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Dolphins vs Chargers: 3 Key Matchups

We're just 2 days away from finally getting to see our beloved Miami Dolphins out on the field after what seems like forever.  Of course, the extra time to bask in the "Dolphins 38 - Patriots 13" glory was nice.  But even still, I'm glad our boys will take the field very soon.

And with that, it's time to talk about 3 key matchups that will go a long way towards determining if the Dolphins can pull off the upset victory over the Chargers and improve to .500.

Dolphins Rushing Attack vs Chargers Run Defense
A lot of people seem to be focusing on San Diego's pass defense being ranked 32nd in the NFL.  But what you don't realize is that their yards-per-pass against is actually pretty good, allowing 6.7 ypp - which ranks the Chargers 12th in the NFL.  It'll be more important for the Dolphins to establish a ground game against the Chargers than it will be for the Fins to get their passing attack going.  And while the Chargers rank 13th in the league in rush defense, they are surrendering 4.5 yards-per-carry to their opponents - ranking SD 22nd in the league.

Meanwhile, the Dolphins struggled to get any ground game established in their first 2 games - both losses.  But then against the Pats, we all know that the rushing attack was alive and well.  But 100 of their 216 yards were a result of the 'Wildcat' formation.  On their other 31 rushing attempts, the Dolphins averaged just 3.7 ypc.  Will the Dolphins be able to establish a rushing attack out of their primary offense?  They'll need to if they want to stay in this game.

Advantage: Push

Dolphins Pass Rush vs Chargers Pass Protection
I know we've talked about this a lot already this week, but I don't think the importance of this matchup can be understated.  Surprisingly, the Dolphins have been able to get to the QB so far in this young season.  I say "surprisingly" because there was a lot of talk about where the pass rush would come from following the Jason Taylor trade.  But Paul Pasqualoni had a plan all along - which included moving Joey Porter back to weakside linebacker, the position Joey thrived at in Pittsburgh.  The results?  Well, I think we all saw last game against New England.

But Joey's not the only player who has been getting involved in the pass rush.  Rookies Kendall Langford and Phillip Merling have tallied 3 sacks between the two of them - as well as consistently applying pressure even when they can't get their hands on the QB.  Matt Roth has also been involved in some QB pressuring, as has Randy Starks.  And you just have got to love how the Dolphins are rotating players in and out of the game within the front 7, keeping guys fresh well into the 4th quarter.

This week, Paul Pasqualoni's blitz packages will be important to note.  Philip Rivers has the physical tools and the weapons around him to punish a team that allows him time to stand in the pocket.  But he isn't very mobile and is still young - meaning he'll make bad decisions when pressured.  Last week, the Raiders sacked Rivers 4 times in 3 quarters, intercepting Rivers twice and holding the Chargers to just 3 points in through three quarters.

I think that this Chargers offensive line, which historically has been quite good, is indeed susceptible to giving up sacks.  If Porter and company can get to Rivers on Sunday, they have a better chance to pull of the win.

Slight Advantage: Dolphins

Star-divide

Chargers Passing Attack vs Dolphins Pass Defense
It's hard to call this matchup "receivers vs secondary" because this matchup goes way beyond that.  The Chargers have a ton of talent on offense at the skill positions.  And if the Dolphins do indeed plan on blitzing like we talked about above, then that's going to leave them vulnerable to potential big plays.  Chris Chambers and Vincent Jackson, by themselves, are a handful to worry about.  In fact, Jackson might actually worry me more than Chambers just because of his great size.  We know the Dolphins don't generally fare too well against big, tall receivers like Jackson.

But then you have to factor in Antonio Gates as well as both LaDainian Tomlinson and Darren Sproles - two who can go the distance every time they touch the ball.  An aggressive defensive gameplan would mean having a linebacker or a safety, but likely not both, matched up on Gates.  Of course, this would also mean we could see some swing passes out to the backs in the flat.  Again, not a favorable matchup for any Dolphin defender.

Let's just say that the Dolphins have got to not only pressure Rivers, but get to him and knock him around consistently.  A failure to do so could spell disaster.  Why?  Because the Dolphins simply don't have the talent to match up with San Diego's skill position players.

Advantage: Chargers

So there are my 3 key matchups to watch on Sunday as the game progresses.

Let us know what you think about these 3 - or any others I might have left out - below...

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if dolphins can get rivers rattled with the pressure hes going to float a few balls and passes are going to get away from him

if we dont give up a miracle big play (like the one in week one) we will keep this game extremely competitive

Ice Ice Baby

by finsxfactor on Oct 3, 2008 12:52 AM EDT reply actions  

as an add on to your passing attack vs D

will the phins D finally be able to stop some speed… SD reminds me a little like the jets… with a couple posession receivers and a back (2 in this case) that can go to the house on every play… plus a TE big & quick enough to give the D fit… exect SD is better at every skill position…

And we’ve seen so far that the speed has killed the dolphins.

So to me… it’ll come down to can the phins keep the chargers from hitting that big play… and can they contain LT & sproles…..

so lets hope for a long flight in from the west coast that’ll slow them down.

by W NY Fins Fan on Oct 3, 2008 1:30 AM EDT reply actions  

I'd also have to add

our special teams coverage vs. Darren Sproles. We’ve had a hard time with kick returners especially, and he’s a solid one to say the least

by bassman on Oct 3, 2008 7:53 AM EDT reply actions  

Great analysis by the way...

Your Title says 3 key matchups, but later you say 5 key matchups.
Bassman added #4 Special Teams vs Sproles and i agree
how sad to outplay the Bolts only to lose on a big return
Key Matchup #5: Redzone offense versus Chargers Red Zone Defense
Raiders got to the SD 3 yard line and JMarcus got sacked had to settle for a field goal
Raiders got to the SD 1 yard line, holding penalty, had to settle for 3
Raiders got to the SD 14, failed to convert a 3rd and 6, settled for 3.
Phins have to get into the end zone and not settle for 3.
Bolts offense is too prolific.
imagine the phins clinging to a 15-13 lead over the pats two weeks ago if they couldn’t get into the end zone.

by DolphDallas on Oct 3, 2008 2:53 PM EDT reply actions  

good points DolphDallas

I’m just guessing here, but you must be Big 12 as well right? So you probably saw what Sproles could do when he was at K-State. I’ve posted this elsewhere, but he really concerns me. One good thing about your comments and your stats is…….well, it IS the Raiders. lol But I totally agree……you MUST get the 7 and not settle for the 3, otherwise it will bite you later.

"Not the victory but the action; Not the goal but the game; In the deed the glory."

by HuskerDolphin on Oct 3, 2008 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

good catch

I was originally going to do 5, but then I saw how long the post was and cut it off at 3.

by Matty I on Oct 3, 2008 3:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

good read

"How can I blame you
When it's me I can't forgive?"

-From the Unforgiven III off of Death Magnetic

by Patssuck456 on Oct 5, 2008 12:16 PM EDT reply actions  

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