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48 Hours Later: Some Random Thoughts

I'm sure that all of you, like me, are still flying high after Sunday's win over the Chargers.  And now that we've all had about 2 days to digest this victory, let's talk a little bit about some of the things that we haven't really touched on yet.

Oh, and no - I'm not trying to be a buzzkill.  I'm just trying to be a realist.

Don't use the "P" word just yet
I know excitement is high - higher than it has been in years.  But let's not go crazy here folks.  Let's continue to exercise "cautious optimism" when we talk about where this season might be headed.  It's fine for the players to talk about the playoffs - or even the Super Bowl, as Justin Smiley did.  After all, of all people, the players are the ones who should believe they can win every single game.

But as fans, I think we need to be careful with expectations.  Why?  Because expectations have a funny way of coming back to kick you in the ass.  And doing things like examining the schedule and attempting to predict what Miami's record might be after playing just 4 games isn't only an exercise in futility, but also is a good way to set yourself up for disappointment.

Let's instead just look ahead to the next game on the schedule each week and not overlook any opponent.  This upcoming week, for example, the Dolphins will travel to Houston to attempt to defeat a team that they have never, ever defeated.  The Dolphins are 0-3 all-time against the Texans.  Sure, the Texans are 0-4.  But they lost an OT game to the Jaguars and choked away a victory over the Colts last week where they were actually winning by 17 points with just 5 minutes left.

We also can't forget how much "luck" plays into these games.  Just this past week, we saw "luck" play a part in Miami's win.  Anyone remember when PHilip Rivers overthrew a wide open Vincent Jackson on what would have been a game-tying touchdown?  Those kinds of plays can happen at any time and can benefit or hurt the Dolphins - and can be the reason the Dolphins win or lose a game.

So rather than thinking about January football after just one quarter of the regular season, let's instead focus solely on the next game.  Then, after 8 games or so, let's see where the Dolphins stand.

Star-divide

Special Teams still in need of improving
We all thought that one of the things we could bank on this season would be improved special teams play.  But that clearly hasn't come to fruition.

Sure, the Dolphins held the electrifying Darren Sproles to just 23 yards per return.  But that average kick return against would only be good for 14th in the NFL.  And with Sunday's performance factored in, the Dolphins kick coverage unit is still ranked 32nd in the league - allowing 28.1 yards per return.  Not good.

The coverage unit also isn't helped by the fact that Dan Carpenter is averaging just 63.2 yards per kick-off.  Yes, that's 5 yards more than Jay Feely last season, but still ranks the Dolphins just 25th in kick-off distance.

The return game is just as unimpressive.  The Dolphins are averaging just 17.6 per kick return - good for 31st in the league.  And now we even saw Davone Bess put the ball on the ground last week for what could have resulted in a costly turnover if not for some great defensive play.

Statistically, the Dolphins are a little better at punt returning - ranking 20th in the NFL with an 8.9 yard average.  But even so, we all can see the problems that our punt returners have, at times muffing the catch, while misjudging some balls and letting them bounce when they shouldn't at other times.  Clearly, improvement is needed.

Of course, Tony Sparano realizes this, too.  But what can he do?

I think that one thing would be to let Ted Ginn return the kick-offs.  That would allow him to use his long speed and provide the Dolphins with game-breaking potential in the return game.  We all know he was explosive as a returner in college and he even returned one last season (with two more returns being called back).  So what's the worst that could happen with Teddy back there?  I think the change has to be made.

Quick Hits
-I've been very impressed with Matt Roth - especially this past Sunday.  But let's not go crazy here, folks.  He had a sack, 1.5 tackles for loss, and a few more QB pressures.  That's nice and all, but some people seem to think he's the second coming.  I need to see consistency before I completely hop on board the "Matt Roth bandwagon."

-Chad Pennington.  What more can I say?  I still feel like an idiot for ever arguing his signing.  He's exactly what this team needed.

-Renaldo Hill is getting overlooked.  Is it any coincidence that he's been the starting free safety for two weeks and, combined, the opposition has thrown for just 279 yards?  He's the leader and the communicator that this secondary needs back there as "QB of the secondary."

-I really hope that Chad Henne is absorbing every little nugget of knowledge that he possibly can from Chad Pennington.  If he is, this franchise will be in good hands for years.

