Dolphins vs Texans: 5 Burning Questions
We've done a whole lot of looking back because the Dolphins have now completed the first quarter of their regular season. Now it's time to look forward - specifically to Sunday's battle in Houston against the Texans.
Let's discuss the 5 "burning questions" that the Dolphins will have to answer, at least in my opinion, this week in Houston:
How do the Dolphins plan on addressing their kick/punt return issues?
It's no secret that the Dolphins have been very bad in the return game. They rank 31st in the league in kick returns, averaging just 17.6 yards per return, and 20th in punt returns, averaging just 8.9 yards per return. And those who have watched the games this year know that the problem goes well beyond just statistics. We've seen our returners fumble, muff catches, and make bad decisions in terms of letting balls bounce or not. Of course, the irony here is that the one thing most Dolphin fans were confident about heading into the season was improved special teams play. Go figure.
Luckily, the Dolphins will have a solid opportunity this week to improve in the return game - especially on kick-offs. The Texans are averaging just 64.6 yards per kick-off and are allowing 23.4 yards per kick return, which puts Houston in the bottom half of the league in both. The question is what, if anything, the Dolphins will do differently. The popular suggestion, and one which I back as well, is to put Ted Ginn back deep returning kicks. I'd also say he should return punts, as well. After all, Ginn returned a punt for a TD last season against the Eagles as well as earlier this year during the preseason. And we can't forget Ginn's two "would-be" kick return touchdowns that were called back by penalties that had no effect on the play.
Right now, though, special teams is the unit that needs the most work - and it all begins with improvement in the return game.
Can Jake Long hang tough with Mario Williams?
This will be the key matchup of the entire game. And it's a damn good one - as our 1st overall pick takes on Houston's 1st overall pick from back in 2006.
Since his rookie season, Williams has improved dramatically. He had 14 sacks a year ago and already has 4 sacks in 4 games this season - including a two-sack performance last week against Peyton Manning and the Colts. But he's not only a pass-rushing force. Williams also has 3 tackles for a loss this year - just 1.5 away from his career high. "Super Mario" truly is the best young defensive end in the league - at least in my humble opinion.
Meanwhile, Jake Long as progressed nicely. He's come as advertised in terms of his run-blocking ability. But he has struggled at times in pass-protection - though not nearly as much as those "draft experts" tried to tell us he would. Jake's allowed 2 sacks this season - one to Bryan Thomas back in his first game and one last week to Marques Hill (though it was a split sack between Hill and another Charger LB). But if you've watched Long play all season, you'd know that he has been beat some other times by pass rushers - Chad Pennington just was able to avoid them.
This is also the first time in his NFL career that Long will face a 4-3 defensive front. It's probably not a big deal, but it's worth noting.
Now I'd imagine that the Dolphins will help out Jake in pass protection from time to time with a tight end or running back. However, I don't think it'll be as often as some seem to think. Instead, I think this is going to be a "show-me" game for Long. It's time for Jake to show us and his team that he has the potential to be a great left tackle. Slowing down the best young pass rusher in the game would be one way to do it.
Will the Dolphins improve on 3rd downs?
For everything this team has done right after 4 games, the offense still has one very large problem: 3rd down conversions. For the season, the Dolphins are converting just 35% of their third downs - ranking them 22nd in the league. This problem, though, has been masked because the Dolphins have actually done a good job of avoiding 3rd down situations - averaging just 12 3rd downs per game, which is 6th lowest in the league.
Now, in situations of 3rd down and 6 or less to go, the Dolphins have converted 17 of 30 times - a very good ratio. Unfortunately, the Dolphins are yet to convert a single 3rd and 7 or longer - they are 0 for 18.
This week, the Fins will have a chance to improve on their 3rd down conversions in Houston. The Texans rank just 24th in the league in 3rd down defense, surrendering 1st downs on 43% of 3rd down situations.
Can Ronnie Brown keep on rolling along?
Last season, Ronnie Brown got off to a slow start in the first 2 games of the season. He then broke out in week 3 with a big game, followed that up with another big game a week later, and entered Houston in week 5 as the main focal point of Miami's offense - and was the player that the Texans surely game-planned to stop. The result? Ronnie ran for 114 yards and a touchdown on 23 carries.
This season? Ronnie Brown got off to a slow start in the first 2 games. He then broke out with a big game in week 3 and followed that up with his second consecutive big performance the following game. Now Ronnie again will enter Houston as the focal point of the offense - and will be the player the Texans will game-plan to stop.
