the tides changed all of a sudden and San Diego got right back into it…the crowd needed to be there to get loud to help disrupt San Diego..and there was NO ONE LEFT! go figured.. many aritcles stated how that likely helped San Diego a lot…and from my perspective, I’m shocked that they would leave…even if they thought the victory was locked… stay till the end! be sure it’s done! you never know what could happen! and nothing is a sure bet with K.C. I can only pray that the same thing could happen with us..i’ll take any bonus advantages I can get!

by dolphinsfan4life on Dec 18, 2008 4:32 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Don't be too sure...

Dropping in via Arrowhead Pride (although my grudge against the fish goes back to the Vikings SB loss back in the 70s, I’m not indulging in partisanship today.)

True, the fan base has been a little thin, of late. You do have hope on that account.

BUT. The most hated man in KC football went out the door, in the last few days, too. That factor may well keep a few butts in the seats, unless y’all put it away big & early.

I’ve watched our season & I ain’t calling for a win here – but just remember that our guys get paid to play, too, and our fans aren’t a pack of bandwagon bozoes, like some teams even you can think of. If your boys can’t give them a reason to leave, those seats might well be filled with very loud people. Yes, we really did hate Peterson that much.

Just sayin’

Good luck to your boys – for the game after next! ;-)

by Bleedingredandgold on Dec 19, 2008 5:51 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

gladly

the little x means your picture didn’t work.

Hope this helps!

"I throw better than anybody in college and I can throw with anybody in the pros. There, that's what I think."
"I've been a Dolphin for 17 years, and I'll be a Dolphin for the rest of my life. That will never change."
- Dan Marino aka Quarterback God

by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 18, 2008 5:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

oh that

You live in Hawaii right? Wouldn’t you be excited to go from the cold to a place that has 70degree winters?

"I throw better than anybody in college and I can throw with anybody in the pros. There, that's what I think."
"I've been a Dolphin for 17 years, and I'll be a Dolphin for the rest of my life. That will never change."
- Dan Marino aka Quarterback God

by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 18, 2008 5:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

you can't tell me that you would rather live

in Pittsburgh instead of Hawaii, or Miami..

"I throw better than anybody in college and I can throw with anybody in the pros. There, that's what I think."
"I've been a Dolphin for 17 years, and I'll be a Dolphin for the rest of my life. That will never change."
- Dan Marino aka Quarterback God

by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 18, 2008 5:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah,

I agree but… When he comes to Hawai’i I’ll hook him up with a better shirt.

by Ilamuku on Dec 18, 2008 5:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I can explain the picture......

Joey Porter for us has a multi-porpoise

"You found that word today......and that word is Character"- Coach Sparano 11/9/08

by HuskerDolphin on Dec 18, 2008 5:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

LOL

"I throw better than anybody in college and I can throw with anybody in the pros. There, that's what I think."
"I've been a Dolphin for 17 years, and I'll be a Dolphin for the rest of my life. That will never change."
- Dan Marino aka Quarterback God

by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 18, 2008 5:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

rofl

Thanks for your ever poignant explanations Nicky! I wouldn’t have been able to understand what that X meant if not for you!

"The dolphin is one of the fastest and smartest creatures of the sea. Dolphins can attack and kill a shark or whale. Sailors say bad luck will come to anyone who harms one of them." - Joe Robbie, Oct 8, 1965 upon announcing the name of the new AFL Miami football team.
****Keeper of the Phinsider Comment Goo-ing Plasma Cannon****

by Mosul_DolFan on Dec 19, 2008 12:05 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

lol

I just try to be helpful to everybody :-)

"I throw better than anybody in college and I can throw with anybody in the pros. There, that's what I think."
"I've been a Dolphin for 17 years, and I'll be a Dolphin for the rest of my life. That will never change."
- Dan Marino aka Quarterback God

by Little Nicky 21 on Dec 19, 2008 1:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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