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ted ginn

I 100% agree.. he needs to get more touches on special teams. However, I think Tony is being smart by not overusing him early in the season. Thats how guys get injured, and if we do have a shot a the “P” word then we’re ganna need him down the stretch. Look what Reggie did tonight, almost single handedly won that game for them. Almost had 3 punt return for TDs.

by YatilGinnJr on Oct 7, 2008 1:08 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Cam is that you?

Party pooper. Why not talk about playoffs? Seen our schedule? Witness the pass 2 teams we beat? 14+ point lead at the half of both games?

Luck Smuck. We weren’t lucky Rivers overthrew Jackson. Rivers isn’t that good. If we’re talking lucky, SD was lucky we missed that FG or the rout was on.

Ya know what, us Fin Fans have been through hell ever since Shula was pushed out. JJ having a break-down, Whanny/Spielman, Saban, it was a free fall till we hit rock bottom with Cameron.

Fact: We are one TD pass at the end of a game (or stopping Brett’s pass on 4th and forever) from being 3-1.

Fact: Brady is out for the season and Trent Edwards was knocked out of the game with a concussion. This divison is up for grabs.

Fact: It looks like we got a very good, well coached football team. With a competent coaching staff and front office for a change.

Fact: We have a favorable schedule this year. AFC/NFC West.

Fact: We just steamed-rolled over the 2 teams that played for the AFC Championship last year.

Ya know what? I feel good about my team. For the 1st time in a long time I feel we might have a shot at making some noise. And learning from the past I’m not sure when/if this opportunity will come again. I’m gonna live it up.

Are you picking up what I'm putting down?

by Neo on Oct 7, 2008 3:58 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Kill the mood....

..why don’t you!
It is better than talking about April’s first round pick in October.

Also, the winner of this division might only be 8-8 or 9-7. So that is somewhat realistic in my mind. Yes I know Buffalo is half way there. But they have not played a division game, and could lose all 6 without T. Edwards.

It will be interesting to see what happens with NE this weekend. If they lose and we win, this division turns into a dogfight….

by JGray on Oct 7, 2008 9:25 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

matty has random thouhgts too!!!

its not just me!!

im normal!!!

In Tuna We Trust

by Rzayo24 on Oct 7, 2008 9:25 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

great post

i dont think i have ever agreed with you more matty

In Tuna We Trust

by Rzayo24 on Oct 7, 2008 9:26 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I think all that Matty is trying to say

Is that we are a young team and dont 4get that we are in rebuilding mode. Not too shabby for a rebuilding team. Imagine at this rate what we’ll be like 2 years from now with real WRs and our rookies have a couple of years under their belts.

by Wade on Oct 7, 2008 9:34 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Its amazing how good this young defense has become

without ZT and JT. I definitley give mad props to Parcells and Co. for what they have done with this young defense in such a short amount of time?

by Wade on Oct 7, 2008 9:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

this D may even be better.

I think we are about 1 Pro Bowl CB (and MAYBE an upgrade at safety) away from this being a top 5 defense… maybe even better.

-LCFF

by LeftCoastFinFan on Oct 7, 2008 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Neither of our victories had anything to do with luck.

As Neo pointed out one of our losses was “unlucky” but even if Rivers had hit that long TD pass we still would have won that game. After that one TD drive in the 2nd half our defense and OL dominated that game. I just can’t believe we didn’t score in the second half. That’s probably because we didn’t need to, if we had I confident we would have. You are right there can be a lot of luck and bad calls (as SD knows) that determine games and we need to keep our expectation in check but inplying in any way that Sunday’s game a lucking victory is WAY out of line!

And for me the game ball is C Penne, that guy stood and delivered under pressure. Threw the ball hard and obviously very accurately. The Offense was so balanced it simplied amazed me.

by ATS16 on Oct 7, 2008 9:57 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

There were no LUCK on last sunday game...

SD have to put there tongue up to there ***sses and accept that this was there 1st TRUE LOST!!
We have pay our dues and now is time to collect or at least it looks like.
About the Texan? I know we have never won to them, but we have never been playing fundamental football. The 0-3 record END this sunday with a Victory of the Dolphins. I don’t feel sorry for the texan and they lossing games at the end( remember us last year), Matty I, if you want to gave them respect for there efford, good for you, but me, I SAY " SCREW THEM" and if what they get this year is a 1-15, so be it.