Kind of eerie, huh? Let's just hope Brown can have the same kind of performance he had last season in Houston.
Luckily, there's no reason to think he will not. Miami's offensive line continues to gel, the 'Wildcat' offense continues to provide a bit of unpredictability, and the Texans have trouble stopping the run. Houston is 26th in the league in rush defense, allowing 139 yards per game on the ground while giving up 4.5 yards per carry. They have also surrendered the most rushing touchdowns in the NFL: 8 in 4 games.
Could be another solid day for "Big Brown" - and no, not the horse.
Can the Dolphins do something they have never done?
The Dolphins and Texans have played 3 times. Heading into each game, most of us Dolphin fans were rather confident our team could pull out the win. And each time, we were wrong.
The Dolphins have never defeated the Texans. But they've lost each of the 3 games by a total of 6 points. So, essentially, the Dolphins would be making franchise history if they won this game in Houston.
Now some want to look past the Texans and dismiss them because of their 0-4 record. But they really aren't your typical 0-4 team. Of the 4 teams they've lost to, one is undefeated (Titans), another has just one loss (Steelers), and the other two were playoff teams in '07 (Jaguars and Colts). And Houston has played much better the past two games, losing in overtime against the Jaguars in Jacksonville and blowing a 17-point lead with 5 minutes to play against the Colts because of some stupid mistakes by their backup QB (former Fin Sage Rosenfels). Oh, and in between all these games, they happened to have a severe hurricane cut right through their city. That might have been an issue, right?
The bottom line? The Texans have historically given the Dolphins issues - and this 0-4 version will be no different. Buckle down for a battle.
Those are my 5 "burning questions" for week 6. Tell us all what you think below...
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19 comments
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Comments
Jake Long
I agree that this is the “show me” game for Jake. And I have to believe he’ll be plenty ready to step up to the challenge. We know he’s humble, we know he will put in the work, and we know he is extremely talented. I would expect him to extra focused this whole in practice in preparation of facing one of the league’s better pass rushers. And I think he’s putting in some extra work this week with his coaches and in the film room to be fully prepared to see Mario Williams. So not only is this the show-me game, but I also think it’s his coming out party, the game where he shows the entire league exactly why he was the number 1 pick.
Williams predicted stat line for Sunday: 0 Sacks, 0 TFL’s, 3 Tackles, 1 Pass Defensed.
I’m predicting Jake wins this battle and proves to everyone that he’s the real deal.
On this team, we are all united in a common goal: to keep my job.
-- Lou Holtz
by Little Nicky 21 on Oct 10, 2008 12:50 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
caught you nicky!!
On this team, we are all united in a common goal: to keep my job
-Nicky Primetime
by finsxfactor on Oct 10, 2008 12:50 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
hahaha
On this team, we are all united in a common goal: to keep my job
-Nicky Primetime
by finsxfactor on Oct 10, 2008 12:50 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
thats huge
Mario has around 7 times more games played than Long. Pretty bold statement to think that he won’t get one sack. All the extra work in the world on the practice field doesn’t convert to game time experience….c’mon coach….you know that. I hope you’re right. I’m a little nervous in this dept. If anything, for better or for worse, it’ll be a “test under fire” game for Long and he’ll learn something new regardless. I hope he does well, we’ll need him against that monster.
I feel this game is going to be a white-knuckler, whoever plays more mistake free football will take the “W”.
"When we win, we're humble!" Coach Sparano 10/5/2008
by HuskerDolphin on Oct 10, 2008 1:02 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
lol
Just backing my guys thats all. Plus I really think Jake is the real deal as a tackle.
On this team, we are all united in a common goal: to keep my job.
-- Lou Holtz
by Little Nicky 21 on Oct 10, 2008 1:32 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I do too......I think he's going to be great
but man……a rookie against a seasoned vet…..too say no sacks allowed is a bold statement. How do you walk with gonads that big? lol
"When we win, we're humble!" Coach Sparano 10/5/2008
by HuskerDolphin on Oct 10, 2008 1:37 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm short
so I just kinda lay em on a skateboard and that does the trick..
On this team, we are all united in a common goal: to keep my job.
-- Lou Holtz
by Little Nicky 21 on Oct 10, 2008 1:38 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
is husker on with us also lol
On this team, we are all united in a common goal: to keep my job
-Nicky Primetime
by finsxfactor on Oct 10, 2008 1:41 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jake
will probably be exposed a few times in the game but I’m more interested to see how he responds and learns from the experience. Overall this is going to be a tough game for us. I think the Texans schedule suggests a lot about why they’re 0-4 at this stage and it’ll be a harder game than many of the analysts think. If we can burn a little time by establishing the run, keeping our D off the field and firing up the crowd a bit I can see us edging a close one.
There again I’m 0-4 on my predictions for the Phins this season so perhaps I best just keep my fool mouth shut! ROFL! ;)
C'mon over to Shady's world, MiamiDolphins.co.uk
by ShadyMDUK on Oct 10, 2008 2:42 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Texans
I am more unsure about this game then I was against the Pats, and Chargers.
by bryankstro on Oct 10, 2008 7:29 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That's interesting stats on the 3rd down stuff
just wouldn’t have guess it watching the games. Thanks Matty
I feel like in a way that 1st loss to the Texans, in that heartbreaker of a season opener, they started us on that downward spiral. This game scares me but it sounds like Sparano is saying the right things to get his guys prepared so I hope to see this team exercise those demons of the past!!!
by ATS16 on Oct 10, 2008 9:45 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hmm maybe the Texans D will be the remedy for our third down ineffiecency
"How can I blame you
When it's me I can't forgive?"
-From the Unforgiven III off of Death Magnetic
by Patssuck456 on Oct 10, 2008 12:53 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Third and long
I heard Sporano on the radio this morning talking about the third and long stats. He pointed out two factors which suggest that those stats are somewhat misleading. First of all there have been several third and long situations (I think he mentioned 4-6) where they were killing the clock and just ran the ball into the line. Obviously, they must have all been against the Patriots. He also mentioned that touchdowns off of third down snaps don’t count as conversions, and went on to indicate that the Dolphins have scored four touchdowns in what were (presumably) third and long situations.
by gohabs on Oct 10, 2008 5:51 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
One big question
After the NY Jets & AZ packed the box and played up on the corners and dared penny to beat them deap, SD & NE to a lesser extent, backed off this approach and gave the WR some room and penny dinked them apart with the running game…
Will Houston, with very suspect corners and so-so safeties, take the risk and pack the box and dare Penny to throw it over the top… and if they do that will Penny be able to exploit the weak secondary…
Or will Houston rely on their base 7 to stop the run and play off the WR’s… and if they do will the Ron/Rick be able to run on the tough houston line? and will the WR be able to get open?
this to me, i guess as always is the key to the game… Can miami dictate to Houstons Dee…
by W NY Fins Fan on Oct 10, 2008 7:46 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hou is # 26 again the run.
So we will stablish the running game early and often, don’t worry about 8 in the box, cause with some wild cat, and RB passes to Fasano or Martin for TD’s, Houton is history ; )
I will see the Dolphins win a SUPER BOWL before i die(21 years and counting)
by Aleta on Oct 11, 2008 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
well
houston played 8 and 9 in the box all game and pressed with the corners…
they gave up a couple of big plays but otherwise kept the phins from making first downs…
this will likely be the same as long as you have DC willing to take a risk and penny is the QB.
by W NY Fins Fan on Oct 13, 2008 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Matty asks
~Will the Dolphins improve on 3rd downs?~
simple answer – NO at least not until Henne takes over…. Penny has never been a good 3rd down QB.. not enough arm strengh to make the tough throws needed to convert on 3rd and long… plus penny’s predilection, unless force by the score, to take chances, hence a low 3rd and long conversion rate as he’ll throw the ball away before forcing something….
by W NY Fins Fan on Oct 10, 2008 7:51 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
doh!!!
that should read—- ISN"T to take chances——-
once miami wins the superbowl, i promise to proof my posts and maybe even spell check them….
by W NY Fins Fan on Oct 10, 2008 7:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
About..
Can Ronnie Brown keep on rolling along?
Remember that now we have Penniless as QB, so RB will not be alone this time, also RB will have RW on his side, + an improve D.
And on this
Can the Dolphins do something they have never done?
WE WILL WIN AT HOUSTON!!
Hopefully!, the next game between us will be in Miami, cause they have never been at the Dolphins stadium.
I will see the Dolphins win a SUPER BOWL before i die(21 years and counting)
by Aleta on Oct 11, 2008 2:34 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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