I will see the Dolphins win a SUPER BOWL before i die(21 years and counting)

by Aleta on Oct 7, 2008 10:09 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Its been to damn long

I,m happy as a retard in a room full of bouncin balls.We are REBUILT,better,stronger,faster than what seems like FOREVER.I bowl on monday nights and for me to be able to brag on my PHINS is great,and after this Vee,nobody in the alley is saying LUCKY,i hear"you gotta give them credit"!!!

by dolfanator on Oct 7, 2008 10:23 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Cautious Optimism is ok

but this team is for real. You don’t dominate two perennial Super Bowl contenders (no matter who was injured) without being pretty damn good. I agree we shouldn’t start making P-word reservations just yet, but every 2-2 team in the league is thinking playoffs, why can’t we? Nobody expected us to be 2-2. And with NE still getting used to Life After Brady, the division isn’t a going to be a runaway. Buffalo will come back to the pack eventually, especially if Edwards is out for any period of time. And the Jets are a Jeckyl and Hyde team (and they’re still the Jets, they’ll find a way to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory).

Now, do I think we’ll be in the playoffs come January? It’s possible. At the quarter-pole of the season, the East is the only AFC Division with every team at 500 or better, so the AFCE may put 2 teams in if the trend continues. But the rest of our division plays the same easy-ish schedule we do (AFC/NFC West) We need to beat Denver, and Oakland, because those are the 2 teams left that I think will beat the other teams in our division. And we gotta beat the teams we’re clearly better than (STL, KC, SF). If we can split with our division, that puts us at 9 wins. If we beat BAL, look out. We are perfectly capable of winning 9, as long as the team continues to play the same tough, physical, mistake-free football we’ve seen the past two weeks.

On this team, we are all united in a common goal: to keep my job.
-- Lou Holtz

by Little Nicky 21 on Oct 7, 2008 12:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I like the attitude here.

Neo, I like what you said, in particular.

Matty, I disagree with you about STs. I usually feel like you and I are mostly on the same page about most topics, but this is one case in which I feel like the stats you are using to back up your argument do not jive with the reality of the game play.
Why? Simply because STs are not putting us in a hole this year, they are not losing games for us. We had a few knucklehead plays in the first couple of games, like kickoffs out of bounds, or 20 yd punts, but for the last two games, the play has been solid. Forget the stats and remember the fiasco last year.
Last year, STs would always do the wrong thing at the wrong time and take away any chance to win… like allowing a big return right after we scored and were hoping to get the ball back one more time, or a flag during a good Miami return calling it back.. that kind of thing. It is not just about the numbers, it is about WHEN and HOW the plays occur, and dude, STs are not losing the games for us this year.

Now, do they need more work? Yes. Of course.

And I COMPLETELY agree about putting Ginn back there for KOs. I also thing they should put Ginn in practice at DB. Not because I think he should play that position, but because he needs to get over his apparent fear of contact.

As for the posters talking about luck not being a part of our wins, let me remind you about the PI call in the 4th quarter, when the Fins were trying to get out of their own endzone. 3rd and 9? From the Miami 2? Ring a bell? The ball was thrown way over Martin’s head. From every angle they showed on television, that ball was uncatchable. That could EASILY have been a “no-call”. Probably should have been. But instead of 4 and 9 from the Miami 2, the Fins got a new set of downs at their own 30, and proceeded to run almost 4 and a half minutes of the clock, finally giving the ball back to S.D. at their own 20.
So I ask you, do you think 4th and 2 from the Miami 2 could have turned the game around? I was personally thanking the football gods for that one, which is only something I do we we get a lucky break.
Be real folks. We are looking DAMN good, but we are thin at several positions, and an injury or a few bad calls can make things start to look very different, very quickly.
knowutimean?

-LCFF

by LeftCoastFinFan on Oct 7, 2008 1:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I understand most of your post Lefty..

but saying that SP is not blowing thing up is an understament. How can you say they are not doing stupid stuff went they(Bess) fumble the ball at the 25?, Thank good, opur D responded like pros, and took that game to themself, them the O make there stament. SP is the weak link(LOL) of this team. They have put us in tought situations and we have overcome them.

I will see the Dolphins win a SUPER BOWL before i die(21 years and counting)

by Aleta on Oct 7, 2008 2:53 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

naaawww.....

it is nowhere near as bad as last year. No way.

-LCFF

by LeftCoastFinFan on Oct 8, 2008 1:21 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Focus!

We need to stay focus and the playoffs will take care of its self! We can make it if we keep this intensity up!!

"You are the people you hang out with"

by buckeyebill on Oct 7, 2008 6:51 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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